Related papers: The roughness exponent and its model-free estimati…
We consider the problem of estimating the roughness of the volatility process in a stochastic volatility model that arises as a nonlinear function of fractional Brownian motion with drift. To this end, we introduce a new estimator that…
We investigate the statistical evidence for the use of `rough' fractional processes with Hurst exponent $H< 0.5$ for the modeling of volatility of financial assets, using a model-free approach. We introduce a non-parametric method for…
In [Han \& Schied, 2023, \textit{arXiv 2307.02582}], an easily computable scale-invariant estimator $\widehat{\mathscr{R}}^s_n$ was constructed to estimate the Hurst parameter of the drifted fractional Brownian motion $X$ from its…
Within the context of rough path analysis via fractional calculus, we show how variability can be used to prove the existence of integrals with respect to H\"older continuous multiplicative functionals in the case of Lipschitz coefficients…
Optimal sample path properties of stochastic processes often involve generalized H\"{o}lder- or variation norms. Following a classical result of Taylor, the exact variation of Brownian motion is measured in terms of $\psi (x) \equiv $…
In Gatheral et al. 2018, first posted in 2014, volatility is characterized by fractional behavior with a Hurst exponent $H < 0.5$, challenging traditional views of volatility dynamics. Gatheral et al. demonstrated this using realized…
We develop a GMM approach for estimation of log-normal stochastic volatility models driven by a fractional Brownian motion with unrestricted Hurst exponent. We show that a parameter estimator based on the integrated variance is consistent…
Rough volatility models are continuous time stochastic volatility models where the volatility process is driven by a fractional Brownian motion with the Hurst parameter smaller than half, and have attracted much attention since a seminal…
We study the problem of reconstructing the Faber--Schauder coefficients of a continuous function $f$ from discrete observations of its antiderivative $F$. For instance, this question arises in financial mathematics when estimating the…
We study how to construct a stochastic process on a finite interval with given `roughness' and finite joint moments of marginal distributions. We first extend Ciesielski's isomorphism along a general sequence of partitions, and provide a…
Estimating volatility from recent high frequency data, we revisit the question of the smoothness of the volatility process. Our main result is that log-volatility behaves essentially as a fractional Brownian motion with Hurst exponent H of…
The objective of the current study is to utilize an innovative method called 'change probabilities' for describing fracture roughness. In order to detect and visualize anisotropy of rock joint surfaces, the roughness of one-dimensional…
We extend the functional Breuer-Major theorem by Nourdin and Nualart (2020) to the space of rough paths. The proof of tightness combines the multiplication formula for iterated Malliavin divergences, due to Furlan and Gubinelli (2019), with…
In this paper, we will prove that the local time of a L\'evy process is of finite $p$-variation in the space variable in the classical sense, a.s. for any $p>2$, $t\geq 0$, if the L\'evy measure satisfies $\int_{R\setminus…
We study the strong approximation of a rough volatility model, in which the log-volatility is given by a fractional Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process with Hurst parameter $H<1/2$. Our methods are based on an equidistant discretization of the…
We consider stochastic differential equations of the form $dY_t=V(Y_t)\,dX_t+V_0(Y_t)\,dt$ driven by a multi-dimensional Gaussian process. Under the assumption that the vector fields $V_0$ and $V=(V_1,\ldots,V_d)$ satisfy H\"{o}rmander's…
In the setting of stochastic Volterra equations, and in particular rough volatility models, we show that conditional expectations are the unique classical solutions to path-dependent PDEs. The latter arise from the functional It\^o formula…
Sensitivity analysis w.r.t. the long-range/memory noise parameter for probability distributions of functionals of solutions to stochastic differential equations is an important stochastic modeling issue in many applications. In this paper…
The expected signature uniquely determines the law of a random rough path under a moment-growth condition, yet finite-sample bounds for estimating it from a single long dependent trajectory have been lacking. We study a stationary…
It has been recently shown that spot volatilities can be very well modeled by rough stochastic volatility type dynamics. In such models, the log-volatility follows a fractional Brownian motion with Hurst parameter smaller than 1/2. This…