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Network-based epidemic models have been extensively employed to understand the spread of infectious diseases, but have generally overlooked the fact that most realistic networks are dynamical rather than static. In this paper, we study a…

Physics and Society · Physics 2019-02-19 Xiao-Long Peng , Ze-Qiong Zhang , Junyuan Yang , Zhen Jin

Real-world vaccine effectiveness has increasingly been studied using matching-based approaches, particularly in observational cohort studies following the target trial emulation framework. Although matching is appealing in its simplicity,…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-07 Emily Wu , Elizabeth Rogawski McQuade , Mats Stensrud , Razieh Nabi , David Benkeser

We investigate the spread of diseases, computer viruses or information on complex networks and also immunization strategies to prevent or control the spread. When an entire population cannot be immunized and the effect of immunization is…

Physics and Society · Physics 2011-04-14 Shinji Tanimoto

Timely and effective decision-making is critical during epidemics to reduce preventable infections and deaths. This demands integrated models that jointly capture disease dynamics, vaccine distribution, regional disparities, and behavioral…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2025-11-26 Kimiya Jozani , Nihal A. Sageer , Hode Eldardiry , Sait Tunc , Esra Buyuktahtakin Toy

Graph Neural Networks (GNNs) have received considerable attention since its introduction. It has been widely applied in various fields due to its ability to represent graph structured data. However, the application of GNNs is constrained by…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2023-09-20 Yihan Wu , Tao Chang , Peng Xu , Yangsong Zhang

The limited availability of COVID-19 vaccines has prompted extensive research on optimal vaccination strategies. Previous studies have considered various non-pharmaceutical interventions, vaccine efficacy, and distribution strategies. In…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-02-27 Iker Atienza-Diez , Gabriel Rodriguez-Maroto , Saúl Ares , Susanna Manrubia

Vaccination is widely recognised as one of the most effective forms of public health interventions. Individuals decisions regarding vaccination creates a complex social dilemma between individual and collective interests, where each…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2024-11-28 Nataliya A. Balabanova , Manh Hong Duong

A more connected world has brought major consequences such as facilitate the spread of diseases all over the world to quickly become epidemics, reason why researchers are concentrated in modeling the propagation of epidemics and outbreaks…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-10-28 Lucila G. Alvarez Zuzek , Camila Buono , Lidia A. Braunstein

In contemporary society, social networks accelerate decision dynamics causing a rapid switch of opinions in a number of fields, including the prevention of infectious diseases by means of vaccines. This means that opinion dynamics can…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2023-11-06 Rossella Della Marca , Alberto d'Onofrio , Mattia Sensi , Sara Sottile

During the Covid-19 pandemic a key role is played by vaccination to combat the virus. There are many possible policies for prioritizing vaccines, and different criteria for optimization: minimize death, time to herd immunity, functioning of…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-03-18 Qi Luo , Ryan Weightman , Sean T. McQuade , Mateo Diaz , Emmanuel Trélat , William Barbour , Dan Work , Samitha Samaranayake , Benedetto Piccoli

Motivated by massive outbreaks of COVID-19 that occurred even in populations with high vaccine uptake, we propose a novel multi-population temporal network model for the spread of recurrent epidemic diseases. We study the effect of human…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2022-09-19 Kathinka Frieswijk , Lorenzo Zino , Ming Cao

Based on the information communicated in press releases, and finally published towards the end of 2020 by Pfizer, Moderna and AstraZeneca, we have built up a simple Bayesian model, in which the main quantity of interest plays the role of…

Applications · Statistics 2021-09-07 Giulio D'Agostini , Alfredo Esposito

Network immunization is an extensively recognized issue in several domains like virtual network security, public health and social media, to deal with the problem of node inoculation so as to minimize the transmission through the links…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2019-01-03 Chandni Saxena , M. N. Doja , Tanvir Ahmad

Link prediction is a key aspect of graph machine learning, with applications as diverse as disease prediction, social network recommendations, and drug discovery. It involves predicting new links that may form between network nodes. Despite…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-09-12 Haohui Lu , Shahadat Uddin

Containing an epidemic at its origin is the most desirable mitigation. Epidemics have often originated in rural areas, with rural communities among the first affected. Disease dynamics in rural regions have received limited attention, and…

Numerous real-world systems, for instance, the communication platforms and transportation systems, can be abstracted into complex networks. Containing spreading dynamics (e.g., epidemic transmission and misinformation propagation) in…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-06-24 Jiajun Xian , Dan Yang , Liming Pan , Wei Wang

As infectious disease outbreaks emerge, public health agencies often enact vaccination and social distancing measures to slow transmission. Their success depends on not only strategies and resources, but also public adherence. Individual…

Physics and Society · Physics 2018-08-20 José L. Herrera , Lauren Ancel Meyers

Balancing social utility and equity in distributing limited vaccines represents a critical policy concern for protecting against the prolonged COVID-19 pandemic. What is the nature of the trade-off between maximizing collective welfare and…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2021-11-15 Lin Chen , Fengli Xu , Zhenyu Han , Kun Tang , Pan Hui , James Evans , Yong Li

The Markovian approach, which assumes exponentially distributed interinfection times, is dominant in epidemic modeling. However, this assumption is unrealistic as an individual's infectiousness depends on its viral load and varies over…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2023-08-02 Qihui Yang , Joan Saldaña , Caterina Scoglio

We propose a framework for the description of the effects of vaccinations on the spreading of an epidemic disease. Different vaccines can be dosed, each providing different immunization times and immunization levels. Differences due to…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2024-07-23 Rinaldo M. Colombo , Mauro Garavello