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Related papers: A discrete-time epidemic SISI model

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Covid-19 is one of the most dreaded pandemics/epidemics in the world threatening the human population. The dynamics of this pandemic is quite complicated and prediction of pandemic states often fails. In this work, we study and correlate…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-10-06 Jyoti Bhadana , R. K. Brojen Singh

The susceptible-infectious-recovered (SIR) model describes the evolution of three species of individuals which are subject to an infection and recovery mechanism. A susceptible $S$ can become infectious with an infection rate $\beta$ by an…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2008-06-30 Gunter M. Schütz , Marian Brandau , Steffen Trimper

The purpose of this paper is to analyze the mechanism for the interplay of deterministic and stochastic models for contagious diseases. Deterministic models for contagious diseases are prone to predict global stability. Small natural birth…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-06-17 Torsten Lindström

In this paper we consider the fractional SIS epidemic model ($\alpha$-SIS model) in the case of constant population size. We provide a representation of the explicit solution to the fractional model and we illustrate the results by…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-07-10 Caterina Balzotti , Mirko D'Ovidio , Paola Loreti

Self-adaptive dynamics occurs in many physical systems such as socio-economics, neuroscience, or biophysics. We formalize a self-adaptive modeling approach, where adaptation takes place within a set of strategies based on the history of the…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2022-04-01 Konstantin Clauß , Christian Kuehn

We study the class of SIS epidemics on temporal networks and propose a new activity-driven and adaptive epidemic model that captures the impact of asymptomatic and infectious individuals in the network. In the proposed model, referred to as…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-08-04 Ashish R. Hota , Kavish Gupta

Dynamic properties of spreading infection through a heterogeneous population are studied numerically and analytically using a dynamic variant of Watts and Strogatz Small World Network-based stochastic Susceptible-Exposed-Infectious-Removed…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2019-06-28 O. Mosbah , N. Zekri , M. Mokhtari , S. Sahraoui

In the absence of other tools, monitoring the effects of protective measures, including social distancing and forecasting the outcome of outbreaks is of immense interest. Real-time data is noisy and very often hampered by systematic errors…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-08-11 Gabor Vattay

Threshold theorem is probably the most important development of mathematical epidemic modelling. Unfortunately, some models may not behave according to the threshold. In this paper, we will focus on the final outcome of SIR model with…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2018-03-06 Kurnia Susvitasari

This paper is devoted to the study of a stochastic epidemiological model which is a variant of the SIR model to which we add an extra factor in the transition rate from susceptible to infected accounting for the inflow of infection due to…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2021-06-29 Gadi Fibich , Samuel Nordmann

A model describing the dynamics related to the spreading of non-lethal infectious diseases in a fixed-size population is proposed. The model consists of a non-linear delay-differential equation describing the time evolution of the increment…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2010-10-05 A. Noviello , F. Romeo , R. De Luca

The spread of an infectious disease depends on intrinsic properties of the disease as well as the connectivity and actions of the population. This study investigates the dynamics of an SIR type model which accounts for human tendency to…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2021-07-26 Hannah Scanlon , John Gemmer

This paper focuses on and analyzes realistic SIR models that take stochasticity into account. The proposed systems are applicable to most incidence rates that are used in the literature including the bilinear incidence rate, the…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-07-10 Nguyen Du , Alexandru Hening , Nhu Nguyen , George Yin

We consider an epidemiological SIR model with an infection rate depending on the recovered population. We establish sufficient conditions for existence, uniqueness, and stability (local and global) of endemic equilibria and consider also…

Classical Analysis and ODEs · Mathematics 2021-07-09 Andres David Báez-Sánchez , Nara Bobko

In this paper we consider the stability of a class of deterministic and stochastic SEIRS epidemic models with delay. Indeed, we assume that the transmission rate could be stochastic and the presence of a latency period of $r$ consecutive…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-02-22 Xavier Bardina , Marco Ferrante , Carles Rovira

We study an epidemic model for a constant population by taking into account four compartments of the individuals characterizing their states of health. Each individual is in one of the compartments susceptible (S); incubated - infected yet…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2023-04-20 Teo Granger , Thomas M. Michelitsch , Michael Bestehorn , Alejandro P. Riascos , Bernard A. Collet

By means of the asynchronous cellular automata algorithm we study stationary states and spatial patterning in an $SIS$ model, in which the individuals' are attached to the vertices of a graph and their mobility is mimicked by varying the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2016-06-22 J. M. Ilnytskyi , Y. Kozitsky , H. I. Ilnytskyi , O. Haiduchok

The SIR model is the cornerstone model for mathematical epidemiology, explaining key epidemic features such as the second-order transition between disease-free and epidemic states, the initial exponential growth of outbreaks or the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2026-03-20 Santiago Lamata-Otín , Alex Arenas , Jesús Gómez-Gardeñes , David Soriano-Paños

This paper investigates a behavioral-feedback SIR model in which the infection rate adapts dynamically based on the fractions of susceptible and infected individuals. We introduce an invariant of motion and we characterize the peak of…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-09-17 Martina Alutto , Leonardo Cianfanelli , Giacomo Como , Fabio Fagnani , Francesca Parise

We consider a SIRD epidemic model for a population composed of two groups of individuals with asymmetric interactions, where the force of infection depends on the active (alive) population in each group, rather than on the total population,…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2026-01-23 Alison M. V. D. L. Melo , Matheus C. Santos