Related papers: Neural Multi-Quantile Forecasting for Optimal Inve…
Missing data is a ubiquitous problem. It is especially challenging in medical settings because many streams of measurements are collected at different - and often irregular - times. Accurate estimation of those missing measurements is…
This study enhances a Deep Q-Network (DQN) trading model by incorporating advanced techniques like Prioritized Experience Replay, Regularized Q-Learning, Noisy Networks, Dueling, and Double DQN. Extensive tests on assets like BTC/USD and…
Energy storage devices represent environmentally friendly candidates to cope with volatile renewable energy generation. Motivated by the increase in privately owned storage systems, this paper studies the problem of real-time control of a…
Deep learning-based models have recently outperformed state-of-the-art seasonal forecasting models, such as for predicting El Ni\~no-Southern Oscillation (ENSO). However, current deep learning models are based on convolutional neural…
We took part in the Corporacion Favorita Grocery Sales Forecasting competition hosted on Kaggle and achieved the 2nd place. In this abstract paper, we present an overall analysis and solution to the underlying machine-learning problem based…
We propose a modular framework for temporal disaggregation of quarterly GDP into monthly frequency, in which the regression step accommodates any supervised learning model while Mariano-Murasawa reconciliation enforces quarterly…
This paper presents a novel way to apply mathematical finance and machine learning (ML) to forecast stock options prices. Following results from the paper Quasi-Reversibility Method and Neural Network Machine Learning to Solution of…
We propose a deep Recurrent neural network (RNN) framework for computing prices and deltas of American options in high dimensions. Our proposed framework uses two deep RNNs, where one network learns the price and the other learns the delta…
Since the introduction of the quantum neural network model, it has been widely studied due to its strong expressive power and robustness to overfitting. To date, the model has been evaluated primarily in classification tasks, but its…
Quantile regression is a powerful statistical methodology that complements the classical linear regression by examining how covariates influence the location, scale, and shape of the entire response distribution and offering a global view…
Continuous value prediction plays a crucial role in industrial-scale recommendation systems, including tasks such as predicting users' watch-time and estimating the gross merchandise value (GMV) in e-commerce transactions. However, it…
The problem of automatic and accurate forecasting of time-series data has always been an interesting challenge for the machine learning and forecasting community. A majority of the real-world time-series problems have non-stationary…
Due to the dynamic nature of financial markets, maintaining models that produce precise predictions over time is difficult. Often the goal isn't just point prediction but determining uncertainty. Quantifying uncertainty, especially the…
This paper applies a recurrent neural network (RNN) method to forecast cotton and oil prices. We show how these new tools from machine learning, particularly Long-Short Term Memory (LSTM) models, complement traditional methods. Our results…
Graph Neural Networks (GNNs) are powerful tools for learning graph-structured data, but their scalability is hindered by inefficient mini-batch generation, data transfer bottlenecks, and costly inter-GPU synchronization. Existing training…
Accurate time series forecasting is a fundamental challenge in data science. It is often affected by external covariates such as weather or human intervention, which in many applications, may be predicted with reasonable accuracy. We refer…
We present an architecture of a recurrent neural network (RNN) with a fully-connected deep neural network (DNN) as its feature extractor. The RNN is equipped with both causal temporal prediction and non-causal look-ahead, via…
We develop a Monte-Carlo based numerical method for solving discrete-time stochastic optimal control problems with inventory. These are optimal control problems in which the control affects only a deterministically evolving inventory…
We study the problem of temporal-difference-based policy evaluation in reinforcement learning. In particular, we analyse the use of a distributional reinforcement learning algorithm, quantile temporal-difference learning (QTD), for this…
We introduce autoregressive implicit quantile networks (AIQN), a fundamentally different approach to generative modeling than those commonly used, that implicitly captures the distribution using quantile regression. AIQN is able to achieve…