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Forecasting financial time series is considered to be a difficult task due to the chaotic feature of the series. Statistical approaches have shown solid results in some specific problems such as predicting market direction and single-price…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-07-05 Angelo Garangau Menezes , Saulo Martiello Mastelini

In finance, the weak form of the Efficient Market Hypothesis asserts that historic stock price and volume data cannot inform predictions of future prices. In this paper we show that, to the contrary, future intra-day stock prices could be…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2019-08-23 David Byrd , Tucker Hybinette Balch

In a natural market environment, the price prediction model needs to be updated in real time according to the data obtained by the system to ensure the accuracy of the prediction. In order to improve the user experience of the system, the…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-07-14 Zhu Bangyuan

Large Language Models (LLMs) have shown remarkable ability to generalize effectively across numerous industry domains while executing a range of tasks. Many of these competencies are obtained from the data utilized during the pre-training…

Deep Learning is evolving fast and integrates into various domains. Finance is a challenging field for deep learning, especially in the case of interpretable artificial intelligence (AI). Although classical approaches perform very well with…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-03 Kasymkhan Khubiev , Mikhail Semenov , Irina Podlipnova , Dinara Khubieva

Most forecasting methods use recent past observations (lags) to model the future values of univariate time series. Selecting an adequate number of lags is important for training accurate forecasting models. Several approaches and heuristics…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-05-21 José Leites , Vitor Cerqueira , Carlos Soares

The prediction of stock prices is an important task in economics, investment and making financial decisions. This has, for decades, spurred the interest of many researchers to make focused contributions to the design of accurate stock price…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-06-08 Bradley J. Pillay , Absalom E. Ezugwu

Deep learning (DL) has achieved great success in many applications, but it has been less well analyzed from the theoretical perspective. The unexplainable success of black-box DL models has raised questions among scientists and promoted the…

Robotics · Computer Science 2023-08-25 Huu-Thiet Nguyen , Chien Chern Cheah , Kar-Ann Toh

Accurately predicting stock repurchases is crucial for quantitative investment and risk management, yet traditional static models fail to capture the complex temporal dependencies of corporate financial conditions. This paper proposes a…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-04-14 Xiang Ao , Jingxuan Zhang , Xinyu Zhao

Finance is a particularly difficult playground for deep reinforcement learning. However, establishing high-quality market environments and benchmarks for financial reinforcement learning is challenging due to three major factors, namely,…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2022-11-08 Xiao-Yang Liu , Ziyi Xia , Jingyang Rui , Jiechao Gao , Hongyang Yang , Ming Zhu , Christina Dan Wang , Zhaoran Wang , Jian Guo

Deep learning approaches are increasingly used to tackle forecasting tasks involving datasets with multiple univariate time series. A key factor in the successful application of these methods is a large enough training sample size, which is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-06 Vitor Cerqueira , Moisés Santos , Luis Roque , Yassine Baghoussi , Carlos Soares

The explosion of Time Series (TS) data, driven by advancements in technology, necessitates sophisticated analytical methods. Modern management systems increasingly rely on analyzing this data, highlighting the importance of effcient…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-27 Seyedeh Azadeh Fallah Mortezanejad , Ruochen Wang

The study of Day-Ahead prices in the electricity market is one of the most popular problems in time series forecasting. Previous research has focused on employing increasingly complex learning algorithms to capture the sophisticated…

Applications · Statistics 2024-04-29 Carlos Sebastián , Carlos E. González-Guillén , Jesús Juan

Our work focuses on deep learning (DL) portfolio optimization, tackling challenges in long-only, multi-asset strategies across market cycles. We propose training models with limited regime data using pre-training techniques and leveraging…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2026-01-14 Brandon Luo , Jim Skufca

Identifying meaningful relationships between the price movements of financial assets is a challenging but important problem in a variety of financial applications. However with recent research, particularly those using machine learning and…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-02-21 Rian Dolphin , Barry Smyth , Ruihai Dong

Deep learning performs remarkably well on many time series analysis tasks recently. The superior performance of deep neural networks relies heavily on a large number of training data to avoid overfitting. However, the labeled data of many…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-04-04 Qingsong Wen , Liang Sun , Fan Yang , Xiaomin Song , Jingkun Gao , Xue Wang , Huan Xu

Due to the unprecedented success of deep learning, it has become an integral component in several multimedia computing applications in todays world. Unfortunately, deep learning systems are not perfect and can fail, sometimes abruptly,…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-05-05 Varun Totakura , Shayok Chakraborty

Sequential recommender systems have recently achieved significant performance improvements with the exploitation of deep learning (DL) based methods. However, although various DL-based methods have been introduced, most of them only focus…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2022-03-29 Joo-yeong Song , Bongwon Suh

Forecasting the movements of stock prices is one the most challenging problems in financial markets analysis. In this paper, we use Machine Learning (ML) algorithms for the prediction of future price movements using limit order book data.…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2019-04-09 Paraskevi Nousi , Avraam Tsantekidis , Nikolaos Passalis , Adamantios Ntakaris , Juho Kanniainen , Anastasios Tefas , Moncef Gabbouj , Alexandros Iosifidis

In this paper, we compare various approaches to stock price prediction using neural networks. We analyze the performance fully connected, convolutional, and recurrent architectures in predicting the next day value of S&P 500 index based on…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-03-29 Firuz Kamalov , Linda Smail , Ikhlaas Gurrib