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Censoring is the central problem in survival analysis where either the time-to-event (for instance, death), or the time-tocensoring (such as loss of follow-up) is observed for each sample. The majority of existing machine learning-based…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-07-22 Weijia Zhang , Chun Kai Ling , Xuanhui Zhang

Objective: Modelling the associations from high-throughput experimental molecular data has provided unprecedented insights into biological pathways and signalling mechanisms. Graphical models and networks have especially proven to be useful…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2013-04-24 Marco Scutari , Radhakrishnan Nagarajan

A novel approach for dynamic modeling and forecasting of realized covariance matrices is proposed. Realized variances and realized correlation matrices are jointly estimated. The one-to-one relationship between a positive definite…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-02-18 Nicole Barthel , Claudia Czado , Yarema Okhrin

Use of copula for the purpose of modeling dependence has been receiving considerable attention in recent times. On the other hand, search for multivariate copulas with desirable dependence properties also is an important area of research.…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-18 Subhajit Chattopadhyay

Causal discovery aims to infer causal relationships among variables from observational data, typically represented by a directed acyclic graph (DAG). Most existing methods assume independent and identically distributed observations, an…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-27 Alex Chen , Qing Zhou

We study causal discovery from observational data in linear Gaussian systems affected by \emph{mixed latent confounding}, where some unobserved factors act broadly across many variables while others influence only small subsets. This…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-01 Amir Asiaee , Samhita Pal , James O'quinn , James P. Long

Dependent generalized extreme value (dGEV) models have attracted much attention due to the dependency structure that often appears in real datasets. To construct a dGEV model, a natural approach is to assume that some parameters in the…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-03-06 Bo Ning , Peter Bloomfield

We demonstrate how the uncertainty of parameter point estimates can be assessed in a maximum likelihood framework in order to prevent overfitting and erroneous detection of time-inhomogeneity. The class of models we consider are regular…

Computation · Statistics 2012-05-23 Jakob Stöber , Ulf Schepsmeier

This paper proposes a regression tree procedure to estimate conditional copulas. The associated algorithm determines classes of observations based on covariate values and fits a simple parametric copula model on each class. The association…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-03-20 Francesco Bonacina , Olivier Lopez , Maud Thomas

We show how to construct the implied copula process of response values from a Bayesian additive regression tree (BART) model with prior on the leaf node variances. This copula process, defined on the covariate space, can be paired with any…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-14 Jan Martin Wenkel , Michael Stanley Smith , Nadja Klein

A model-free measure of Granger causality in expectiles is proposed, generalizing the traditional mean-based measure to arbitrary positions of the conditional distribution. Expectiles are the only law-invariant risk measures that are both…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-03-25 Roberto Fuentes-Martínez , Irene Crimaldi

Statistical modelling of covariate distributions allows to generate virtual populations or to impute missing values in a covariate dataset. Covariate distributions typically have non-Gaussian margins and show nonlinear correlation…

Applications · Statistics 2025-03-20 Niklas Hartung , Aleksandra Khatova

Under stringent model type and variable distribution assumptions, differentiable score-based causal discovery methods learn a directed acyclic graph (DAG) from observational data by evaluating candidate graphs over an average score…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-07 An Zhang , Fangfu Liu , Wenchang Ma , Zhibo Cai , Xiang Wang , Tat-seng Chua

Pearls concept OF a d - connecting path IS one OF the foundations OF the modern theory OF graphical models : the absence OF a d - connecting path IN a DAG indicates that conditional independence will hold IN ANY distribution factorising…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2012-12-12 Sanjay Chaudhari , Thomas S. Richardson

We consider graphical models based on a recursive system of linear structural equations. This implies that there is an ordering, $\sigma$, of the variables such that each observed variable $Y_v$ is a linear function of a variable specific…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-06-28 Y. Samuel Wang , Mathias Drton

Conditional copulas are flexible statistical tools that couple joint conditional and marginal conditional distributions. In a linear regression setting with more than one covariate and two dependent outcomes, we propose the use of additive…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-07-31 Avideh Sabeti , Mian Wei , Radu V. Craiu

We propose a score test for dependence predictability in conditional copulas that is robust to temporal instabilities. Our semiparametric procedure accommodates flexible dynamics in the marginal processes and remains agnostic about the…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-03-03 Alexander Mayer , Tatsushi Oka , Dominik Wied

In this paper, we propose regular vine copula based fusion of multiple deep neural network classifiers for the problem of multi-sensor based human activity recognition. We take the cross-modal dependence into account by employing regular…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-11-22 Shan Zhang , Baocheng Geng , Pramod K. Varshney , Muralidhar Rangaswamy

The rapid development of high-throughput technologies has enabled the generation of data from biological or disease processes that span multiple layers, like genomic, proteomic or metabolomic data, and further pertain to multiple sources,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-01-25 Subhabrata Majumdar , George Michailidis

Testing the simplifying assumption in high-dimensional vine copulas is a difficult task. Tests must be based on estimated observations and check constraints on high-dimensional distributions. So far, corresponding tests have been limited to…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-10-10 Malte S. Kurz , Fabian Spanhel