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We analyze the dynamics of moderate fluctuations for macroscopic observables of the random field Curie Weiss model (i.e., standard Curie-Weiss model embedded in a site dependent, i.i.d. random environment). We obtain path space large…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-03-13 Francesca Collet , Richard C. Kraaij

We obtain explicit error bounds for the $d$-dimensional normal approximation on hyperrectangles for a random vector that has a Stein kernel, or admits an exchangeable pair coupling, or is a non-linear statistic of independent random…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-09-08 Xiao Fang , Yuta Koike

We derive a new closed-form variance-adaptive confidence sequence (CS) for estimating the average conditional mean of a sequence of bounded random variables. Empirically, it yields the tightest closed-form CS we have found for tracking…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-12-25 Ben Chugg , Aaditya Ramdas

In this paper, we prove a central limit theorem and estabilish a moderate deviation principle for stochastic models of incompressible second fluids. The weak convergence method inreoduced by [4] plays an important role.

Probability · Mathematics 2016-08-01 Jianliang Zhai , Tusheng Zhang , Wuting Zheng

General Central limit theorem deals with weak limits (in type) of sums of row-elements of array random variables. In some situations as in the invariance principle problem, the sums may include only parts of the row-elements. For strictly…

We establish some limit theorems for one-dimensional elephant random walk, including Berry-Esseen bounds, Cram\'{e}r moderate deviations and local limit theorems. These limit theorems can be regarded as refinements of the central limit…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-10-03 Xiequan Fan , Haijuan Hu , Xiaohui Ma

We provide a unified framework for independence and mean independence tests based on the Hilbert-Schmidt independence criterion, extending some previous results in the literature to hold in general topological spaces. We also present a…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-01 Daniel Diz-Castro , Manuel Febrero-Bande , Wenceslao González-Manteiga

We establish nonuniform Berry-Esseen bounds for martingales under the conditional Bernstein condition. These bounds imply Cram\'er type large deviations for moderate $x$'s, and are of exponential decay rate as de la Pe\~na's inequality when…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-08-03 Xiequan Fan , Ion Grama , Quansheng Liu

We prove an asymptotic Cram\'er's theorem, that is, if the sequence $(X_{n}+ Y_{n})_{n\geq 1}$ converges in law to the standard normal distribution and for every $n\geq 1$ the random variables $X_{n}$ and $Y_{n}$ are independent, then…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-06-22 Ciprian Tudor

Let $(g_{n})_{n\geq 1}$ be a sequence of independent and identically distributed positive random $d\times d$ matrices and consider the matrix product $G_n: = g_n \ldots g_1$. Under suitable conditions, we establish the Berry-Esseen bounds…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-10-02 Hui Xiao , Ion Grama , Quansheng Liu

The purpose of this paper is twofold. In one direction, we extend the spectral method for random piecewise expanding and hyperbolic dynamics developed by the first author \textit{et al}. to establish quenched versions of the large deviation…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2020-12-02 Davor Dragičević , Yeor Hafouta

We provide a Lyapunov type bound in the multivariate central limit theorem for sums of independent, but not necessarily identically distributed random vectors. The error in the normal approximation is estimated for certain classes of sets,…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-07-24 Martin Raič

We derive conditions under which random sequences of polarizations (two-point symmetrizations) converge almost surely to the symmetric decreasing rearrangement. The parameters for the polarizations are independent random variables whose…

Functional Analysis · Mathematics 2013-01-16 Almut Burchard , Marc Fortier

This paper develops an asymptotic theory for two-step debiased machine learning (DML) estimators in generalised method of moments (GMM) models with general multiway clustered dependence, without relying on cross-fitting. While cross-fitting…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-04-07 Kaicheng Chen , Harold D. Chiang

In this paper, we develop Stein's method for binomial approximation using the stop-loss metric that allows one to obtain a bound on the error term between the expectation of call functions. We obtain the results for a locally dependent…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-03-25 Amit N. Kumar , P. Vellaisamy

We establish a moderate deviations principle (MDP) for the log-determinant $\log | \det (M_n) |$ of a Wigner matrix $M_n$ matching four moments with either the GUE or GOE ensemble. Further we establish Cram\'er--type moderate deviations and…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-01-16 Hanna Döring , Peter Eichelsbacher

We provide non-asymptotic, relative deviation bounds for the eigenvalues of empirical covariance and Gram matrices in general settings. Unlike typical uniform bounds, which may fail to capture the behavior of smaller eigenvalues, our…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-05-28 Daniel Barzilai , Ohad Shamir

In this paper, we obtain error bound for binomial and negative binomial approximations to weighted sums of locally dependent random variables, using Stein's method. We also discuss approximation results for weighted sums of independent…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-10-20 Amit N. Kumar

We prove a multivariate central limit theorem with explicit error bound on a non-smooth function distance for sums of bounded decomposable $d$-dimensional random vectors. The decomposition structure is similar to that of Barbour, Karo\'nski…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-05-19 Xiao Fang

The classical Cram\'er-Rao inequality gives a lower bound for the variance of a unbiased estimator of an unknown parameter, in some statistical model of a random process. In this note we rewrite the statment and proof of the bound using…

Other Statistics · Statistics 2017-10-27 Anthony D. Blaom
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