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In this paper we derive a Probably Approxilmately Correct(PAC)-Bayesian error bound for linear time-invariant (LTI) stochastic dynamical systems with inputs. Such bounds are widespread in machine learning, and they are useful for…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-03-30 Deividas Eringis , John Leth , Zheng-Hua Tan , Rafael Wisniewski , Mihaly Petreczky

Bayesian inference typically requires the computation of an approximation to the posterior distribution. An important requirement for an approximate Bayesian inference algorithm is to output high-accuracy posterior mean and uncertainty…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-10-03 Jonathan H. Huggins , Trevor Campbell , Mikołaj Kasprzak , Tamara Broderick

We propose and discuss a new computational method for the numerical approximation of reachable sets for nonlinear control systems. It is based on the support vector machine algorithm and represents the set approximation as a sublevel set of…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2014-12-11 Martin Rasmussen , Janosch Rieger , Kevin Webster

We characterize the reachability probabilities in stochastic directed graphs by means of reinforcement learning methods. In particular, we show that the dynamics of the transition probabilities in a stochastic digraph can be modeled via a…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2022-02-28 Corrado Possieri , Mattia Frasca , Alessandro Rizzo

This work presents a method of efficiently computing inner and outer approximations of forward reachable sets for nonlinear control systems with changed dynamics and diminished control authority, given an a priori computed reachable set for…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-03-22 Hamza El-Kebir , Ani Pirosmanishvili , Melkior Ornik

Prediction sets capture uncertainty by predicting sets of labels rather than individual labels, enabling downstream decisions to conservatively account for all plausible outcomes. Conformal inference algorithms construct prediction sets…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-10-20 Wenwen Si , Sangdon Park , Insup Lee , Edgar Dobriban , Osbert Bastani

Variational approximation techniques and inference for stochastic models in machine learning has gained much attention the last years. Especially in the case of Gaussian Processes (GP) and their deep versions, Deep Gaussian Processes…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-09-24 Roman Föll , Ingo Steinwart

In this paper, we investigate the question: Given a small number of datapoints, for example N = 30, how tight can PAC-Bayes and test set bounds be made? For such small datasets, test set bounds adversely affect generalisation performance by…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-01-14 Andrew Y. K. Foong , Wessel P. Bruinsma , David R. Burt , Richard E. Turner

Approximate Bayesian computation (ABC) is an approach for sampling from an approximate posterior distribution in the presence of a computationally intractable likelihood function. A common implementation is based on simulating model,…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-01-16 D. Prangle , M. G. B. Blum , G. Popovic , S. A. Sisson

We investigate the feasibility of sample average approximation (SAA) for general stochastic optimization problems, including two-stage stochastic programming without the relatively complete recourse assumption. Instead of analyzing problems…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-02-22 Henry Lam , Fengpei Li

Estimating the empirical distribution of a scalar-valued data set is a basic and fundamental task. In this paper, we tackle the problem of estimating an empirical distribution in a setting with two challenging features. First, the algorithm…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-01-16 Princewill Okoroafor , Vaishnavi Gupta , Robert Kleinberg , Eleanor Goh

Data-driven reachability analysis computes over-approximations of reachable sets directly from noisy data. Existing deterministic methods require either known noise bounds or system-specific structural parameters such as Lipschitz…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-03-17 Yanliang Huang , Zhen Zhang , Peng Xie , Zhuoqi Zeng , Amr Alanwar

This work studies discrete-time discounted Markov decision processes with continuous state and action spaces and addresses the inverse problem of inferring a cost function from observed optimal behavior. We first consider the case in which…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-05-27 Angeliki Kamoutsi , Peter Schmitt-Förster , Tobias Sutter , Volkan Cevher , John Lygeros

Our goal is to learn control policies for robots that provably generalize well to novel environments given a dataset of example environments. The key technical idea behind our approach is to leverage tools from generalization theory in…

Robotics · Computer Science 2020-08-27 Anirudha Majumdar , Alec Farid , Anoopkumar Sonar

Goldwasser et al. (2021) recently proposed the setting of PAC verification, where a hypothesis (machine learning model) that purportedly satisfies the agnostic PAC learning objective is verified using an interactive proof. In this paper we…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-09-06 Saachi Mutreja , Jonathan Shafer

Christoffel polynomials are classical tools from approximation theory. They can be used to estimate the (compact) support of a measure $\mu$ on $\mathbb{R}^d$ based on its low-degree moments. Recently, they have been applied to problems in…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-04-21 Jean-Bernard Lasserre , Lucas Slot

This paper addresses the problem of approximating an unknown function from point evaluations. When obtaining these point evaluations is costly, minimising the required sample size becomes crucial, and it is unreasonable to reserve a…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-11-06 Nando Hegemann , Anthony Nouy , Philipp Trunschke

Model counting of Disjunctive Normal Form (DNF) formulas is a critical problem in applications such as probabilistic inference and network reliability. For example, it is often used for query evaluation in probabilistic databases. Due to…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2026-01-16 Paul Burkhardt , David G. Harris , Kevin T Schmitt

Covariate balancing is a popular technique for controlling confounding in observational studies. It finds weights for the treatment group which are close to uniform, but make the group's covariate means (approximately) equal to those of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-07 Shiva Kaul , Min-Gyu Kim

Forward reachability analysis is the predominant approach for verifying reach-avoid properties in neural feedback systems (dynamical systems controlled by neural networks). This dominance stems from the limited scalability of existing…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-01-14 Samuel I. Akinwande , Sydney M. Katz , Mykel J. Kochenderfer , Clark Barrett