Related papers: The roughness exponent and its model-free estimati…
Since the middle of the 90's, multifractional processes have been introduced for overcoming some limitations of the classical Fractional Brownian Motion model. In their context, the Hurst parameter becomes a Holder continuous function H(?)…
We consider (robust) inference in the context of a factor model for tensor-valued sequences. We study the consistency of the estimated common factors and loadings space when using estimators based on minimising quadratic loss functions.…
We consider additive functionals of stationary Markov processes and show that under Kipnis-Varadhan type conditions they converge in rough path topology to a Stratonovich Brownian motion, with a correction to the Levy area that can be…
We establish analogs of Cheeger's inequality for probability measures with heavy tails. As one of the principal applications, suppose $\lambda > 3$ and define the (Pareto) probability measure $\mu_{\lambda}$ on $[1,\infty)$ by…
We introduce a novel distribution-based estimator for the Hurst parameter of log-volatility, leveraging the Kolmogorov-Smirnov statistic to assess the scaling behavior of entire distributions rather than individual moments. To address the…
We consider stochastic differential equations dY=V(Y)dX driven by a multidimensional Gaussian process X in the rough path sense. Using Malliavin Calculus we show that Y(t) admits a density for t in (0,T] provided (i) the vector fields…
Let G:=-((d/dx)^2+x^2(d/du)^2) denote the Grusin operator on R^2. Consider the Cauchy problem for the associated wave equation on R x R^2, given by ((d/dt)^2+G)v =0, v(0,.)=f, d/dt v(0,.)=g, where t denotes time and f, g are suitable…
We prove that if $f:\mathbb{R}\to\mathbb{R}$ is Lipschitz continuous, then for every $H\in(0,1/4]$ there exists a probability space on which we can construct a fractional Brownian motion $X$ with Hurst parameter $H$, together with a process…
This article establishes a rigorous spectral framework for the mathematical analysis of SHAP values. We show that any predictive model defined on a discrete or multi-valued input space admits a generalized Fourier expansion with respect to…
Using a new strategy, we extend the classical Nekhoroshev's estimates to the case of H\"older regular steep near-integrable hamiltonian systems, the stability times being polynomially long in the inverse of the size of the perturbation. We…
We introduce a new class of continuous-time models of the stochastic volatility of asset prices. The models can simultaneously incorporate roughness and slowly decaying autocorrelations, including proper long memory, which are two stylized…
Consider a multidimensional diffusion process $X=\{X\left(t\right) :t\in\lbrack0,1]\}$. Let $\varepsilon>0$ be a \textit{deterministic}, user defined, tolerance error parameter. Under standard regularity conditions on the drift and…
We consider the problem of minimizing the average of a large number of smooth but possibly non-convex functions. In the context of most machine learning applications, each loss function is non-negative and thus can be expressed as the…
We study the persistence properties of a fractional Brownian motion whose Hurst exponent is a random variable instead of a fixed constant. For each fixed $H \in (0,1)$, it is well known that the persistence probability of an FBM below a…
We provide a new computationally-efficient class of estimators for risk minimization. We show that these estimators are robust for general statistical models: in the classical Huber epsilon-contamination model and in heavy-tailed settings.…
In the present work, we investigate estimates of regularity for weak solutions to the non-cutoff Boltzmann equation with soft potentials. We restrict our focus to the so-called "typically rough and slowly decaying data", which is…
Inspired by the activity signature introduced by Todorov and Tauchen (2010), which was used to measure the activity of a semimartingale, this paper introduces the roughness signature function. The paper illustrates how it can be used to…
We study stochastic partial differential equations (SPDEs) with potentially very rough fractional noise with Hurst parameter $H\in(0,1)$. Close to a change of stability measured with a small parameter $\varepsilon$, we rely on the natural…
Self-affine rough interfaces are ubiquitous in experimental systems, and display characteristic scaling properties as a signature of the nature of disorder in their supporting medium, i.e. of the statistical features of its heterogeneities.…
In this paper we prove the derivative process of a rough differential equation driven by Brownian rough path has finite $L^r$-moment for any $r /ge 1$. Thanks to Burkholder-Davis-Gundy's inequality, this kind of problem is easy in the usual…