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This paper describes three methods for carrying out non-asymptotic inference on partially identified parameters that are solutions to a class of optimization problems. Applications in which the optimization problems arise include estimation…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-12-02 Joel L. Horowitz , Sokbae Lee

Given a randomized experiment with binary outcomes, exact confidence intervals for the average causal effect of the treatment can be computed through a series of permutation tests. This approach requires minimal assumptions and is valid for…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-06-19 P. M. Aronow , Haoge Chang , Patrick Lopatto

High-dimensional statistical inference with general estimating equations are challenging and remain less explored. In this paper, we study two problems in the area: confidence set estimation for multiple components of the model parameters,…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-04-28 Jinyuan Chang , Song Xi Chen , Cheng Yong Tang , Tong Tong Wu

Constructing valid inferential methods for constrained parameters in normal and Poisson distributions represents two fundamental and important problems in applied statistics, for which there is currently no unified framework for statistical…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-13 Hezhi Lu , Qijun Wu

The (conditional or unconditional) distribution of the continuous scan statistic in a one-dimensional Poisson process may be approximated by that of a discrete analogue via time discretization (to be referred to as the discrete…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-02-09 Yi-Ching Yao , Daniel Wei-Chung Miao , Xenos Chang-Shuo Lin

We study the question of testing structured properties (classes) of discrete distributions. Specifically, given sample access to an arbitrary distribution $D$ over $[n]$ and a property $\mathcal{P}$, the goal is to distinguish between…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2016-01-22 Clément L. Canonne , Ilias Diakonikolas , Themis Gouleakis , Ronitt Rubinfeld

In this paper, we have developed a new class of sampling schemes for estimating parameters of binomial and Poisson distributions. Without any information of the unknown parameters, our sampling schemes rigorously guarantee prescribed levels…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-10-11 Xinjia Chen

Prediction sets capture uncertainty by predicting sets of labels rather than individual labels, enabling downstream decisions to conservatively account for all plausible outcomes. Conformal inference algorithms construct prediction sets…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-10-20 Wenwen Si , Sangdon Park , Insup Lee , Edgar Dobriban , Osbert Bastani

We consider a network design and expansion problem, where we need to make a capacity investment now, such that uncertain future demand can be satisfied as closely as possible. To use a robust optimization approach, we need to construct an…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-03-03 Francis Garuba , Marc Goerigk , Peter Jacko

Information about intrinsic dimension is crucial to perform dimensionality reduction, compress information, design efficient algorithms, and do statistical adaptation. In this paper we propose an estimator for the intrinsic dimension of a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-11-09 Paulo Serra , Michel Mandjes

We study the fundamental task of estimating the median of an underlying distribution from a finite number of samples, under pure differential privacy constraints. We focus on distributions satisfying the minimal assumption that they have a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-11-13 Christos Tzamos , Emmanouil-Vasileios Vlatakis-Gkaragkounis , Ilias Zadik

We introduce a comprehensive method for establishing stochastic orders among order statistics in the i.i.d. case. This approach relies on the assumption that the underlying distribution is linked to a reference distribution through a…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-11-22 Tommaso Lando Idir Arab , Paulo Eduardo Oliveira

In this paper we examine the problem of inference in Bayesian Networks with discrete random variables that have very large or even unbounded domains. For example, in a domain where we are trying to identify a person, we may have variables…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2012-12-12 Rita Sharma , David L Poole

This paper is concerned with inference in threshold regression models when the practitioners do not know whether at the threshold point the true specification has a kink or a jump. We nest previous works that assume either continuity or…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-01-15 Javier Hidalgo , Jungyoon Lee , Myung Hwan Seo

One of the most common problems preventing the application of prediction models in the real world is lack of generalization: The accuracy of models, measured in the benchmark does repeat itself on future data, e.g. in the settings of real…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2022-10-19 Abdel Aziz Taha , Leonhard Hennig , Petr Knoth

In this paper, we study statistical inference for the Wasserstein distance, which has attracted much attention and has been applied to various machine learning tasks. Several studies have been proposed in the literature, but almost all of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-01-21 Vo Nguyen Le Duy , Ichiro Takeuchi

We describe a general method for the construction of a confidence region for the two parameters of the Negative Binomial Distribution. This is achieved by expanding the sampling distribution of Method-of-Moments estimators, using the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-12-28 Emmanuel Nkingi , Jan Vrbik

Certifiable, adaptive uncertainty estimates for unknown quantities are an essential ingredient of sequential decision-making algorithms. Standard approaches rely on problem-dependent concentration results and are limited to a specific…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-09 Nicolas Emmenegger , Mojmír Mutný , Andreas Krause

We present a method for producing unbiased parameter estimates and valid confidence intervals under the constraints of differential privacy, a formal framework for limiting individual information leakage from sensitive data. Prior work in…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-02-15 Christian Covington , Xi He , James Honaker , Gautam Kamath

We investigate the problem of constructing Bayesian credible sets that are honest and adaptive for the L2-loss over a scale of Sobolev classes with regularity ranging between [D; 2D], for some given D in the context of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-04-24 Botond Szabo , Aad van der Vaart , Harry van Zanten
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