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We study variants of a stochastic game inspired by backgammon where players may propose to double the stake, with the game state dictated by a one-dimensional random walk. Our variants allow for different numbers of proposals and different…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-10-28 Haoru Ju , Daniel Leifer , Steven J. Miller , Sooraj A. Padmanabhan , Chenyang Sun , Luke Tichi , Benjamin Tocher , Kiley Wallace

The goal of the paper is to introduce a set of problems which we call mean field games of timing. We motivate the formulation by a dynamic model of bank run in a continuous-time setting. We briefly review the economic and game theoretic…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-01-24 Rene Carmona , Francois Delarue , Daniel Lacker

We propose a prediction model based on the minority game in which traders continuously evaluate a complete set of trading strategies with different memory lengths using the strategies' past performance. Based on the chosen trading strategy…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2009-01-06 Andreas Krause

In this paper we present a dynamical system to generate Brownian motion based on the Langevin equation without stochastic term and using fractional derivatives, i.e., a deterministic Brownian motion model is proposed. The stochastic process…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2018-05-09 H. E. Gilardi-Velázquez , E. Campos-Cantón

This paper establishes a non-stochastic analogue of the celebrated result by Dubins and Schwarz about reduction of continuous martingales to Brownian motion via time change. We consider an idealized financial security with continuous price…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-05-05 Vladimir Vovk

In this short note we will provide a sufficient and necessary condition to have uniqueness of the location of the maximum of a stochastic process over an interval. The result will also express the mean value of the location in terms of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-05-03 Leandro P. R. Pimentel

Parrondo's paradox is about a paradoxical game and gambling where two probabilistic losing games can be combined to form a winning game. While the counter intuitive game is interesting in itself, it can be thought of a discrete version of…

Physics and Society · Physics 2016-02-16 Abhijit Kar Gupta , Sourabh Banerjee

In this paper we formulate the now classical problem of optimal liquidation (or optimal trading) inside a Mean Field Game (MFG). This is a noticeable change since usually mathematical frameworks focus on one large trader in front of a…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2017-09-22 Pierre Cardaliaguet , Charles-Albert Lehalle

The objective of this work is the investigation of complexity, asymmetry, stochasticity and non-linearity of the financial and economic systems by using the tools of statistical mechanics and information theory. More precisely, this thesis…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-08-30 Rubina Zadourian

The Moran process is one of an basic mathematical structure in the evolutionary game theory. In this work, we introduce the formulation of the path integral approach for evolutionary game theory based on the Moran process. We derive the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-09-05 Chao Wang

Heat fluctuations are studied in a dissipative system with both mechanical and stochastic components for a simple model: a Brownian particle dragged through water by a moving potential. An extended stationary state fluctuation theorem is…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 R. van Zon , E. G. D. Cohen

In this work, we study the dynamics of a single active Brownian particle, as well as the collective behavior of interacting active Brownian particles, in a fluctuating heterogeneous environment. We employ a variant of the diffusing…

Soft Condensed Matter · Physics 2022-01-05 S. M. J. Khadem , N. H. Siboni , S. H. L. Klapp

The stochastic multi-armed bandit has provided a framework for studying decision-making in unknown environments. We propose a variant of the stochastic multi-armed bandit where the rewards are sampled from a stochastic linear dynamical…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-04-13 Jonathan Gornet , Mehdi Hosseinzadeh , Bruno Sinopoli

The game dynamical equations are derived from Boltzmann-like equations for individual pair interactions by assuming a certain kind of imitation behavior, the so-called proportional imitation rule. They can be extended to a stochastic…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 Dirk Helbing

In this paper, we consider the portfolio optimization problem in a financial market where the underlying stochastic volatility model is driven by n-dimensional Brownian motions. At first, we derive a Hamilton-Jacobi-Bellman equation…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-12-20 Minglian Lin , Indranil SenGupta

The timing of strategic exit is one of the most important but difficult business decisions, especially under competition and uncertainty. Motivated by this problem, we examine a stochastic game of exit in which players are uncertain about…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-10-09 H. Dharma Kwon , Jan Palczewski

We investigate Brownian motion with diffusivity alternately fluctuating between fast and slow states. We assume that sojourn-time distributions of these two states are given by exponential or power-law distributions. We develop a theory of…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2019-07-17 Tomoshige Miyaguchi , Takashi Uneyama , Takuma Akimoto

Dynamic game theory offers a toolbox for formalizing and solving for both cooperative and non-cooperative strategies in multi-agent scenarios. However, the optimal configuration of such games remains largely unexplored. While there is…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2025-08-18 Jesse Milzman , Jeffrey Mao , Giuseppe Loianno

The paper deals with a mathematical model of a surveillance system based on a net of sensors. The signals acquired by each node of the net are Markovian process, have two different transition probabilities, which depends on the presence or…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2011-11-22 Krzysztof Szajowski

Brownian motion whose infinitesimal variance changes according to a three-state continuous time Markov Chain is studied. This Markov Chain can be viewed as a telegraph process with one on state and two off states. We first derive the…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-08-25 Vladimir Pozdnyakov , L. Mark Elbroch , Chaoran Hu , Thomas Meyer , Jun Yan
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