English
Related papers

Related papers: Detecting model drift using polynomial relations

200 papers

In processing and manufacturing industries, there has been a large push to produce higher quality products and ensure maximum efficiency of processes. This requires approaches to effectively detect and resolve disturbances to ensure optimal…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-02-05 Weike Sun , Antonio R. C. Paiva , Peng Xu , Anantha Sundaram , Richard D. Braatz

Methods of performing anomaly detection on high-dimensional data sets are needed, since algorithms which are trained on data are only expected to perform well on data that is similar to the training data. There are theoretical results on…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-11-13 Forrest Laine , Claire Tomlin

A significant challenge in maintaining real-world machine learning models is responding to the continuous and unpredictable evolution of data. Most practitioners are faced with the difficult question: when should I retrain or update my…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-22 Regol Florence , Schwinn Leo , Sprague Kyle , Coates Mark , Markovich Thomas

Machine learning models are often used to inform real world risk assessment tasks: predicting consumer default risk, predicting whether a person suffers from a serious illness, or predicting a person's risk to appear in court. Given…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-27 Jamelle Watson-Daniels , David C. Parkes , Berk Ustun

In this paper we show how to use drift analysis in the case of two random variables $X_1, X_2$, when the drift is approximatively given by $A\cdot (X_1,X_2)^T$ for a matrix $A$. The non-trivial case is that $X_1$ and $X_2$ impede each…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2023-05-11 Duri Janett , Johannes Lengler

Posterior drift refers to changes in the relationship between responses and covariates while the distributions of the covariates remain unchanged. In this work, we explore functional linear regression under posterior drift with transfer…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-12-20 Xiaoyu Hu , Zhenhua Lin

When using complex Bayesian models to combine information, the checking for consistency of the information being combined is good statistical practice. Here a new method is developed for detecting prior-data conflicts in Bayesian models…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-11-29 David J. Nott , Xueou Wang , Michael Evans , Berthold-Georg Englert

Existing drift detection methods focus on designing sensitive test statistics. They treat the detection threshold as a fixed hyperparameter, set once to balance false alarms and late detections, and applied uniformly across all datasets and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-14 Pengqian Lu , Jie Lu , Anjin Liu , En Yu , Guangquan Zhang

A probability model exhibits instability if small changes in a data outcome result in large, and often unanticipated, changes in probability. This instability is a property of the probability model, given by a distributional form and a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-11-18 Andee Kaplan , Daniel Nordman , Stephen Vardeman

A serious problem in learning probabilistic models is the presence of hidden variables. These variables are not observed, yet interact with several of the observed variables. Detecting hidden variables poses two problems: determining the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2013-01-14 Gal Elidan , Nir Friedman

Real-life data are often non-IID due to complex distributions and interactions, and the sensitivity to the distribution of samples can differ among learning models. Accordingly, a key question for any supervised or unsupervised model is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-03 Zhilin Zhao , Longbing Cao

This paper focuses on learning a model of system dynamics online while satisfying safety constraints.Our motivation is to avoid offline system identification or hand-specified dynamics models and allowa system to safely and autonomously…

Robotics · Computer Science 2020-05-07 Mohammad Javad Khojasteh , Vikas Dhiman , Massimo Franceschetti , Nikolay Atanasov

Non-stationarity of an underlying data generating process that leads to distributional changes over time is a key characteristic of Data Streams. This phenomenon, commonly referred to as Concept Drift, has been intensively studied, and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-09 Brandon Gower-Winter , Misja Groen , Georg Krempl

Drift analysis aims at translating the expected progress of an evolutionary algorithm (or more generally, a random process) into a probabilistic guarantee on its run time (hitting time). So far, drift arguments have been successfully…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2021-11-01 Benjamin Doerr , Timo Kötzing

This work focuses on classification over time series data. When a time series is generated by non-stationary phenomena, the pattern relating the series with the class to be predicted may evolve over time (concept drift). Consequently,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-04-02 Eric L. Manibardo , Ibai Laña , Jesus L. Lobo , Javier Del Ser

Machine learning on data streams is increasingly more present in multiple domains. However, there is often data distribution shift that can lead machine learning models to make incorrect decisions. While there are automatic methods to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-02 João Palmeiro , Beatriz Malveiro , Rita Costa , David Polido , Ricardo Moreira , Pedro Bizarro

Machine learning systems deployed in the real world must operate under dynamic and often unpredictable distribution shifts. This challenges the validity of statistical safety assurances on the system's risk established beforehand. Common…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-06-23 Alexander Timans , Rajeev Verma , Eric Nalisnick , Christian A. Naesseth

The recent literature on deep learning offers new tools to learn a rich probability distribution over high dimensional data such as images or sounds. In this work we investigate the possibility of learning the prior distribution over neural…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-12-19 Alexandre Lacoste , Thomas Boquet , Negar Rostamzadeh , Boris Oreshkin , Wonchang Chung , David Krueger

Leakages are a major risk in water distribution networks as they cause water loss and increase contamination risks. Leakage detection is a difficult task due to the complex dynamics of water distribution networks. In particular, small…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-01-04 Valerie Vaquet , Fabian Hinder , Barbara Hammer

As an integral part of contemporary manufacturing, monitoring systems obtain valuable information during machining to oversee the condition of both the process and the machine. Recently, diverse algorithms have been employed to detect tool…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-10 Zongshuo Li , Markus Meurer , Thomas Bergs