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The scientific rigor and computational methods of causal inference have had great impacts on many disciplines, but have only recently begun to take hold in spatial applications. Spatial casual inference poses analytic challenges due to…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-07-07 Brian J Reich , Shu Yang , Yawen Guan , Andrew B Giffin , Matthew J Miller , Ana G Rappold

One of the goals in scaling sequential machine learning methods pertains to dealing with high-dimensional data spaces. A key related challenge is that many methods heavily depend on obtaining the inverse covariance matrix of the data. It is…

Computation · Statistics 2017-07-28 Tomer Lancewicki

Spatial scan statistics are well-known methods for cluster detection and are widely used in epidemiology and medical studies for detecting and evaluating the statistical significance of disease hotspots. For the sake of simplicity, the…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-11-25 Mohamed-Salem Ahmed , Lionel Cucala , Michael Genin

In this paper, we study the estimation and inference of the quantile treatment effect under covariate-adaptive randomization. We propose two estimation methods: (1) the simple quantile regression and (2) the inverse propensity score…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-02-26 Yichong Zhang , Xin Zheng

We propose a novel framework for fitting additive quantile regression models, which provides well calibrated inference about the conditional quantiles and fast automatic estimation of the smoothing parameters, for model structures as…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-03-13 M. Fasiolo , S. N. Wood , M. Zaffran , R. Nedellec , Y. Goude

Datasets from field experiments with covariate-adaptive randomizations (CARs) usually contain extra covariates in addition to the strata indicators. We propose to incorporate these additional covariates via auxiliary regressions in the…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-09-07 Liang Jiang , Peter C. B. Phillips , Yubo Tao , Yichong Zhang

In various applications with large spatial regions, the relationship between the response variable and the covariates is expected to exhibit complex spatial patterns. We propose a spatially clustered varying coefficient model, where the…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-07-21 Fangzheng Lin , Yanlin Tang , Huichen Zhu , Zhongyi Zhu

Quantile regression permits describing how quantiles of a scalar response variable depend on a set of predictors. Because a unique definition of multivariate quantiles is lacking, extending quantile regression to multivariate responses is…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-04-22 Silvia Columbu , Paolo Frumento , Matteo Bottai

Quantile regression and conditional density estimation can reveal structure that is missed by mean regression, such as multimodality and skewness. In this paper, we introduce a deep learning generative model for joint quantile estimation…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-11-14 Shijie Wang , Minsuk Shin , Ray Bai

This paper introduces a flexible regularization approach that reduces point estimation risk of group means stemming from e.g. categorical regressors, (quasi-)experimental data or panel data models. The loss function is penalized by adding…

Econometrics · Economics 2019-01-08 Phillip Heiler , Jana Mareckova

Linear models that contain a time-dependent response and explanatory variables have attracted much interest in recent years. The most general form of the existing approaches is of a linear regression model with autoregressive moving average…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-02-15 Hamed Haselimashhadi , Veronica Vinciotti

We present an estimation procedure of spatial and temporal effects in spatiotemporal autoregressive panel data models using the Least Absolute Shrinkage and Selection Operator, LASSO (Tibshirani, 1996). We assume that the spatiotemporal…

Computation · Statistics 2025-11-19 Elkanah Nyabuto , Philipp Otto , Yarema Okhrin

This paper presents the generalized spatial autoregression (GSAR) model, a significant advance in spatial econometrics for non-normal response variables belonging to the exponential family. The GSAR model extends the logistic SAR, probit…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-12-03 N. A. Cruz , J. D. Toloza-Delgado , O. O. Melo

We introduce Coarse Q-learning (CQL), a reinforcement-learning model for bandit problems with stochastically varying menus. Alternatives are exogenously partitioned into similarity classes, and feedback from sampled alternatives is pooled…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2026-05-13 Philippe Jehiel , Aviman Satpathy

Quantile regression is a fundamental problem in statistical learning motivated by a need to quantify uncertainty in predictions, or to model a diverse population without being overly reductive. For instance, epidemiological forecasts, cost…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-04-18 Rasool Fakoor , Taesup Kim , Jonas Mueller , Alexander J. Smola , Ryan J. Tibshirani

We propose a general adaptive LASSO method for a quantile regression model. Our method is very interesting when we know nothing about the first two moments of the model error. We first prove that the obtained estimators satisfy the oracle…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-02-05 Gabriela Ciuperca

The vector autoregressive (VAR) model has been widely used for modeling temporal dependence in a multivariate time series. For large (and even moderate) dimensions, the number of AR coefficients can be prohibitively large, resulting in…

Applications · Statistics 2013-10-21 Richard A. Davis , Pengfei Zang , Tian Zheng

Estimating conditional quantiles of financial time series is essential for risk management and many other applications in finance. It is well-known that financial time series display conditional heteroscedasticity. Among the large number of…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-10-25 Yao Zheng , Qianqian Zhu , Guodong Li , Zhijie Xiao

The composite quantile regression (CQR) was introduced by Zou and Yuan [Ann. Statist. 36 (2008) 1108--1126] as a robust regression method for linear models with heavy-tailed errors while achieving high efficiency. Its penalized counterpart…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-10-16 Haeseong Moon , Wen-Xin Zhou

Our paper discovers a new trade-off of using regression adjustments (RAs) in causal inference under covariate-adaptive randomizations (CARs). On one hand, RAs can improve the efficiency of causal estimators by incorporating information from…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-02-19 Liang Jiang , Liyao Li , Ke Miao , Yichong Zhang