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Stochastic differential equations characterized by uncertainty are effective in modelling virus dynamics and provide an alternative to traditional deterministic models. Epidemic models are inevitably subjected to the randomness within the…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2024-08-12 Bishal Chhetri , B. V. Ratish Kumar

There are many sources of data giving information about the number of SARS-CoV-2 infections in the population, but all have major drawbacks, including biases and delayed reporting. For example, the number of confirmed cases largely…

Applications · Statistics 2022-06-08 Nicholas J. Irons , Adrian E. Raftery

The emerging global infectious COVID-19 coronavirus disease by novel Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) presents critical threats to global public health and the economy since it was identified in late December…

Genomics · Quantitative Biology 2020-03-25 Changchuan Yin

There is a near consensus view that SARS-CoV-2 has a natural zoonotic origin; however, several characteristics of SARS-CoV-2 taken together are not easily explained by a natural zoonotic origin hypothesis. These include: a low rate of…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-02-10 Rossana Segreto , Yuri Deigin , Kevin McCairn , Alejandro Sousa , Dan Sirotkin , Karl Sirotkin , Jonathan J. Couey , Adrian Jones , Daoyu Zhang

Surges that have been observed at different periods in the number of COVID-19 cases are associated with the emergence of multiple SARS-CoV-2 (Severe Acute Respiratory Virus) variants. The design of methods to support laboratory detection…

Preliminary epidemiologic, phylogenetic and clinical findings suggest that several novel severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) variants have increased transmissibility and decreased efficacy of several existing…

Increasing number in global COVID-19 cases demands for mathematical model to analyze the interaction between the virus dynamics and the response of innate and adaptive immunity. Here, based on the assumption of a weak and delayed response…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-01-13 Zhengqing Zhou , Zhiheng Zhao , Shuyu Shi , Jianghua Wu , Dianjie Li , Jianwei Li , Jingpeng Zhang , Ke Gui , Yu Zhang , Heng Mei , Yu Hu , Qi Ouyang , Fangting Li

Although traditional models of epidemic spreading focus on the number of infected, susceptible and recovered individuals, a lot of attention has been devoted to integrate epidemic models with population genetics. Here we develop an…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-11-24 Vitor M. Marquioni , Marcus A. M. de Aguiar

The infectivity of SARS-CoV-2 depends on the binding affinity of the receptor-binding domain (RBD) of the spike protein with the angiotensin converting enzyme 2 (ACE2) receptor. The calculated RBD-ACE2 binding energies indicate that the…

Biomolecules · Quantitative Biology 2022-04-28 Lin Yang , Shuai Guo , Chengyu Houc , Jiacheng Lia , Liping Shi , Chenchen Liao , Rongchun Shi , Xiaoliang Ma , Bing Zheng , Yi Fang , Lin Ye , Xiaodong He

Recently, the SARS-CoV-2 variants from the United Kingdom (UK), South Africa, and Brazil have received much attention for their increased infectivity, potentially high virulence, and possible threats to existing vaccines and antibody…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-03-23 Rui Wang , Jiahui Chen , Kaifu Gao , Guo-Wei Wei

RNA virus (e.g., SARS-CoV-2) evolves in a complex manner. Studying RNA virus evolution is vital for understanding molecular evolution and medicine development. Scientists lack, however, general frameworks to characterize the dynamics of RNA…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-04-20 Xiaofei Ge , Kaichao You , Zeren Tan , Hedong Hou , Yang Tian , Pei Sun

SARS-CoV-2 usually evolves at a relatively constant rate over time. Occasionally, however, lineages arise with higher-than-expected numbers of mutations given the date of sampling. Such lineages can arise for a variety of reasons, including…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2024-11-14 Erin E. Gill , Sheri Harari , Aijing Feng , Fiona S. L. Brinkman , Sarah Otto

Despite the availability of effective vaccines, the persistence of SARS-CoV-2 suggests that co-circulation with other pathogens and resulting multi-epidemics may become increasingly frequent. To better forecast and control the risk of such…

The acute phase of the Covid-19 pandemic has made apparent the need for decision support based upon accurate epidemic modeling. This process is substantially hampered by under-reporting of cases and related data incompleteness issues. In…

Applications · Statistics 2026-03-10 Anastasios Apsemidis , Nikolaos Demiris

Interactions between SARS-CoV-2 and human proteins (SARS-CoV-2 PPIs) cause information transfer through biochemical pathways that contribute to the immunopathology of COVID-19. Here, we present a communication network model of the immune…

Molecular Networks · Quantitative Biology 2022-08-15 Swarnavo Sarkar

Due to the rapidly evolving COVID-19 pandemic caused by the SARS-CoV-2 virus, quick public health investigations of the relationships between behaviours and infection risk are essential. Recently the test-negative design was proposed to…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-02-09 Mireille E. Schnitzer , Daphna Harel , Vikki Ho , Anita Koushik , Joanna Merckx

B-cell epitopes play a key role in stimulating B-cells, triggering the primary immune response which results in antibody production as well as the establishment of long-term immunity in the form of memory cells. Consequently, being able to…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2021-03-23 Bhargab Ghoshal , Biraja Ghoshal , Stephen Swift , Allan Tucker

The discovery of SARS-CoV-2, the responsible virus for the Covid-19 epidemic, has sparked a global health concern with many countries affected. Developing models that can interpret the epidemic and give common trend parameters are useful…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-09-21 Milad Radiom , Jean-Franccois Berret

The SARS-CoV-2 coronavirus is the cause of the COVID-19 disease in humans. Like many coronaviruses, it can adapt to different hosts and evolve into different lineages. It is well-known that the major SARS-CoV-2 lineages are characterized by…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-11-23 Sarwan Ali
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