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The Hawkes model is a past-dependent point process, widely used in various fields for modeling temporal clustering of events. Extending this framework, the multidimensional marked Hawkes process incorporates multiple interacting event types…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-20 Anna Bonnet , Charlotte Dion-Blanc , Maya Sadeler-Perrin

In this paper, we develop an efficient nonparametric Bayesian estimation of the kernel function of Hawkes processes. The non-parametric Bayesian approach is important because it provides flexible Hawkes kernels and quantifies their…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-04-14 Rui Zhang , Christian Walder , Marian-Andrei Rizoiu , Lexing Xie

Due to its clustering and self-exciting properties, the Hawkes process has been used extensively in numerous fields ranging from sismology to finance. Since data is often aquired on regular time intervals, we propose a piece-wise constant…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-06-28 Lorick Huang , Mahmoud Khabou

Many real life problems can be reduced to the solution of a complex exponentials approximation problem which is usually ill posed. Recently a new transform for solving this problem, formulated as a specific moments problem in the plane, has…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2012-05-03 Piero Barone

We obtain for the Kempner series (i.e. harmonic series where certain digits are excluded from all denominators, for example the digit 9 in base 10) new representations as geometrically convergent series. The coefficients for these…

Number Theory · Mathematics 2025-12-16 Jean-François Burnol

Hawkes Processes are a type of point process for modeling self-excitation, i.e., when the occurrence of an event makes future events more likely to occur. The corresponding self-triggering function of this type of process may be inferred…

Applications · Statistics 2018-06-01 Rafael Lima , Jaesik Choi

Knots, links and entangled filaments appear in many physical systems of interest in biology and engineering. Classifying knots and measuring entanglement is of interest both for advancing knot theory, as well as for analyzing large data…

Geometric Topology · Mathematics 2025-05-30 Kasturi Barkataki , Eleni Panagiotou

The problem of convergence of the joint moments, which depend on two parameters $s$ and $h$, of the characteristic polynomial of a random Haar-distributed unitary matrix and its derivative, as the matrix size goes to infinity, has been…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-06-01 Theodoros Assiotis , Mustafa Alper Gunes , Arun Soor

In this paper, we introduce a novel algorithm for calculating arbitrary order cumulants of multidimensional data. Since the $d^\text{th}$ order cumulant can be presented in the form of an $d$-dimensional tensor, the algorithm is presented…

Numerical Analysis · Computer Science 2020-11-10 Krzysztof Domino , Piotr Gawron , Łukasz Pawela

The joint moments of the derivatives of the characteristic polynomial of a random unitary matrix, and also a variant of the characteristic polynomial that is real on the unit circle, in the large matrix size limit, have been studied…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-10-16 Theodoros Assiotis , Mustafa Alper Gunes , Jonathan P. Keating , Fei Wei

We investigate spatio-temporal event analysis using point processes. Inferring the dynamics of event sequences spatiotemporally has many practical applications including crime prediction, social media analysis, and traffic forecasting. In…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-02-17 Fatih Ilhan , Suleyman Serdar Kozat

In this paper we provide an expansion formula for Hawkes processes which involves the addition of jumps at deterministic times to the Hawkes process in the spirit of the well-known integration by parts formula (or more precisely the Mecke…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-04-06 Caroline Hillairet , Anthony Reveillac , Mathieu Rosenbaum

This paper introduces a simple and computationally efficient algorithm for conversion formulae between moments and cumulants. The algorithm provides just one formula for classical, boolean and free cumulants. This is realized by using a…

Computation · Statistics 2008-11-21 E. Di Nardo , I. Oliva

Quantum algorithms for simulation of Hamiltonian evolution are often based on product formulae. The fractal methods give a systematic way to find arbitrarily high-order product formulae, but result in a large number of exponentials. On the…

In a companion paper \cite{jon-fei}, we established asymptotic formulae for the joint moments of derivatives of the characteristic polynomials of CUE random matrices. The leading order coefficients of these asymptotic formulae are expressed…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2023-07-31 Jonathan P. Keating , Fei Wei

We establish a representation of the joint moments of the characteristic polynomial of a CUE random matrix and its derivative in terms of a solution of the sigma-Painleve V equation. The derivation involves the analysis of a formula for the…

The large moment method can be used to compute a large number of moments of physical quantities that are described by coupled systems of linear differential equations. Besides these systems the algorithm requires a certain number of initial…

Symbolic Computation · Computer Science 2019-12-11 Johannes Blümlein , Peter Marquard , Carsten Schneider

We propose a novel approach to marked Hawkes kernel inference which we name the moment-based neural Hawkes estimation method. Hawkes processes are fully characterized by their first and second order statistics through a Fredholm integral…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2026-02-02 Timothée Fabre , Ioane Muni Toke

The Tick library allows researchers in market microstructure to simulate and learn Hawkes process in high-frequency data, with optimized parametric and non-parametric learners. But one challenge is to take into account the correct causality…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-01-19 Marcos Costa Santos Carreira

In this paper, we present a maximum likelihood method for estimating the parameters of a univariate Hawkes process with self-excitation or inhibition. Our work generalizes techniques and results that were restricted to the self-exciting…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-08-23 Anna Bonnet , Miguel Martinez Herrera , Maxime Sangnier