Related papers: A discrete-time epidemic SISI model
Traditionally, population models distinguish individuals on the basis of their current state. Given a distribution, a discrete time model then specifies (precisely in deterministic models, probabilistically in stochastic models) the…
In this paper, we study the psychological effect in a SIS epidemic model. The basic reproduction number is obtained. However, the disease free equilibrium is always asymptotically stable, which doesn't depends on the basic reproduction…
Variable individual response to epidemics may be found within many contexts in the study of infectious diseases (e.g., age structure or contact networks). There are situations where the variability, in terms of epidemiological parameter,…
In this paper, we study a stochastic susceptible-infected-susceptible (SIS) epidemic model that includes an additional immigration process. In the presence of multiplicative noise, generated by environmental perturbations, the model…
When an infectious disease propagates throughout society, the incidence function may rise at first due to an increase in pathogenicity and then decrease due to inhibitory effects until it reaches saturation. Effective vaccination and…
Consider an SI process on a graph $G$ where each S--I connection becomes I--I at rate $\lambda$. Here S and I stand for ``susceptible'' and ``infected'' respectively. The evoSI model is a modification of the SI model in which S--I edges are…
During pandemic events, strategies such as social distancing can be fundamental to curb viral spreading. Such actions can reduce the number of simultaneous infections and mitigate the disease spreading, which is relevant to the risk of a…
The paper deals with the analysis of a discrete-time networked competitive bivirus susceptible-infected-susceptible (SIS) model. More specifically, we suppose that virus 1 and virus 2 are circulating in the population and are in competition…
In this work, we study the evolution of the susceptible individuals during the spread of an epidemic modeled by the susceptible-infected-recovered (SIR) process spreading on the top of complex networks. Using an edge-based compartmental…
Compartmental equations are primary tools in disease spreading studies. Their predictions are accurate for large populations but disagree with empirical and simulated data for finite populations, where uncertainties become a relevant…
We develop a stochastic two-patch epidemic model with nonlinear recidivism to investigate infectious disease dynamics in heterogeneous populations. Extending a deterministic framework, we introduce stochasticity to account for random…
Most infectious diseases including more than half of known human pathogens are not restricted to just one host, yet much of the mathematical modeling of infections has been limited to a single species. We investigate consequences of a…
We study the Suscectible-Infected-Recovered-Susceptible (SIRS) epidemic model on deterministic networks. For connected but otherwise general interaction patterns and heterogeneous recovery and loss-of-immunity rates, we identify a…
We study the spread of discrete-time epidemics over arbitrary networks for well-known propagation models, namely SIS (susceptible-infected-susceptible), SIR (susceptible-infected-recovered), SIRS (susceptible-infected-recovered-susceptible)…
We study a multilayer SIR model with two levels of mixing, namely a global level which is uniformly mixing, and a local level with two layers distinguishing household and workplace contacts, respectively. We establish the large population…
A dynamic model of a society is studied where each person is an uncorrelated and non-interacting random walker. A dynamical random graph represents the acquaintance network of the society whose nodes are the individuals and links are the…
We adapt a SEIRD differential model with asymptomatic population and Covid deaths, which we call SEAIRD, to simulate the evolution of COVID-19, and add a control function affecting both the diffusion of the virus and GDP, featuring all…
An epidemic model where disease transmission can occur either through global contacts or through local, nearest neighbor interactions is considered. The classical SIR--model describing the global interactions is extended by adding…
This work examines the discrete-time networked SIR (susceptible-infected-recovered) epidemic model, where the infection and recovery parameters may be time-varying. We provide a sufficient condition for the SIR model to converge to the set…
In this paper we analyze continuous-time SIS epidemics subject to arrivals and departures of agents, by using an approximated process based on replacements. In defining the SIS dynamics in an open network, we consider a stochastic setting…