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Learning causal relationships solely from observational data often fails to reveal the underlying causal mechanisms due to the vast search space of possible causal graphs, which can grow exponentially, especially for greedy algorithms using…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-07-09 Uzma Hasan , Md Osman Gani

Graphical models are commonly used to discover associations within gene or protein networks for complex diseases such as cancer. Most existing methods estimate a single graph for a population, while in many cases, researchers are interested…

We propose to use nonparametric Bernstein copulas as bivariate pair-copulas in high-dimensional vine models. The resulting smooth and nonparametric vine copulas completely obviate the error-prone need for choosing the pair-copulas from…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2012-10-09 Gregor Weiß , Marcus Scheffer

Graphical models or networks describe the statistical dependence among multiple variables and are widely used in biology (e.g., gene regulatory networks). Under appropriate assumptions, directed edges may represent causal relationships. A…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-11-29 Evan A Martin , Audrey Qiuyan Fu

There is an extensive literature on methods for meta-analysis of diagnostic studies, but it mainly focuses on a single test. However, the better understanding of a particular disease has led to the development of multiple tests. A…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-10-19 Aristidis K. Nikoloulopoulos

Structural learning of directed acyclic graphs (DAGs) or Bayesian networks has been studied extensively under the assumption that data are independent. We propose a new Gaussian DAG model for dependent data which assumes the observations…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-07-30 Hangjian Li , Oscar Hernan Madrid Padilla , Qing Zhou

Recently proposed quasi-Bayesian (QB) methods initiated a new era in Bayesian computation by directly constructing the Bayesian predictive distribution through recursion, removing the need for expensive computations involved in sampling the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-06-19 David Huk , Yuanhe Zhang , Mark Steel , Ritabrata Dutta

Although mechanism-based interpretability has generated an abundance of insight for discriminative network analysis, generative models are less understood -- particularly outside of image-related applications. We investigate how much of the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-07 Dip Roy , Rajiv Misra , Sanjay Kumar Singh , Anisha Roy

In copula modeling, the simplifying assumption has recently been the object of much interest. Although it is very useful to reduce the computational burden, it remains far from obvious whether it is actually satisfied in practice. We…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-07-08 Alexis Derumigny

The heterogeneous autoregressive (HAR) model is revised by modeling the joint distribution of the four partial-volatility terms therein involved. Namely, today's, yesterday's, last week's and last month's volatility components. The joint…

Econometrics · Economics 2019-07-22 Martin Magris

The declining response rates in probability surveys along with the widespread availability of unstructured data has led to growing research into non-probability samples. Existing robust approaches are not well-developed for non-Gaussian…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-03-29 Ali Rafei , Michael R. Elliott , Carol A. C. Flannagan

Accurately estimating risk measures for financial portfolios is critical for both financial institutions and regulators. However, many existing models operate at the aggregate portfolio level and thus fail to capture the complex…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2023-02-10 Emanuel Sommer , Karoline Bax , Claudia Czado

Graphical models are widely used to study biological networks. Interventions on network nodes are an important feature of many experimental designs for the study of biological networks. In this paper we put forward a causal variant of…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-06-17 Simon E. F. Spencer , Steven M. Hill , Sach Mukherjee

The paper considers the problem of establishing data support for the simplifying assumption (SA) in a bivariate conditional copula model. It is known that SA greatly simplifies the inference for a conditional copula model, but standard…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-09-30 Evgeny Levi , Radu V Craiu

Mixed data refers to a type of data in which variables can be of multiple types, such as continuous, discrete, or categorical. This data is routinely collected in various fields, including healthcare and social sciences. A common goal in…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-22 Mauro Florez , Anna Gottard , Carrie McAdams , Michele Guindani , Marina Vannucci

We study offline change-point estimation for time series data exhibiting nonlinear serial dependence. To address this problem, we propose a copula-based Markov chain model with Weibull marginal distributions, which is suitable for modeling…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-29 Li-Hsien Sun , Zong-Yuan Huang , Yi-Ling Huang , Chi-Yang Chiu , Ning Ning

Graphical models based on Directed Acyclic Graphs (DAGs) are widely used to answer causal questions across a variety of scientific and social disciplines. However, observational data alone cannot distinguish in general between DAGs…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-06-03 Federico Castelletti , Guido Consonni

Thanks to their ability to capture complex dependence structures, copulas are frequently used to glue random variables into a joint model with arbitrary marginal distributions. More recently, they have been applied to solve statistical…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-08-22 Thomas Nagler , Thibault Vatter

Copulas are a powerful tool for modeling multivariate distributions as they allow to separately estimate the univariate marginal distributions and the joint dependency structure. However, known parametric copulas offer limited flexibility…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-11-11 Tim Janke , Mohamed Ghanmi , Florian Steinke

We introduce a novel Bayesian approach for both covariate selection and sparse precision matrix estimation in the context of high-dimensional Gaussian graphical models involving multiple responses. Our approach provides a sparse estimation…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-09-25 Anwesha Chakravarti , Naveen N. Narishetty , Feng Liang
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