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An attractor of a dynamical system may represent the system's 'desirable' state. Perturbations to the system may push the system out of the basin of attraction of the desirable attractor and into undesirable states. Hence, it is important…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2024-08-15 Calvin Alvares , Soumitro Banerjee

Transient dynamics are of large interest in many areas of science. Here, a generalization of basin stability (BS) is presented: constrained basin stability (CBS) that is sensitive to various different types of transients arising from finite…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2016-04-20 Adrian van Kan , Jannes Jegminat , Jonathan Donges , Jürgen Kurths

Stability assessment methods for dynamical systems have recently been complemented by basin stability and derived measures, i.e. probabilistic statements whether systems remain in a basin of attraction given a distribution of perturbations.…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2017-03-08 Paul Schultz , Peter J. Menck , Jobst Heitzig , Jürgen Kurths

In this paper we propose a new method to detect and classify coexisting solutions in nonlinear systems. We focus on mechanical and structural systems where we usually avoid multistability for safety and reliability. We want to be sure that…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2016-02-12 P. Brzeski , M. Lazarek , T. Kapitaniak , J. Kurths , P. Perlikowski

Dynamical entities interacting with each other on complex networks often exhibit multistability. The stability of a desired steady regime (e.g., a synchronized state) to large perturbations is critical in the operation of many real-world…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2017-03-22 Chiranjit Mitra , Anshul Choudhary , Sudeshna Sinha , Jürgen Kurths , Reik V. Donner

The basin entropy is a simple idea that aims to measure the the final state unpredictability of multistable systems. Since 2016, the basin entropy has been widely used in different contexts of physics, from cold atoms to galactic dynamics.…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2023-02-03 Alvar Daza , Alexandre Wagemakers , Miguel A. F. Sanjuán

Assessment of the degree of boundedness/stability of multidimensional nonlinear systems with time-dependent and nonperiodic coefficients is an important problem in various applied areas which has no adequate resolution yet. Most of the…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2022-06-07 Mark A. Pinsky

Multistability is a phenomenon prevalent in many natural systems. In climate, for example, it allows the possibility of irreversible consequences on planetary scale as a result of climate change. Indeed, a climate ``tipping element'' is a…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2026-04-14 George Datseris , Johannes Lohmann , Oisín Hamilton , Jacob Haqq-Misra

In nonlinear dynamics, basins of attraction link a given set of initial conditions to its corresponding final states. This notion appears in a broad range of applications where several outcomes are possible, which is a common situation in…

We propose a novel method applied to extrasolar planetary dynamics to describe the system stability. The observations in this field serve the measurements mainly of radial velocity, transit time, and/or celestial position. These scalar time…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2020-01-08 Tamas Kovacs

A wide body of work has applied the concept of critical slowing down to estimate the stability of different Earth system components. Most of them -- such as global vegetation -- are inherently non-stationary, for example due to strong…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2026-04-28 Taylor Smith , Andreas Morr , Christof Schötz , Niklas Boers

Stability of dynamical systems is a central topic with applications in widespread areas such as economy, biology, physics and mechanical engineering. The dynamics of nonlinear systems may completely change due to perturbations forcing the…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2017-06-20 Niklas L. P. Lundström

Information in the time distribution of points in a state space reconstructed from observed data yields a test for ``nonstationarity''. Framed in terms of a statistical hypothesis test, this numerical algorithm can discern whether some…

chao-dyn · Physics 2008-02-03 Matthew B. Kennel

Nonstationarity is a major challenge in analyzing spatial data. For example, daily precipitation measurements may have increased variability and decreased spatial smoothness in areas with high mean rainfall. Common nonstationary covariance…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-05-31 Geoffrey Colin Lee Peterson , Joseph Guinness , Adam Terando , Brian J. Reich

A new measure to characterize stability of complex dynamical systems against large perturbation is suggested, the stability threshold (ST). It quantifies the magnitude of the weakest perturbation capable to disrupt the system and switch it…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2016-01-06 Vladimir V. Klinshov , Vladimir I. Nekorkin , Jürgen Kurths

The definitions of temporal instability and of spatial instability in a flow system are comparatively surveyed. The simple model of one-dimensional Burgers' flow is taken as the scenario where such different conceptions of instability are…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2023-10-04 Antonio Barletta

We study prediction-assimilation systems, which have become routine in meteorology and oceanography and are rapidly spreading to other areas of the geosciences and of continuum physics. The long-term, nonlinear stability of such a system…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2009-11-13 Alberto Carrassi , Michael Ghil , Anna Trevisan , Francesco Uboldi

Tipping elements in the climate system are large-scale subregions of the Earth that might possess threshold behavior under global warming with large potential impacts on human societies. Here, we study a subset of five tipping elements and…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2023-10-25 Nico Wunderling , Maximilian Gelbrecht , Ricarda Winkelmann , Jürgen Kurths , Jonathan Donges

We study the BS model, which is a one-dimensional lattice field theory taking real values. Its dynamics is governed by coupled differential equations plus random nearest neighbor exchanges. The BS model has exactly two locally conserved…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-06-23 Herbert Spohn , Gabriel Stoltz

Locomotion in the real world involves unexpected perturbations, and therefore requires strategies to maintain stability to successfully execute desired behaviours. Ensuring the safety of locomoting systems therefore necessitates a…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2016-04-05 Victor Shia , Talia Moore , Ruzena Bajcsy , Ram Vasudevan
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