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COVID-19 vaccines are highly efficacious at preventing symptomatic infection, severe disease, and death. Most of the evidence that COVID-19 vaccines also reduce transmission of SARS-CoV-2 is based on retrospective, observational studies.…

Applications · Statistics 2022-06-16 Marlena S. Bannick , Fei Gao , Elizabeth R. Brown , Holly E. Janes

Most of the ongoing projects aimed at the development of specific therapies and vaccines against COVID-19 use the SARS-CoV-2 spike (S) protein as the main target [1-3]. The binding of the spike protein with the ACE2 receptor (ACE2) of the…

Biological Physics · Physics 2021-11-17 Claudia R. Arbeitman , Pablo Rojas , Pedro Ojeda-May , Martin E. Garcia

Mutating variants of COVID-19 have been reported across many US states since 2021. In the fight against COVID-19, it has become imperative to study the heterogeneity in the time-varying transmission rates for each variant in the presence of…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-05-17 K. D. Olumoyin , A. Q. M. Khaliq , K. M. Furati

SARS-CoV-2 lineages are defined according to placement in a phylogenetic tree, but approximated by a list of mutations based on sequences collected from clinical sampling. Wastewater lineage abundance is generally found under the assumption…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-06 Devan Becker

In this work, we derive a system of Boltzmann-type equations to describe the spread of SARS-CoV-2 virus at the microscopic scale, that is by modeling the human-to-human mechanisms of transmission. To this end, we consider two populations,…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2024-02-09 Marzia Bisi , Silvia Lorenzani

Prominently accountable for the upsurge of COVID-19 cases as the world attempts to recover from the previous two waves, Omicron has further threatened the conventional therapeutic approaches. Omicron is the fifth variant of concern (VOC),…

Other Quantitative Biology · Quantitative Biology 2022-05-11 Md Sorwer Alam Parvez , Manash Kumar Saha , Md. Ibrahim , Yusha Araf , Md. Taufiqul Islam , Gen Ohtsuki , Mohammad Jakir Hosen

Interactions between SARS-CoV-2 and the immune system during infection are complex. However, understanding the within-host SARS-CoV-2 dynamics is of enormous importance, especially when it comes to assessing treatment options. Mathematical…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2023-12-11 Lea Schuh , Peter V. Markov , Vladimir M. Veliov , Nikolaos I. Stilianakis

Governments and public health authorities use seroprevalence studies to guide responses to the COVID-19 pandemic. Seroprevalence surveys estimate the proportion of individuals who have detectable SARS-CoV-2 antibodies. However, serologic…

Applications · Statistics 2022-11-11 Samuel P. Rosin , Bonnie E. Shook-Sa , Stephen R. Cole , Michael G. Hudgens

Predicting the binding of viral peptides to the major histocompatibility complex with machine learning can potentially extend the computational immunology toolkit for vaccine development, and serve as a key component in the fight against a…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2021-04-19 Johanna Vielhaben , Markus Wenzel , Eva Weicken , Nils Strodthoff

COVID-19 is an infection caused by SARS-CoV-2 (Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome coronavirus 2), which has caused a global outbreak. Current research efforts are focused on the understanding of the molecular mechanisms involved in…

We compute the allele frequencies of the alpha (B.1.1.7), beta (B.1.351) and delta (B.167.2) variants of SARS-CoV-2 from almost two million genome sequences on the GISAID repository. We find that the frequencies of a majority of the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-09-08 Hong-Li Zeng , Yue Liu , Vito Dichio , Kaisa Thorell , Rickard Nordén , Erik Aurell

At the end of 2020, policy responses to the SARS-CoV-2 outbreak have been shaken by the emergence of virus variants. The emergence of these more contagious, more severe, or even vaccine-resistant strains have challenged worldwide policy…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-03-29 Aymeric Vie

We propose a simple dynamic model for estimating the relative contagiousness of two virus variants. Maximum likelihood estimation and inference is conveniently invariant to variation in the total number of cases over the sample period and…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-01-21 Peter Reinhard Hansen

We derive an analytic expression for site-specific stationary distributions of amino acids from the Structurally Constrained Neutral (SCN) model of protein evolution with conservation of folding stability. The stationary distributions that…

Biomolecules · Quantitative Biology 2007-05-23 Markus Porto , H. Eduardo Roman , Michele Vendruscolo , Ugo Bastolla

We introduce a data-driven epistatic model of protein evolution, capable of generating evolutionary trajectories spanning very different time scales reaching from individual mutations to diverged homologs. Our in silico evolution…

Biomolecules · Quantitative Biology 2024-09-30 Leonardo Di Bari , Matteo Bisardi , Sabrina Cotogno , Martin Weigt , Francesco Zamponi

The rapid spreading of SARS-CoV-2 and its dramatic consequences, are forcing policymakers to take strict measures in order to keep the population safe. At the same time, societal and economical interactions are to be safeguarded. A wide…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2021-02-17 Lorenzo Chicchi , Lorenzo Giambagli , Lorenzo Buffoni , Duccio Fanelli

In this work we propose the design principles of a stochastic graph-based model for the simulation of SARS-CoV-2 transmission. The proposed approach incorporates three sub-models, namely, the spatial model, the mobility model, and the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-11-11 Christos Chondros , Stavros D. Nikolopoulos , Iosif Polenakis

Network theory-based approaches provide valuable insights into the variations in global structural connectivity between differing dynamical states of proteins. Our objective is to review network-based analyses to elucidate such variations,…

The question of how SARS-CoV-2 is transmitted remains surprisingly controversial today, especially with reference to airborne transmission. In fact, despite a large body of scientific evidence, health and regulatory authorities still…

Medical Physics · Physics 2021-10-07 G. Buonanno , A. Robotto , E. Brizio , L. Morawska , A. Civra , F. Corino , D. Lembo , G. Ficco , L. Stabile

The accurate prediction of B-cell epitopes is critical for guiding vaccine development against infectious diseases, including SARS and COVID-19. This study explores the use of a deep neural network (DNN) model to predict B-cell epitopes for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-03 Xinyu Shi , Yixin Tao , Shih-Chi Lin