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The analysis of decision making under uncertainty is closely related to the analysis of probabilistic inference. Indeed, much of the research into efficient methods for probabilistic inference in expert systems has been motivated by the…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-03-25 Ross D. Shachter , Mark Alan Peot

Estimating the probability of the binomial distribution is a basic problem, which appears in almost all introductory statistics courses and is performed frequently in various studies. In some cases, the parameter of interest is a difference…

Computation · Statistics 2024-08-21 Almog Peer , David Azriel

In this paper we study a new class of statistical models for contingency tables. We define this class of models through a subset of the binomial equations of the classical independence model. We use some notions from Algebraic Statistics to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-04-29 Enrico Carlini , Fabio Rapallo

The issue of honesty in constructing confidence sets arises in nonparametric regression. While optimal rate in nonparametric estimation can be achieved and utilized to construct sharp confidence sets, severe degradation of confidence level…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-07-30 Kun Zhou , Ker-Chau Li , Qing Zhou

We propose confidence regions with asymptotically correct uniform coverage probability of parameters whose Fisher information matrix can be singular at important points of the parameter set. Our work is motivated by the need for reliable…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-09-13 Karl Oskar Ekvall , Matteo Bottai

This paper is concerned with making Bayesian inference from data that are assumed to be drawn from a Bingham distribution. A barrier to the Bayesian approach is the parameter-dependent normalising constant of the Bingham distribution,…

Computation · Statistics 2014-01-14 Christopher J. Fallaize , Theodore Kypraios

We generalize the well-known zero bias distribution and the $\lambda$-Stein pair to an approximate zero bias distribution and an approximate $\lambda,R$-Stein pair, respectively. Berry Esseen type bounds to the normal, based on approximate…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-11-27 Nathakhun Wiroonsri

Method of parameterizing and smoothing the unknown underling distributions using Bernstein polynomials is proposed, verified and investigated. Any distribution with bounded and smooth enough density can be approximated by the proposed…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-06-23 Zhong Guan

Discovery problems often require deciding whether additional sampling is needed to detect all categories whose prevalence exceeds a prespecified threshold. We study this question under a Bernoulli product (incidence) model, where categories…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-29 Alessandro Colombi , Mario Beraha , Amichai Painsky , Stefano Favaro

The regression function is one of the key objects of binary classification, since it not only determines a Bayes optimal classifier, hence, defines an optimal decision boundary, but also encodes the conditional distribution of the output…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-06-03 Ambrus Tamás , Balázs Csanád Csáji

We consider three new classes of exponential dispersion models of discrete probability distributions which are defined by specifying their variance functions in their mean value parameterization. In a previous paper (Bar-Lev and Ridder,…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-04-01 Shaul K. Bar-Lev , Ad Ridder

In this paper we focus on providing sufficient conditions for some well-known stochastic orders in reliability but dealing with the discrete versions of them, filling a gap in the literature. In particular, we find conditions based on the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-01-28 F. Belzunce , C. Martínez-Riquelme , M. Pereda

The problem of constructing confidence sets in the high-dimensional linear model with $n$ response variables and $p$ parameters, possibly $p\ge n$, is considered. Full honest adaptive inference is possible if the rate of sparse estimation…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-12-19 Richard Nickl , Sara van de Geer

The property of perfectness plays an important role in the theory of Bayesian networks. First, the existence of perfect distributions for arbitrary sets of variables and directed acyclic graphs implies that various methods for reading…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2012-12-12 Christopher Meek , David Maxwell Chickering

Stein's (1972) method is a very general tool for assessing the quality of approximation of the distribution of a random element by another, often simpler, distribution. In applications of Stein's method, one needs to establish a Stein…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Andrew D. Barbour , Vydas Cekanavicius , Aihua Xia

In this paper, we develop an approach for the exact determination of the minimum sample size for estimating the parameter of an integer-valued random variable, which is parameterized by its expectation. Under some continuity and unimodal…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-11-20 Xinjia Chen , Zhengjia Chen

We propose two-stage and sequential procedures to estimate the unknown parameter N of a binomial distribution with unknown parameter p, when we reinforce data with an independent sample of a negative-binomial experiment having the same p.

Methodology · Statistics 2022-04-14 Yaakov Malinovsky , Shelemyahu Zacks

While fiducial inference was widely considered a big blunder by R.A. Fisher, the goal he initially set --`inferring the uncertainty of model parameters on the basis of observations' -- has been continually pursued by many statisticians. To…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-08-01 Faming Liang , Sehwan Kim , Yan Sun

We describe a hierarchical Bayesian approach for inference about a parameter $\theta$ lower-bounded by $\alpha$ with uncertain $\alpha$, derive some basic identities for posterior analysis about $(\theta,\alpha)$, and provide illustrations…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-06-08 Éric Marchand , Theodoros Nicoleris

We study the problem of estimating finite sample confidence intervals of the mean of a normal population under the constraint of differential privacy. We consider both the known and unknown variance cases and construct differentially…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2017-11-13 Vishesh Karwa , Salil Vadhan
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