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The manner epidemics occurs in a social network depends on various elements, with two of the most influential being the relationships among individuals in the population and the mechanism of transmission. In this paper, we assume that the…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2024-05-09 Francisco J. Muñoz , Luca Meacci , Juan Carlos Nuño , Mario Primicerio

This paper continues our previous study on spreading processes in inhomogeneous populations consisting of susceptible and immune individuals [V. Blavatska, Yu. Holovatch, Physica A 573, 125980 (2021)]. A special role in such populations is…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2022-03-21 V. Blavatska , Yu. Holovatch

The current survey paper concerns stochastic mathematical models for the spread of infectious diseases. It starts with the simplest setting of a homogeneous population in which a transmittable disease spreads during a short outbreak.…

Applications · Statistics 2018-01-30 Tom Britton

We use a multitype continuous time Markov branching process model to describe the dynamics of the spread of parasites of two types that can mutate into each other in a common host population. Instead of using a single virulence…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-09-02 Konstantin Borovkov , Robert Day , Timothy Rice

We consider a population with non-overlapping generations, whose size goes to infinity. It is described by a discrete genealogy which may be time non-homogeneous and we pay special attention to branching trees in varying environments. A…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-05-22 Vincent Bansaye , Chunmao Huang

Metapopulation models are commonly used in ecology, evolution, and epidemiology. These models usually entail homogeneity assumptions within patches and study networks of migration between patches to generate insights into conservation of…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-06-06 Diepreye Ayabina , Hasan Sevil , Adam Kleczkowski , M. Gabriela M. Gomes

In this paper, we are concerned with two SIS epidemic reaction-diffusion models with mass action infection mechanism of the form $SI$, and study the spatial profile of population distribution as the movement rate of the infected individuals…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2023-01-04 Rui Peng , Zhi-an Wang , Guanghui Zhang , Maolin Zhou

In this paper we consider SIR epidemics on random graphs with clustering. To incorporate group structure of the underlying social network, we use a generalized version of the configuration model in which each node is a member of a specified…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-02-15 Carolina Fransson , Pieter Trapman

Power-law (PL) time dependent infection growth has been reported in many COVID-19 statistics. In simple SIR models the number of infections grows at the outbreak as $I(t) \propto t^{d-1}$ on $d$-dimensional Euclidean lattices in the endemic…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2021-06-16 Géza Ódor

During infectious disease epidemics, pathogen transmission occurs in host populations made up of interacting subpopulations. Using stochastic simulation and analytical approximations, we examine how outbreak sizes in networked populations…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2026-01-21 Makoto Ueki , Robin N. Thompson , Murad Banaji

This paper is devoted to the study of an age-structured SIRS epidemic model, in which a population affected by a disease is divided into susceptible, infected, and removed individuals. We assume that the force of infection may be nonlinear…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2026-03-16 Luisa Malaguti , Stefania Perrotta

We formulate a general age-of-infection epidemic model with two pathways: the symptomatic infections and the asymptomatic infections. We then calculate the basic reproduction number $\mathcal{R}_0$ and establish the final size relation. It…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-11-04 Fan Bai

The effect of spatial correlations on the spread of infectious diseases was investigated using a stochastic SIR (Susceptible-Infective-Recovered) model on complex networks. It was found that in addition to the reduction of the effective…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2007-05-23 J. Verdasca , M. M. Telo da Gama , A. Nunes , N. R. Bernardino , J. M. Pacheco , M. C. Gomes

In modeling parasitic diseases, it is natural to distinguish hosts according to the number of parasites that they carry, leading to a countably infinite type space. Proving the analogue of the deterministic equations, used in models with…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-01-16 A. D. Barbour , M. J. Luczak

In regard to infectious diseases socioeconomic determinants are strongly associated with differential exposure and susceptibility however they are seldom accounted for by standard compartmental infectious disease models. These associations…

Applications · Statistics 2022-11-28 Alison C Hale , Jonathan M Read , Christopher P Jewell

We introduce and study a model stemming from game theory for the spread of an epidemic throughout a given population. Each agent is allowed to choose an action whose value dictates to what extent they limit their social interactions, if at…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-03-20 Sayar Karmakar , Moumanti Podder , Souvik Roy , Soumyarup Sadhukhan

We investigate saturation effects in susceptible-infected-susceptible (SIS) models of the spread of epidemics in heterogeneous populations. The structure of interactions in the population is represented by networks with connectivity…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-10 Jaewook Joo , Joel L. Lebowitz

The duration of the infectious period is a crucial determinant of the ability of an infectious disease to spread. We consider an epidemic model that is network based and non-Markovian, containing classic Kermack-McKendrick, pairwise,…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2018-05-25 Robert R. Wilkinson , Kieran J. Sharkey

Susceptibility governs the dynamics of contagion. The classical SIR model is one of the simplest compartmental models of contagion spread, assuming a single shared susceptibility level. However, variation in susceptibility over a population…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-09-22 Christopher Rose , Andrew J. Medford , C. Franklin Goldsmith , Tejs Vegge , Joshua Weitz , Andrew A. Peterson

Mosquito-borne diseases cause significant public health burden, mostly in tropical and sub-tropical regions, and are widely emerging or re-emerging in areas where previously absent. Understanding, predicting, and mitigating the spread of…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2017-01-19 Carrie A. Manore , Kyle S. Hickmann , James M. Hyman , Ivo M. Foppa , Justin K. Davis , Dawn M. Wesson , Christopher N. Mores