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This paper presents a novel predictive maintenance framework centered on Enhanced Quantile Regression Neural Networks EQRNNs, for anticipating system failures in industrial robotics. We address the challenge of early failure detection…

Robotics · Computer Science 2025-01-10 David J Poland

Quantum Recurrent Neural Networks (QRNNs) are robust candidates for modelling and predicting future values in multivariate time series. However, the effective implementation of some QRNN models is limited by the need for mid-circuit…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2025-01-31 José Daniel Viqueira , Daniel Faílde , Mariamo M. Juane , Andrés Gómez , David Mera

Multi-horizon probabilistic time series forecasting has wide applicability to real-world tasks such as demand forecasting. Recent work in neural time-series forecasting mainly focus on the use of Seq2Seq architectures. For example,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-09-09 Sitan Yang , Carson Eisenach , Dhruv Madeka

This paper presents a comprehensive study on stock price prediction, leveragingadvanced machine learning (ML) and deep learning (DL) techniques to improve financial forecasting accuracy. The research evaluates the performance of various…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-02-25 Daksh Dave , Gauransh Sawhney , Vikhyat Chauhan

In the regression problem, L1 and L2 are the most commonly used loss functions, which produce mean predictions with different biases. However, the predictions are neither robust nor adequate enough since they only capture a few conditional…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-11-14 Faen Zhang , Xinyu Fan , Hui Xu , Pengcheng Zhou , Yujian He , Junlong Liu

We propose a framework for general probabilistic multi-step time series regression. Specifically, we exploit the expressiveness and temporal nature of Sequence-to-Sequence Neural Networks (e.g. recurrent and convolutional structures), the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-06-29 Ruofeng Wen , Kari Torkkola , Balakrishnan Narayanaswamy , Dhruv Madeka

We showcase how Quantile Regression (QR) can be applied to forecast financial returns using Limit Order Books (LOBs), the canonical data source of high-frequency financial time-series. We develop a deep learning architecture that…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2019-06-13 Zihao Zhang , Stefan Zohren , Stephen Roberts

We propose a novel machine learning approach for forecasting the distribution of stock returns using a rich set of firm-level and market predictors. Our method combines a two-stage quantile neural network with spline interpolation to…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-08-05 Jozef Barunik , Martin Hronec , Ondrej Tobek

Access to a large variety of data across a massive population has made it possible to predict customer purchase patterns and responses to marketing campaigns. In particular, accurate demand forecasts for popular products with frequent…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-01-01 Tianle Chen , Brian Keng , Javier Moreno

This paper investigates the optimization of temporal windows in Financial Deep Reinforcement Learning (DRL) models using 2D Convolutional Neural Networks (CNNs). We introduce a novel approach to treating the temporal field as a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-24 Sina Montazeri , Haseebullah Jumakhan , Amir Mirzaeinia

With the ever increasing prominence of data in retail operations, sales forecasting has become an essential pillar in the efficient management of inventories. When facing high demand, the use of backroom storage and intraday shelf…

Applications · Statistics 2019-12-17 Marc-Olivier Boldi , Valérie Chavez-Demoulin , Olivier Gallay

Multivariate time series forecasting is an important yet challenging problem in machine learning. Most existing approaches only forecast the series value of one future moment, ignoring the interactions between predictions of future moments…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-12-12 Jiezhu Cheng , Kaizhu Huang , Zibin Zheng

Many large-scale production networks include thousands types of final products and tens to hundreds thousands types of raw materials and intermediate products. These networks face complicated inventory management decisions, which are often…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-01-19 Tan Wan , L. Jeff Hong

This paper considers doing quantile regression on censored data using neural networks (NNs). This adds to the survival analysis toolkit by allowing direct prediction of the target variable, along with a distribution-free characterisation of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-02-07 Tim Pearce , Jong-Hyeon Jeong , Yichen Jia , Jun Zhu

This paper addresses a multi-echelon inventory management problem with a complex network topology where deriving optimal ordering decisions is difficult. Deep reinforcement learning (DRL) has recently shown potential in solving such…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-01-30 Liqiang Cheng , Jun Luo , Weiwei Fan , Yidong Zhang , Yuan Li

While distribution networks (DNs) turn from consumers to active and responsive intelligent DNs, the question of how to represent them in large-scale transmission network (TN) studies is still under investigation. The standard approach that…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-07-11 Johanna Vorwerk , Thierry Zufferey , Petros Aristidou , Gabriela Hug

Time series prediction is essential for human activities in diverse areas. A common approach to this task is to harness Recurrent Neural Networks (RNNs). However, while their predictions are quite accurate, their learning process is complex…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2025-05-30 Michał Siemaszko , Adam Buraczewski , Bertrand Le Saux , Magdalena Stobińska

This paper compares recurrent neural networks (RNNs) with different types of gated cells for forecasting time series with multiple seasonality. The cells we compare include classical long short term memory (LSTM), gated recurrent unit…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-03-18 Grzegorz Dudek , Slawek Smyl , Paweł Pełka

This paper introduces a new framework for multivariate quantile regression based on the multivariate distribution function, termed multivariate quantile regression (MQR). In contrast to existing approaches--such as directional quantiles,…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-01-01 Antonio F. Galvao , Gabriel Montes-Rojas

An iterated multistep forecasting scheme based on recurrent neural networks (RNN) is proposed for the time series generated by causal chains with infinite memory. This forecasting strategy contains, as a particular case, the iterative…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2025-03-21 Lyudmila Grigoryeva , James Louw , Juan-Pablo Ortega
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