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In this work we analyze the evolution of voluntary vaccination in networked populations by entangling the spreading dynamics of an influenza-like disease with an evolutionary framework taking place at the end of each influenza season so…

Physics and Society · Physics 2013-09-11 Alessio Cardillo , Catalina Reyes-Suárez , Fernando Naranjo , Jesús Gómez-Gardeñes

Traditionally, graph neural networks have been trained using a single observed graph. However, the observed graph represents only one possible realization. In many applications, the graph may encounter uncertainties, such as having…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-10 See Hian Lee , Feng Ji , Kelin Xia , Wee Peng Tay

Vaccination is an effective way to prevent and control the occurrence and epidemic of infectious diseases. However, many factors influence whether the residents decide to get vaccinated or not, such as the efficacy and side effects while…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-03-09 Yingyue Ke , Jin Zhou

In the context of the ongoing Ebola epidemic in DRC, active conflict and community distrust are undermining control efforts, including vaccination strategies. In this paper, we employed an individual-level stochastic structured transmission…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2019-08-26 G. Chowell , A. Tariq , M. Kiskowski

Most centralities proposed for identifying influential spreaders on social networks to either spread a message or to stop an epidemic require the full topological information of the network on which spreading occurs. In practice, however,…

Physics and Society · Physics 2017-12-13 Byungjoon Min , Fredrik Liljeros , Hernán A. Makse

In order to meet regulatory approval, pharmaceutical companies often must demonstrate that new vaccines reduce the total risk of a post-infection outcome like transmission, symptomatic disease, severe illness, or death in randomized,…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-09-23 Rob Trangucci , Yang Chen , Jon Zelner

In this paper, we propose two novel immunization strategies, i.e., combined immunization and duplex immunization, for SIS model in directed scale-free networks, and obtain the epidemic thresholds for them with linear and nonlinear…

Physics and Society · Physics 2018-06-05 Wei Shi , Junbo Jia , Pan Yang , Xinchu Fu

Studies of voluntary vaccination decisions by rational individuals predict that the population will reach a Nash equilibrium with vaccination coverage below the societal optimum. Human decision-making involves mechanisms in addition to…

Physics and Society · Physics 2018-08-28 Ying Xin , David Gerberry , Winfried Just

Modelling epidemics via classical population-based models suffers from shortcomings that so-called individual-based models are able to overcome, as they are able to take heterogeneity features into account, such as super-spreaders, and…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-05-16 C. Courtès , E. Franck , K. Lutz , L. Navoret , Y. Privat

Identifying critical nodes and links in graphs is a crucial task. These nodes/links typically represent critical elements/communication links that play a key role in a system's performance. However, a majority of the methods available in…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2022-05-31 Sai Munikoti , Laya Das , Balasubramaniam Natarajan

The COVID-19 pandemic due to the novel coronavirus SARS CoV-2 has inspired remarkable breakthroughs in development of vaccines against the virus and the launch of several phase 3 vaccine trials in Summer 2020 to evaluate vaccine efficacy…

Applications · Statistics 2021-03-01 Anastasios A. Tsiatis , Marie Davidian

We investigate stochastic extinction in an epidemic model and the impact of random vaccinations in large populations formulated in terms of an optimal escape path. We find that different random vaccination strategies can have widely…

Biological Physics · Physics 2007-11-12 Alexandra S. Landsman , Ira B. Schwartz

In this paper we consider SIR epidemics on random graphs with clustering. To incorporate group structure of the underlying social network, we use a generalized version of the configuration model in which each node is a member of a specified…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-02-15 Carolina Fransson , Pieter Trapman

Childhood vaccination is a cornerstone of public health, yet disparities in vaccination coverage persist across England. These disparities are shaped by complex interactions among various factors, including geographic, demographic,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-21 Amin Noroozi , Sidratul Muntaha Esha , Mansoureh Ghari

Epidemic outcomes have a complex interplay with human behavior and beliefs. Most of the forecasting literature has focused on the task of predicting epidemic signals using simple mechanistic models or black-box models, such as deep…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-02 Mulin Tian , Ajitesh Srivastava

We investigated the negative relationship between mortality and COVID-19 vaccination at ecological level, which has been established through clinical trials and other investigations at the individual level. We conducted an exploratory,…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2022-07-26 Cosima Rughinis , Mihai Dima , Simona-Nicoleta Vulpe , Razvan Rughinis , Sorina Vasile

We employ the epidemic Renormalization Group (eRG) framework to understand, reproduce and predict the COVID-19 pandemic diffusion across the US. The human mobility across different geographical US divisions is modelled via open source…

Epidemic outbreaks pose significant challenges to public health and socio-economic stability, necessitating a comprehensive understanding of disease transmission dynamics and effective control strategies. This article discusses the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-10-20 Sourin Chatterjee , Ahad N. Zehmakan , Sujay Rastogi

The waning of immunity after recovery or vaccination is a major factor accounting for the severity and prolonged duration of an array of epidemics, ranging from COVID-19 to diphtheria and pertussis. To study the effectiveness of different…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2023-02-01 Shoshana Elgart

Population heterogeneity, especially in individuals' contact networks, plays an important role in transmission dynamics of infectious diseases. For vaccine-preventable diseases, outstanding issues like vaccine hesitancy and availability of…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-12-29 Alina Glaubitz , Feng Fu