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How to best develop foundational models for time series forecasting remains an important open question. Tokenization is a crucial consideration in this effort: what is an effective discrete vocabulary for a real-valued sequential input? To…

Discovering temporal lagged and inter-dependencies in multivariate time series data is an important task. However, in many real-world applications, such as commercial cloud management, manufacturing predictive maintenance, and portfolios…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-12-12 Xuan-Hong Dang , Syed Yousaf Shah , Petros Zerfos

District Heating Systems are essential infrastructure for delivering heat to consumers across a geographic region sustainably, yet efficient management relies on optimizing diverse energy sources, such as wood, gas, electricity, and solar,…

Variational autoencoders (VAEs) learn representations of data by jointly training a probabilistic encoder and decoder network. Typically these models encode all features of the data into a single variable. Here we are interested in learning…

Predicting time-series is of great importance in various scientific and engineering fields. However, in the context of limited and noisy data, accurately predicting dynamics of all variables in a high-dimensional system is a challenging…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-16 Zijian Wang , Peng Tao , Luonan Chen

In many real-world application, e.g., speech recognition or sleep stage classification, data are captured over the course of time, constituting a Time-Series. Time-Series often contain temporal dependencies that cause two otherwise…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-01-10 John Cristian Borges Gamboa

Time series analysis is of immense importance in extensive applications, such as weather forecasting, anomaly detection, and action recognition. This paper focuses on temporal variation modeling, which is the common key problem of extensive…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-04-13 Haixu Wu , Tengge Hu , Yong Liu , Hang Zhou , Jianmin Wang , Mingsheng Long

Multivariate time-series data in fields like healthcare and industry are informative but challenging due to high dimensionality and lack of labels. Recent self-supervised learning methods excel in learning rich representations without…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-22 Ching Chang , Chiao-Tung Chan , Wei-Yao Wang , Wen-Chih Peng , Tien-Fu Chen

Many real-life applications involve simultaneously forecasting multiple time series that are hierarchically related via aggregation or disaggregation operations. For instance, commercial organizations often want to forecast inventories…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-02-26 Xing Han , Sambarta Dasgupta , Joydeep Ghosh

Discrete Token Modeling (DTM), which employs vector quantization techniques, has demonstrated remarkable success in modeling non-natural language modalities, particularly in time series generation. While our prior work SDformer established…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-07 Shibo Feng , Zhicheng Chen , Xi Xiao , Zhong Zhang , Qing Li , Xingyu Gao , Peilin Zhao

Time series forecasting plays a crucial role in various applications, particularly in healthcare, where accurate predictions of future health trajectories can significantly impact clinical decision-making. Ensuring transparency and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-22 Jeremy Qin

Temporal link prediction in dynamic graphs is a fundamental problem in many real-world systems. Existing temporal graph neural networks mainly focus on learning representations of historical interactions. Despite their strong performance,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-02 Nguyen Minh Duc , Viet Cuong Ta

There is mounting evidence that existing neural network models, in particular the very popular sequence-to-sequence architecture, struggle to systematically generalize to unseen compositions of seen components. We demonstrate that one of…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2022-03-23 Hao Zheng , Mirella Lapata

Deep learning has been actively applied to time series forecasting, leading to a deluge of new methods, belonging to the class of historical-value models. Yet, despite the attractive properties of time-index models, such as being able to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-18 Gerald Woo , Chenghao Liu , Doyen Sahoo , Akshat Kumar , Steven Hoi

In this paper, we present the Difference- Based Causality Learner (DBCL), an algorithm for learning a class of discrete-time dynamic models that represents all causation across time by means of difference equations driving change in a…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2012-03-19 Mark Voortman , Denver Dash , Marek J. Druzdzel

The adaptation of large language models (LLMs) to time series forecasting poses unique challenges, as time series data is continuous in nature, while LLMs operate on discrete tokens. Despite the success of LLMs in natural language…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-08-05 Taibiao Zhao , Xiaobing Chen , Mingxuan Sun

Time series analysis provides essential insights for real-world system dynamics and informs downstream decision-making, yet most existing methods often overlook the rich contextual signals present in auxiliary modalities. To bridge this…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-24 Yushan Jiang , Wenchao Yu , Geon Lee , Dongjin Song , Kijung Shin , Wei Cheng , Yanchi Liu , Haifeng Chen

Continuous-time series is essential for different modern application areas, e.g. healthcare, automobile, energy, finance, Internet of things (IoT) and other related areas. Different application needs to process as well as analyse a massive…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-17 Mansura Habiba , Barak A. Pearlmutter , Mehrdad Maleki

Time series forecasting, which predicts future values from past observations, plays a central role in many domains and has driven the development of highly accurate neural network models. However, the complexity of these models often limits…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-05 Hiroki Tomioka , Genta Yoshimura

Learned time-series models, whether continuous or discrete, are widely used for forecasting the states of dynamical systems but suffer from error accumulation in multi-step forecasts. To address this issue, we propose a Predictor-Corrector…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-11 Muhammad Bilal Shahid , Zhanhong Jiang , Prajwal Koirala , Soumik Sarkar , Cody Fleming