Related papers: Asymptotics for Markov chain mixture detection
Accurate knowledge of the null distribution of hypothesis tests is important for valid application of the tests. In previous papers and software, the asymptotic null distribution of likelihood ratio tests for detecting genetic linkage in…
Mixed effects models are widely used to describe heterogeneity in a population. A crucial issue when adjusting such a model to data consists in identifying fixed and random effects. From a statistical point of view, it remains to test the…
Nonparametric identification and maximum likelihood estimation for finite-state hidden Markov models are investigated. We obtain identification of the parameters as well as the order of the Markov chain if the transition probability…
Testing for regime switching when the regime switching probabilities are specified either as constants (`mixture models') or are governed by a finite-state Markov chain (`Markov switching models') are long-standing problems that have also…
We consider periodic Markov chains with absorption. Applying to iterates of this periodic Markov chain criteria for the exponential convergence of conditional distributions of aperiodic absorbed Markov chains, we obtain exponential…
Likelihood ratio tests are widely used in high-energy physics, where the test statistic is usually assumed to follow a chi-squared distribution with a number of degrees of freedom specified by Wilks' theorem. This assumption breaks down…
The stochastic block model is a popular tool for detecting community structures in network data. Detecting the difference between two community structures is an important issue for stochastic block models. However, the two-sample test has…
Markov regime switching models have been used in numerous empirical studies in economics and finance. However, the asymptotic distribution of the likelihood ratio test statistic for testing the number of regimes in Markov regime switching…
We consider the problem of closeness testing for two discrete distributions in the practically relevant setting of \emph{unequal} sized samples drawn from each of them. Specifically, given a target error parameter $\varepsilon > 0$, $m_1$…
The present manuscript studies signal detection by likelihood ratio tests in a number of spiked random matrix models, including but not limited to Gaussian mixtures and spiked Wishart covariance matrices. We work directly with multi-spiked…
We study the likelihood ratio test in general mixture models where the base density is parametric, the null is a known fixed mixing distribution, and the alternative is a general mixing distribution supported on a bounded parameter space.…
This paper deals with a parametrized family of partially observed bivariate Markov chains. We establish that, under very mild assumptions, the limit of the normalized log-likelihood function is maximized when the parameters belong to the…
Gibbs sampling is a common procedure used to fit finite mixture models. However, it is known to be slow to converge when exploring correlated regions of a parameter space and so blocking correlated parameters is sometimes implemented in…
The likelihood ratio statistic, with its asymptotic $\chi^2$ distribution at regular model points, is often used for hypothesis testing. At model singularities and boundaries, however, the asymptotic distribution may not be $\chi^2$, as…
Consider $k$ independent random samples from $p$-dimensional multivariate normal distributions. We are interested in the limiting distribution of the log-likelihood ratio test statistics for testing for the equality of $k$ covariance…
The partial sum of the states of a Markov chain or more generally a Markov source is asymptotically normally distributed under suitable conditions. One of these conditions is that the variance is unbounded. A simple combinatorial…
Given a random sample of observations, mixtures of normal densities are often used to estimate the unknown continuous distribution from which the data come. Here we propose the use of this semiparametric framework for testing symmetry about…
A key task in Bayesian statistics is sampling from distributions that are only specified up to a partition function (i.e., constant of proportionality). However, without any assumptions, sampling (even approximately) can be #P-hard, and few…
The asymptotic distribution of the likelihood-ratio statistic for testing parameters on the boundary is well known to be a chi-squared mixture. The mixture weights have been shown to correspond to the intrinsic volumes of an associated…
We develop a martingale approximation approach to studying the limiting behavior of quadratic forms of Markov chains. We use the technique to examine the asymptotic behavior of lag-window estimators in time series and we apply the results…