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We investigate the problem of establishing finite-time probabilistic safety guarantees for discrete-time stochastic dynamical systems subject to unknown disturbance distributions, using barrier certificate methods. Our approach develops a…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-03-03 Taoran Wu , Dominik Wagner , C. -H. Luke Ong , Bai Xue

We present a method to compute the stochastic reachability safety probabilities for high-dimensional stochastic dynamical systems. Our approach takes advantage of a nonparametric learning technique known as conditional distribution…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-10-19 Adam J. Thorpe , Vignesh Sivaramakrishnan , Meeko M. K. Oishi

In this work, we propose a new framework for reachable set computation through continuous evolution of a set of parameters and offsets which define a parametope, through the intersection of constraints. This results in a dynamical approach…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-09-16 Akash Harapanahalli , Samuel Coogan

Backward reachability analysis computes the set of states that reach a target set under the competing influence of control input and disturbances. Depending on their interplay, the backward reachable set either represents all states that…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-09-19 Mark Wetzlinger , Matthias Althoff

Classical PAC generalization bounds on the prediction risk of a classifier are insufficient to provide theoretical guarantees on fairness when the goal is to learn models balancing predictive risk and fairness constraints. We propose a…

This letter proposes a novel sampled-data model predictive control framework for continuous control-affine nonlinear systems that provides rigorous reach-avoid and recursive feasibility guarantees under physical constraints. By propagating…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-04-07 Jianqiang Ding , Nishant Jayesh Bhave , Shankar A. Deka

In machine learning, Domain Adaptation (DA) arises when the distribution gen- erating the test (target) data differs from the one generating the learning (source) data. It is well known that DA is an hard task even under strong assumptions,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2012-12-12 Pascal Germain , Amaury Habrard , François Laviolette , Emilie Morvant

We use the PAC-Bayesian theory for the setting of learning-to-optimize. To the best of our knowledge, we present the first framework to learn optimization algorithms with provable generalization guarantees (PAC-Bayesian bounds) and explicit…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-26 Michael Sucker , Jalal Fadili , Peter Ochs

We study system design problems stated as parameterized stochastic programs with a chance-constraint set. We adopt a Bayesian approach that requires the computation of a posterior predictive integral which is usually intractable. In…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-01-07 Prateek Jaiswal , Harsha Honnappa , Vinayak A. Rao

Large-scale datasets are increasingly being used to inform decision making. While this effort aims to ground policy in real-world evidence, challenges have arisen as selection bias and other forms of distribution shifts often plague…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-11-07 Santiago Cortes-Gomez , Mateo Dulce , Carlos Patino , Bryan Wilder

We address functional uncertainty quantification for ill-posed inverse problems where it is possible to evaluate a possibly rank-deficient forward model, the observation noise distribution is known, and there are known parameter…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-06 Michael Stanley , Pau Batlle , Pratik Patil , Houman Owhadi , Mikael Kuusela

Data attribution methods aim to answer useful counterfactual questions like "what would a ML model's prediction be if it were trained on a different dataset?" However, estimation of data attribution models through techniques like empirical…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-19 Ari Karchmer , Martin Pawelczyk , Seth Neel

We prove semi-empirical concentration inequalities for random variables which are given as possibly nonlinear functions of independent random variables. These inequalities describe concentration of random variable in terms of the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-02-04 Ilja Kuzborskij , Csaba Szepesvári

Application of deep neural networks to medical imaging tasks has in some sense become commonplace. Still, a "thorn in the side" of the deep learning movement is the argument that deep networks are prone to overfitting and are thus unable to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-07-12 Anthony Sicilia , Xingchen Zhao , Anastasia Sosnovskikh , Seong Jae Hwang

Feature selection aims to select the smallest subset of features for a specified level of performance. The optimal achievable classification performance on a feature subset is summarized by its Receiver Operating Curve (ROC). When infinite…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2013-01-18 Frans Coetzee , Steve Lawrence , C. Lee Giles

In this paper we derive a PAC-Bayesian error bound for autonomous stochastic LTI state-space models. The motivation for deriving such error bounds is that they will allow deriving similar error bounds for more general dynamical systems,…

We consider the problem of estimating the mean of a sequence of random elements $f(X_1, \theta)$ $, \ldots, $ $f(X_n, \theta)$ where $f$ is a fixed scalar function, $S=(X_1, \ldots, X_n)$ are independent random variables, and $\theta$ is a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-14 Kyoungseok Jang , Kwang-Sung Jun , Ilja Kuzborskij , Francesco Orabona

One of the main theoretical challenges in learning dynamical systems from data is providing upper bounds on the generalization error, that is, the difference between the expected prediction error and the empirical prediction error measured…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-22 Daniel Racz , Martin Gonzalez , Mihaly Petreczky , Andras Benczur , Balint Daroczy

We consider the problem of identifying the defectives from a population of items via a non-adaptive group testing framework with a random pooling-matrix design. We analyze the sufficient number of tests needed for approximate set…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2024-12-03 Sameera Bharadwaja H. , Chandra R. Murthy

We consider finite horizon reach-avoid problems for discrete time stochastic systems. Our goal is to construct upper bound functions for the reach-avoid probability by means of tractable convex optimization problems. We achieve this by…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2015-06-11 Nikolaos Kariotoglou , Maryam Kamgarpour , Tyler H. Summers , John Lygeros
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