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A new class of graphical models capturing the dependence structure of events that occur in time is proposed. The graphs represent so-called local independences, meaning that the intensities of certain types of events are independent of some…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-07-11 Vanessa Didelez

Granger causality is a fundamental technique for causal inference in time series data, commonly used in the social and biological sciences. Typical operationalizations of Granger causality make a strong assumption that every time point of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-11-23 Chainarong Amornbunchornvej , Elena Zheleva , Tanya Y. Berger-Wolf

Temporal point processes (TPPs) have emerged as powerful tools for modeling asynchronous event sequences. While recent advances have extended TPPs to handle textual information, existing approaches are limited in their ability to generate…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2026-02-03 Jichu Li , Yilun Zhong , Zhiting Li , Feng Zhou , Quyu Kong

A challenging problem when studying a dynamical system is to find the interdependencies among its individual components. Several algorithms have been proposed to detect directed dynamical influences between time series. Two of the most used…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2015-09-09 Alessandro Montalto , Sebastiano Stramaglia , Luca Faes , Giovanni Tessitore , Roberto Prevete , Daniele Marinazzo

Causality in time series can be challenging to determine, especially in the presence of non-linear dependencies. Granger causality helps analyze potential relationships between variables, thereby offering a method to determine whether one…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-13 Harsh Poonia , Felix Divo , Kristian Kersting , Devendra Singh Dhami

This paper considers a time-varying vector error-correction model that allows for different time series behaviours (e.g., unit-root and locally stationary processes) to interact with each other to co-exist. From practical perspectives, this…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-05-30 Jiti Gao , Bin Peng , Yayi Yan

Temporal graphs represent graph evolution over time, and have been receiving considerable research attention. Work on expressing temporal graph patterns or discovering temporal motifs typically assumes relatively simple temporal…

Databases · Computer Science 2022-05-31 Amir Pouya Aghasadeghi , Jan Van den Bussche , Julia Stoyanovich

We present a constraint-based algorithm for learning causal structures from observational time-series data, in the presence of latent confounders. We assume a discrete-time, stationary structural vector autoregressive process, with both…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2023-06-02 Raanan Y. Rohekar , Shami Nisimov , Yaniv Gurwicz , Gal Novik

Real-world problems, for example in climate applications, often require causal reasoning on spatially gridded time series data or data with comparable structure. While the underlying system is often believed to behave similarly at different…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-16 Martin Rabel , Jakob Runge

This article proposes a systematic methodological review and objective criticism of existing methods enabling the derivation of time-varying Granger-causality statistics in neuroscience. The increasing interest and the huge number of…

Applications · Statistics 2017-04-12 Sezen Cekic , Didier Grandjean , Olivier Renaud

Finding patterns in graphs is a fundamental problem in databases and data mining. In many applications, graphs are temporal and evolve over time, so we are interested in finding durable patterns, such as triangles and paths, which persist…

Databases · Computer Science 2024-03-26 Pankaj K. Agarwal , Xiao Hu , Stavros Sintos , Jun Yang

Deep Recurrent Neural Network architectures, though remarkably capable at modeling sequences, lack an intuitive high-level spatio-temporal structure. That is while many problems in computer vision inherently have an underlying high-level…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2016-04-12 Ashesh Jain , Amir R. Zamir , Silvio Savarese , Ashutosh Saxena

Temporal graph learning is pivotal for deciphering dynamic systems, where the core challenge lies in explicitly modeling the underlying evolving patterns that govern network transformation. However, prevailing methods are predominantly…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-20 Yijun Ma , Zehong Wang , Weixiang Sun , Yanfang Ye

Neural Processes combine the strengths of neural networks and Gaussian processes to achieve both flexible learning and fast prediction in stochastic processes. However, a large class of problems comprises underlying temporal dependency…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-10-29 Gautam Singh , Jaesik Yoon , Youngsung Son , Sungjin Ahn

The explosion of digital information and the growing involvement of people in social networks led to enormous research activity to develop methods that can extract meaningful information from interaction data. Commonly, interactions are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-04-04 Tony Gracious , Ambedkar Dukkipati

The quantitative analysis of non-invasive electrophysiology signals from electroencephalography (EEG) and magnetoencephalography (MEG) boils down to the identification of temporal patterns such as evoked responses, transient bursts of…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-07-12 Cédric Allain , Alexandre Gramfort , Thomas Moreau

Deep graph clustering has recently received significant attention due to its ability to enhance the representation learning capabilities of models in unsupervised scenarios. Nevertheless, deep clustering for temporal graphs, which could…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-04-12 Meng Liu , Yue Liu , Ke Liang , Wenxuan Tu , Siwei Wang , Sihang Zhou , Xinwang Liu

We aim to explicitly model the delayed Granger causal effects based on multivariate Hawkes processes. The idea is inspired by the fact that a causal event usually takes some time to exert an effect. Studying this time lag itself is of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-08-14 Chao Yang , Hengyuan Miao , Shuang Li

We investigate spatio-temporal event analysis using point processes. Inferring the dynamics of event sequences spatiotemporally has many practical applications including crime prediction, social media analysis, and traffic forecasting. In…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-02-17 Fatih Ilhan , Suleyman Serdar Kozat

This paper is motivated by studies in neuroscience experiments to understand interactions between nodes in a brain network using different types of data modalities that capture different distinct facets of brain activity. To assess…