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Animals are known to make efficient probabilistic inferences based on uncertain and noisy information from the outside world. Although it is known that generic neural networks can perform near-optimal point estimation by probabilistic…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2021-11-10 Kohei Ichikawa , Asaki Kataoka

Random walks are ubiquitous in the sciences, and they are interesting from both theoretical and practical perspectives. They are one of the most fundamental types of stochastic processes; can be used to model numerous phenomena, including…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-04-13 Naoki Masuda , Mason A. Porter , Renaud Lambiotte

We present an optimization-based method to plan the motion of an autonomous robot under the uncertainties associated with dynamic obstacles, such as humans. Our method bounds the marginal risk of collisions at each point in time by…

Robotics · Computer Science 2021-03-24 O. de Groot , B. Brito , L. Ferranti , D. Gavrila , J. Alonso-Mora

Very often when studying non-equilibrium systems one is interested in analysing dynamical behaviour that occurs with very low probability, so called rare events. In practice, since rare events are by definition atypical, they are often…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2021-01-06 Dominic C. Rose , Jamie F. Mair , Juan P. Garrahan

The problem of a restricted random walk on graphs which keeps track of the number of immediate reversal steps is considered by using a transfer matrix formulation. A closed-form expression is obtained for the generating function of the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 F. Y. Wu , H. Kunz

We propose Narrowest Significance Pursuit (NSP), a general and flexible methodology for automatically detecting localised regions in data sequences which each must contain a change-point (understood as an abrupt change in the parameters of…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-05-05 Piotr Fryzlewicz

The goal of this paper is to propose novel strategies for adaptive learning of signals defined over graphs, which are observed over a (randomly time-varying) subset of vertices. We recast two classical adaptive algorithms in the graph…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-08-01 Paolo Di Lorenzo , Paolo Banelli , Elvin Isufi , Sergio Barbarossa , Geert Leus

This contribution proposes a method to make agents in a microscopic simulation of pedestrian traffic walk approximately along a path of estimated minimal remaining travel time to their destination. Usually models of pedestrian dynamics are…

Physics and Society · Physics 2014-07-15 Tobias Kretz , Andree Grosse , Stefan Hengst , Lukas Kautzsch , Andrej Pohlmann , Peter Vortisch

In this work, Transition Probability Matrix (TPM) is proposed as a new method for extracting the features of nodes in the graph. The proposed method uses random walks to capture the connectivity structure of a node's close neighborhood. The…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-07 Sarmad N. Mohammed , Semra Gündüç

We review mathematically tractable models for connected networks on random points in the plane, emphasizing the class of proximity graphs which deserves to be better known to applied probabilists and statisticians. We introduce and motivate…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-01-06 David J. Aldous , Julian Shun

We propose a protocol optimization technique that is applicable to both weighted or unweighted graphs. Our aim is to explore by how much a small variation around the Shortest Path or Optimal Path protocols can enhance protocol performance.…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-05-19 Jose J. Ramasco , Marta S. de la Lama , Eduardo Lopez , Stefan Boettcher

Some of the most used sampling mechanisms that implicitly leverage a social network depend on tuning parameters; for instance, Respondent-Driven Sampling (RDS) is specified by the number of seeds and maximum number of referrals. We are…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-12-06 Simón Lunagómez , Marios Papamichalis , Patrick J. Wolfe , Edoardo M. Airoldi

Random walks have been proposed as a simple method of efficiently searching, or disseminating information throughout, communication and sensor networks. In nature, animals (such as ants) tend to follow correlated random walks, i.e., random…

Distributed, Parallel, and Cluster Computing · Computer Science 2015-02-03 Graeme Smith , J. W. Sanders , Qin Li

In this paper, we present a new idea for Transfer Learning (TL) based on Gibbs Sampling. Gibbs sampling is an algorithm in which instances are likely to transfer to a new state with a higher possibility with respect to a probability…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-06-26 Hossein Shahabadi Farahani , Alireza Fatehi , Mahdi Aliyari Shoorehdeli

Existing methods for the estimation of stable distribution parameters, such as those based on sample quantiles, sample characteristic functions or maximum likelihood generally assume an independent sample. Little attention has been paid to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-05-05 Adrian W. Barker

Existing network simulations often rely on simplistic models that send packets at random intervals, failing to capture the critical role of application-level behaviour. This paper presents a statistical approach that extracts and models…

Networking and Internet Architecture · Computer Science 2025-02-04 Murugaraj Odiathevar , Kim Chung Yup

This paper investigates the problem of tracking solutions of stochastic optimization problems with time-varying costs that depend on random variables with decision-dependent distributions. In this context, we propose the use of an online…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-10-29 Killian Wood , Gianluca Bianchin , Emiliano Dall'Anese

For diffusive stochastic dynamics, the probability to observe any individual trajectory is vanishingly small, making it unclear how to experimentally validate theoretical results for ratios of path probabilities. We provide the missing link…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2021-08-04 Jannes Gladrow , Ulrich F. Keyser , R. Adhikari , Julian Kappler

We present an approximated maximum likelihood method for the multifractal random walk processes of [E. Bacry et al., Phys. Rev. E 64, 026103 (2001)]. The likelihood is computed using a Laplace approximation and a truncation in the…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2015-06-03 Ola Løvsletten , Martin Rypdal

The aim of this paper is to check feasibility of using the maximal-entropy random walk in algorithms finding communities in complex networks. A number of such algorithms exploit an ordinary or a biased random walk for this purpose. Their…

Physics and Society · Physics 2013-02-05 Jeremi K. Ochab , Zdzisław Burda