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Designing robust frameworks for precise prediction of future prices of stocks has always been considered a very challenging research problem. The advocates of the classical efficient market hypothesis affirm that it is impossible to…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-08-31 Jaydip Sen , Sidra Mehtab

This study explores the prediction of high-frequency price changes using deep learning models. Although state-of-the-art methods perform well, their complexity impedes the understanding of successful predictions. We found that an…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-09-24 Kyungsub Lee

The prediction of financial markets is a challenging yet important task. In modern electronically-driven markets, traditional time-series econometric methods often appear incapable of capturing the true complexity of the multi-level…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-02-01 Martin Magris , Mostafa Shabani , Alexandros Iosifidis

Investment Analysis is a cornerstone of the Financial Services industry. The rapid integration of advanced machine learning techniques, particularly Large Language Models (LLMs), offers opportunities to enhance the equity rating process.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-05 Kassiani Papasotiriou , Srijan Sood , Shayleen Reynolds , Tucker Balch

The application of deep learning techniques for predicting stock market prices is a prominent and widely researched topic in the field of data science. To effectively predict market trends, it is essential to utilize a diversified dataset.…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-07-18 Yuhui Jin

The financial market is a particularly challenging playground for deep reinforcement learning due to its unique feature of dynamic datasets. Building high-quality market environments for training financial reinforcement learning (FinRL)…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-04-27 Xiao-Yang Liu , Ziyi Xia , Hongyang Yang , Jiechao Gao , Daochen Zha , Ming Zhu , Christina Dan Wang , Zhaoran Wang , Jian Guo

Designing robust and accurate predictive models for stock price prediction has been an active area of research for a long time. While on one side, the supporters of the efficient market hypothesis claim that it is impossible to forecast…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-08-31 Sidra Mehtab , Jaydip Sen

The quest for accurate economic forecasting has traditionally been dominated by econometric models, which most of the times rely on the assumptions of linear relationships and stationarity in of the data. However, the complex and often…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-28 Bogdan Oancea

The ARIMA (Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average model) has extensive applications in the field of time series forecasting. However, the predictive performance of the ARIMA model is limited when dealing with data gaps or significant…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-11-21 Xitai Yu

The lead-lag effect, where the price movement of one asset systematically precedes that of another, has been widely observed in financial markets and conveys valuable predictive signals for trading. However, traditional lead-lag detection…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2025-11-04 Wanyun Zhou , Saizhuo Wang , Mihai Cucuringu , Zihao Zhang , Xiang Li , Jian Guo , Chao Zhang , Xiaowen Chu

In recent years, deep learning techniques have outperformed traditional models in many machine learning tasks. Deep neural networks have successfully been applied to address time series forecasting problems, which is a very important topic…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-04-09 Pedro Lara-Benítez , Manuel Carranza-García , José C. Riquelme

Prediction of stock prices has been an important area of research for a long time. While supporters of the efficient market hypothesis believe that it is impossible to predict stock prices accurately, there are formal propositions…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-08-31 Sidra Mehtab , Jaydip Sen , Abhishek Dutta

Model-Free Reinforcement Learning has achieved meaningful results in stable environments but, to this day, it remains problematic in regime changing environments like financial markets. In contrast, model-based RL is able to capture some…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-04-23 Eric Benhamou , David Saltiel , Serge Tabachnik , Sui Kai Wong , François Chareyron

Deep Reinforcement Learning (DRL) algorithms can scale to previously intractable problems. The automation of profit generation in the stock market is possible using DRL, by combining the financial assets price "prediction" step and the…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2022-09-20 Taylan Kabbani , Ekrem Duman

In this essay, we have comprehensively evaluated the feasibility and suitability of adopting the Machine Learning Models on the forecast of corporation fundamentals (i.e. the earnings), where the prediction results of our method have been…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-05-29 Xinyue Cui , Zhaoyu Xu , Yue Zhou

Several approaches have been proposed to forecast day-ahead locational marginal price (daLMP) in deregulated energy markets. The rise of deep learning has motivated its use in energy price forecasts but most deep learning approaches fail to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-10-14 Dipanwita Saha , Felipe Lopez

Volume prediction is one of the fundamental objectives in the Fintech area, which is helpful for many downstream tasks, e.g., algorithmic trading. Previous methods mostly learn a universal model for different stocks. However, this kind of…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2022-11-04 Ruibo Chen , Wei Li , Zhiyuan Zhang , Ruihan Bao , Keiko Harimoto , Xu Sun

The application of deep learning to time series forecasting is one of the major challenges in present machine learning. We propose a novel methodology that combines machine learning and image processing methods to define and predict market…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-08-19 Bairui Du , Delmiro Fernandez-Reyes , Paolo Barucca

This paper provides a systematic comparison between Fitted Dynamic Programming (DP), where demand is estimated from data, and Reinforcement Learning (RL) methods in finite-horizon dynamic pricing problems. We analyze their performance…

General Economics · Economics 2026-04-16 Lev Razumovskiy , Nikolay Karenin

This article investigates the use of Machine Learning and Deep Learning models in multivariate time series analysis within financial markets. It compares small and big data approaches, focusing on their distinct challenges and the benefits…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-09 Grégory Bournassenko