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Related papers: Rate-Induced Tipping: Thresholds, Edge States and …

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We analyze rate-dependent tipping in a fast/slow system with an equilibrium near the fold of a critical manifiold. We find a Hopf bifurcation as the rate parameter increases in the reduced co-moving system. This implies the growth of a…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2017-04-25 Jonathan Hahn

When quantifying the time spent in the transient of a complex dynamical system, the fundamental problem is that for a large class of systems the actual time for reaching an attractor is infinite. Common methods for dealing with this problem…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2017-09-13 Tim Kittel , Jobst Heitzig , Kevin Webster , Juergen Kurths

We identify the phase of a cycle as a new critical factor for tipping points (critical transitions) in cyclic systems subject to time-varying external conditions. As an example, we consider how contemporary climate variability induces…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2021-10-11 Hassan Alkhayuon , Rebecca C. Tyson , Sebastian Wieczorek

Abrupt transitions are a central concern in climate and ecological research, and may arise when critical thresholds known as tipping points are crossed. However, previous work has shown that finite-time overshoots of tipping points can be…

Tipping points characterize situations where a regulated system may experience a sudden and irreversible change and are generally associated with a random state of the system below which the change materializes. In this paper, we study a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-02-25 Jean-Paul Décamps , Fabien Gensbittel , Thomas Mariotti , Stéphane Villeneuve

A variation in the environment of a system, such as the temperature, the concentration of a chemical solution or the appearance of a magnetic field, may lead to a drift in one of the parameters. If the parameter crosses a bifurcation point,…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2023-08-16 Julia Cantisán , Serhiy Yanchuk , Jesús M. Seoane , Miguel A. F. Sanjuán , Jürgen Kurths

Model studies indicate that many climate subsystems, especially ecosystems, may be vulnerable to 'tipping': a 'catastrophic process' in which a system, driven by gradually changing external factors, abruptly transitions (or 'collapses')…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2025-06-30 Dock Staal , Arjen Doelman

In this work, we consider the problem of event-triggered implementation of control laws designed for the local stabilization of nonlinear systems with center manifolds. We propose event-triggering conditions which are derived from a local…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-10-22 Akshit Saradagi , Vijay Muralidharan , Arun D. Mahindrakar , Pavankumar Tallapragada

In this paper we develop novel results on self triggering control of nonlinear systems, subject to perturbations and actuation delays. First, considering an unperturbed nonlinear system with bounded actuation delays, we provide conditions…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2011-08-29 M. D. Di Benedetto , S. Di Gennaro , A. D'Innocenzo

Sudden and abrupt changes can occur in a nonlinear system within many fields of science when such a system crosses a tipping point and rapid changes of the system occur in response to slow changes in an external forcing. These can occur…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2025-09-05 Paul D. L. Ritchie , Robbin Bastiaansen , Anna S. von der Heydt , Peter Ashwin

This review synthesizes recent advancements in understanding tipping points and cascading transitions within the Earth system, framing them through the lens of nonlinear dynamics and complexity science. It outlines the fundamental concepts…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-11-04 Sheng Fang , Ziyan Wang , Jürgen Kurths , Jingfang Fan

Tipping points are one of the hot topics in modern physics of complex systems. But what is a tipping point? A generic definition declares it as ``a state of the system where a small change in its parameters can lead to a significant change…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2026-02-25 Alan Hastings , Sergei Petrovskii , Valerio Lucarini , Andrew Morozov

Critical transitions, ubiquitous in nature and technology, necessitate anticipation to avert adverse outcomes. While many studies focus on bifurcation-induced tipping, where a control parameter change leads to destabilization, alternative…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2026-03-03 Martin Heßler , Oliver Kamps

Topological edge states typically arise at the boundaries of topologically nontrivial structures or at interfaces between regions with differing topological invariants. When topological systems are extended into the nonlinear regime, linear…

This paper investigates biological models that represent the transition equation from a system in the past to a system in the future. It is shown that finite-time Lyapunov exponents calculated along a locally pullback attractive solution…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2024-02-19 Jesús Dueñas , Iacopo P. Longo , Rafael Obaya

Tipping behavior can occur when an equilibrium of a dynamical system loses stability in response to a slowly varying parameter crossing a bifurcation threshold, or where noise drives a system from one attractor to another, or some…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2026-01-26 Raphael Römer , Peter Ashwin

A classical scenario for tipping is that a dynamical system experiences a slow parameter drift across a fold tipping point, caused by a run-away positive feedback loop. We study what happens if one turns around after one has crossed the…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2019-01-21 Paul Ritchie , Ozkan Karabacak , Jan Sieber

The paper deals with the study of rate-induced tipping in asymptotically autonomous scalar ordinary differential equations. We prove that, in such a tipping scenario, a solution which limits at a hyperbolic stable equilibrium of the past…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2022-04-14 Christian Kuehn , Iacopo P. Longo

Tipping points (TP) in climate sub-systems are usually thought to occur at a well-defined, critical forcing parameter threshold, via destabilization of the system state by a single, dominant positive feedback. However, coupling to other…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-12-24 Johannes Lohmann , Henk A. Dijkstra , Markus Jochum , Valerio Lucarini , Peter D. Ditlevsen

It is often known, from modelling studies, that a certain mode of climate tipping (of the oceanic thermohaline circulation, for example) is governed by an underlying fold bifurcation. For such a case we present a scheme of analysis that…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2010-12-15 J. M. T. Thompson , Jan Sieber