Related papers: Computation of conditional expectations with guara…
We describe a simple method for making inference on a functional of a multivariate distribution. The method is based on a copula representation of the multivariate distribution and it is based on the properties of an Approximate Bayesian…
We develop a new approximative estimation method for conditional Shapley values obtained using a linear regression model. We develop a new estimation method and outperform existing methodology and implementations. Compared to the sequential…
Our research proposes a novel method for reducing the dimensionality of functional data, specifically for the case where the response is a scalar and the predictor is a random function. Our method utilizes distance covariance, and has…
Partial differential equation is a powerful tool to characterize various physics systems. In practice, measurement errors are often present and probability models are employed to account for such uncertainties. In this paper, we present a…
Consider a stationary real-valued time series $\{X_n\}_{n=0}^{\infty}$ with a priori unknown distribution. The goal is to estimate the conditional expectation $E(X_{n+1}|X_0,..., X_n)$ based on the observations $(X_0,..., X_n)$ in a…
We present a numerical method to compute expectations of functionals of a piecewise-deterministic Markov process. We discuss time dependent functionals as well as deterministic time horizon problems. Our approach is based on the…
The metric properties of the set in which random variables take their values lead to relevant probabilistic concepts. For example, the mean of a random variable is a best predictor in that it minimizes the standard Euclidean distance or…
A reasonable confidence interval should have a confidence coefficient no less than the given nominal level and a small expected length to reliably and accurately estimate the parameter of interest, and the bootstrap interval is considered…
A long-standing problem in the construction of asymptotically correct confidence bands for a regression function $m(x)=E[Y|X=x]$, where $Y$ is the response variable influenced by the covariate $X$, involves the situation where $Y$ values…
Single-parameter summaries of variable effects in regression settings are desirable for ease of interpretation. However (partially) linear models for example, which would deliver these, may fit poorly to the data. On the other hand, an…
A sequential quadratic optimization algorithm for minimizing an objective function defined by an expectation subject to nonlinear inequality and equality constraints is proposed, analyzed, and tested. The context of interest is when it is…
Bayesian inference typically requires the computation of an approximation to the posterior distribution. An important requirement for an approximate Bayesian inference algorithm is to output high-accuracy posterior mean and uncertainty…
We consider the approximation of the performance of random walks in the quarter-plane. The approximation is in terms of a random walk with a product-form stationary distribution, which is obtained by perturbing the transition probabilities…
We consider the problem of numerically evaluating the expected value of a smooth bounded function of a chi-distributed random variable, divided by the square root of the number of degrees of freedom. This problem arises in the contexts of…
Let $\pi_{0}$ and $\pi_{1}$ be two distributions on the Borel space $(\mathbb{R}^{d},\mathcal{B}(\mathbb{R}^{d}))$. Any measurable function $T:\mathbb{R}^{d}\rightarrow\mathbb{R}^{d}$ such that $Y=T(X)\sim\pi_{1}$ if $X\sim\pi_{0}$ is…
This paper studies selecting a subset of the system's output to minimize the state estimation mean square error (MSE). This results in the maximization problem of a set function defined on possible sensor selections subject to a cardinality…
We study the problem of conditional expectations in free random variables and provide closed formulas for the conditional expectation of resolvents of arbitrary non-commutative polynomials in free random variables onto the subalgebra of an…
A necessary and sufficient condition on a sequence $\{\mathfrak{A}_n\}_{n\in \mathbb{N}}$ of $\sigma$-subalgebras that assures convergence almost every where of conditional expectations is given.
This paper proposes minimum distance inference for a structural parameter of interest, which is robust to the lack of identification of other structural nuisance parameters. Some choices of the weighting matrix lead to asymptotic…
In this paper, we study bounds of expected $L_2-$discrepancy to give mean square error of uniform integration approximation for functions in Sobolev space $\mathcal{H}^{\mathbf{1}}(K)$, where $\mathcal{H}$ is a reproducing Hilbert space…