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Classical works of Kac, Salem and Zygmund, and Erd\H{o}s and G\'{a}l have shown that lacunary trigonometric sums despite their dependency structure behave in various ways like sums of independent and identically distributed random…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-12-15 Joscha Prochno , Marta Strzelecka

We prove a local limit theorem for nearest neighbours random walks in stationary random environment of conductances on Z without using any of both classic assumptions of uniform ellipticity and independence on the conductances. Besides the…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-09-16 Jean-Marc Derrien

The central limit theorem is one of the most fundamental results in probability and has been successfully extended to locally dependent data and strongly-mixing random fields. In this paper, we establish its rate of convergence for…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-09-18 Tianle Liu , Morgane Austern

We give a general local central limit theorem for the sum of two independent random variables, one of which satisfies a central limit theorem while the other satisfies a local central limit theorem with the same order variance. We apply…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-08-16 Mathew D. Penrose , Yuval Peres

This paper extends classical probabilistic results to the broader class of demimartingales and demisubmartingales. We establish variants of Doob's-type optional sampling theorem under minimal structural conditions on stopping times, relying…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-07-24 Milto Hadjikyriakou , B. L. S Prakasa Rao

We develop a general framework for conducting inference on the mean of dependent random variables given constraints on their dependency graph. We establish the consistency of an oracle variance estimator of the mean when the dependency…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-02-02 Peter M. Aronow , Forrest W. Crawford , José R. Zubizarreta

In $1946$, Mark Kac proved a Central Limit type theorem for a sequence of random variables that were not independent. The random variables under consideration were obtained from the angle-doubling map. The idea behind Kac's proof was to…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-04-04 Suprio Bhar , Ritwik Mukherjee , Prathmesh Patil

We prove a version of a general transfer theorem for random sequences with independent random indexes in the double array limit setting under relaxed conditions. We also prove its partial inverse providing the necessary and sufficient…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-09-08 V. Yu. Korolev , A. I. Zeifman

Under a Lipschitz condition on distribution dependent coefficients, the central limit theorem and the moderate deviation principle are obtained for solutions of McKean-Vlasov type stochastic differential equations, which extend from the…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-11-12 Yongqiang Suo , Chenggui Yuan

Conditional independence testing is a fundamental problem underlying causal discovery and a particularly challenging task in the presence of nonlinear and high-dimensional dependencies. Here a fully non-parametric test for continuous data…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-09-06 Jakob Runge

We identify the critical deviation scale governing Bayesian evidence accumulation in regular parametric testing. Under integrated Bayes risk with zero-one loss, the risk-optimal rejection boundary lies in a moderate deviation regime, with a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-03-23 Jyotishka Datta , Nicholas G. Polson , Vadim Sokolov , Daniel Zantedeschi

In this paper, we consider moderate deviations for Good's coverage estimator. The moderate deviation principle and the self-normalized moderate deviation principle for Good's coverage estimator are established. The results are also applied…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-05-10 Fuqing Gao

We give a local central limit theorem for simple random walks on Z^d, including Gaussian error estimates. The detailed proof combines standard large deviation techniques with Cramer-Edgeworth expansions for lattice distributions.

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Christine Ritzmann

M-dependence is a commonly used assumption in the study of dependent sequences. In this paper, central limit theorems for m-dependent random variables under the sub-linear expectations are established based mainly on the conditions of…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-09-12 Wang-Yun Gu , Li-Xin Zhang

We focus on the problem estimating a monotone trend function under additive and dependent noise. New point-wise confidence interval estimators under both short- and long-range dependent errors are introduced and studied. These intervals are…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-02-23 Pramita Bagchi , Moulinath Banerjee , Stilian Stoev

We provide a framework for empirical process theory of locally stationary processes using the functional dependence measure. Our results extend known results for stationary Markov chains and mixing sequences by another common possibility to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-08-20 Nathawut Phandoidaen , Stefan Richter

We derive upper bounds for random design linear regression with dependent ($\beta$-mixing) data absent any realizability assumptions. In contrast to the strictly realizable martingale noise regime, no sharp instance-optimal non-asymptotics…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-30 Ingvar Ziemann , Stephen Tu , George J. Pappas , Nikolai Matni

We present an adaptation of Stein's method of normal approximation to the study of both discrete- and continuous-time dynamical systems. We obtain new correlation-decay conditions on dynamical systems for a multivariate central limit…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-01-12 Olli Hella , Juho Leppänen , Mikko Stenlund

The author studies the Cram\'{e}r-Rao type bound by a linear programming approach. By this approach, he found a necessary and sufficient condition that the Cram\'{e}r-Rao type bound is attained by a random measurement. In a spin 1/2 system,…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2007-05-23 Masahito Hayashi

Correcting for skewness can result in more accurate tail probability approximations in the central limit theorem for sums of independent random variables. In this paper, we extend the theory to sums of local statistics of independent random…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-04-05 Xiao Fang , Li Luo , Qi-Man Shao