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A new approach to inference in state space models is proposed, based on approximate Bayesian computation (ABC). ABC avoids evaluation of the likelihood function by matching observed summary statistics with statistics computed from data…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-10-01 Gael M. Martin , Brendan P. M. McCabe , Worapree Maneesoonthorn , Christian P. Robert

We analyze the computational efficiency of approximate Bayesian computation (ABC), which approximates a likelihood function by drawing pseudo-samples from the associated model. For the rejection sampling version of ABC, it is known that…

Computation · Statistics 2016-02-18 Luke Bornn , Natesh Pillai , Aaron Smith , Dawn Woodard

This paper introduces a simple, general framework for likelihood-free Bayesian reinforcement learning, through Approximate Bayesian Computation (ABC). The main advantage is that we only require a prior distribution on a class of simulators…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2013-07-01 Christos Dimitrakakis , Nikolaos Tziortziotis

We analyze the behavior of approximate Bayesian computation (ABC) when the model generating the simulated data differs from the actual data generating process; i.e., when the data simulator in ABC is misspecified. We demonstrate both…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-12-17 David T. Frazier , Christian P. Robert , Judith Rousseau

Approximate Bayesian Computation (ABC) methods have gained in their popularity over the last decade because they expand the horizon of Bayesian parameter inference methods to the range of models for which only forward simulation is…

Computation · Statistics 2016-08-05 Majid K. Vakilzadeh , James L. Beck , Thomas Abrahamsson

The ability to efficiently infer system parameters is essential in any signal-processing task that requires fast operation. Dealing with quantum systems, a serious challenge arises due to substantial growth of the underlying Hilbert space…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2025-04-23 Lewis A. Clark , Jan Kolodynski

We consider the asymptotic properties of Approximate Bayesian Computation (ABC) for the realistic case of summary statistics with heterogeneous rates of convergence. We allow some statistics to converge faster than the ABC tolerance, other…

Computation · Statistics 2023-11-17 Caroline Lawless , Christian P. Robert , Judith Rousseau , Robin J. Ryder

A central statistical goal is to choose between alternative explanatory models of data. In many modern applications, such as population genetics, it is not possible to apply standard methods based on evaluating the likelihood functions of…

Computation · Statistics 2013-02-25 Dennis Prangle , Paul Fearnhead , Murray P. Cox , Patrick J. Biggs , Nigel P. French

We are living in the big data era, as current technologies and networks allow for the easy and routine collection of data sets in different disciplines. Bayesian Statistics offers a flexible modeling approach which is attractive for…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-05-09 George Karabatsos , Fabrizio Leisen

Approximate Bayesian computation (ABC) is one of the most popular "likelihood-free" methods. These methods have been applied in a wide range of fields by providing solutions to intractable likelihood problems in which exact Bayesian…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-08 Chaya Weerasinghe , David T. Frazier , Ruben Loaiza-Maya , Christopher Drovandi

Bayes linear analysis and approximate Bayesian computation (ABC) are techniques commonly used in the Bayesian analysis of complex models. In this article we connect these ideas by demonstrating that regression-adjustment ABC algorithms…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-12-10 D. J. Nott , Y. Fan , L. Marshall , S. A. Sisson

Approximate Bayesian computation (ABC) methods are used to approximate posterior distributions using simulation rather than likelihood calculations. We introduce Gaussian process (GP) accelerated ABC, which we show can significantly reduce…

Computation · Statistics 2014-02-25 Richard D Wilkinson

A vital stage in the mathematical modelling of real-world systems is to calibrate a model's parameters to observed data. Likelihood-free parameter inference methods, such as Approximate Bayesian Computation, build Monte Carlo samples of the…

Computation · Statistics 2021-12-23 Thomas P Prescott , Ruth E Baker

Approximate Bayesian Computation (ABC) enables parameter inference for complex physical systems in cases where the true likelihood function is unknown, unavailable, or computationally too expensive. It relies on the forward simulation of…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2019-08-13 E. E. O. Ishida , S. D. P. Vitenti , M. Penna-Lima , J. Cisewski , R. S. de Souza , A. M. M. Trindade , E. Cameron , V. C. Busti

Approximate Bayesian computation (ABC) refers to a family of inference methods used in the Bayesian analysis of complex models where evaluation of the likelihood is difficult. Conventional ABC methods often suffer from the curse of…

Computation · Statistics 2016-07-08 Jingjing Li , David J. Nott , Yanan Fan , Scott A. Sisson

Approximate Bayesian computation (ABC) is computationally intensive for complex model simulators. To exploit expensive simulations, data-resampling via bootstrapping can be employed to obtain many artificial datasets at little cost.…

Computation · Statistics 2021-07-05 Umberto Picchini , Richard G. Everitt

Background: We proposed approximate Bayesian computation with single distribution selection (ABC-SD) for estimating mean and standard deviation from other reported summary statistics. The ABC-SD generates pseudo data from a single…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-07-12 Deukwoo Kwon , Isildinha M. Reis

Approximate Bayesian computation (ABC) is a class of Bayesian inference algorithms that targets for problems with intractable or {unavailable} likelihood function. It uses synthetic data drawn from the simulation model to approximate the…

Computation · Statistics 2024-12-24 Xuefei Cao , Shijia Wang , Yongdao Zhou

Many scientifically well-motivated statistical models in natural, engineering and environmental sciences are specified through a generative process, but in some cases it may not be possible to write down a likelihood for these models…

Computation · Statistics 2018-10-10 Sanjay Chaudhuri , Subhro Ghosh , David J. Nott , Kim Cuc Pham

We research relations between optimal transport theory (OTT) and approximate Bayesian computation (ABC) possibly connected to relevant metrics defined on probability measures. Those of ABC are computational methods based on Bayesian…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-05-06 Marco Tarsia , Antonietta Mira , Daniele Cassani
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