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We introduce a novel encoder-decoder architecture to embed functional processes into latent vector spaces. This embedding can then be decoded to sample the encoded functions over any arbitrary domain. This autoencoder generalizes the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-12-14 Marcel Nassar , Xin Wang , Evren Tumer

Temporal networks are increasingly being used to model the interactions of complex systems. Most studies require the temporal aggregation of edges (or events) into discrete time steps to perform analysis. In this article we describe a…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2017-10-16 Andrew Mellor

Predicting medical events in advance within critical care settings is paramount for patient outcomes and resource management. Utilizing predictive models, healthcare providers can anticipate issues such as cardiac arrest, sepsis, or…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-25 Sachini Weerasekara , Sagar Kamarthi , Jacqueline Isaacs

While correlation measures are used to discern statistical relationships between observed variables in almost all branches of data-driven scientific inquiry, what we are really interested in is the existence of causal dependence. Designing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2014-06-26 Ishanu Chattopadhyay

Temporal knowledge graph reasoning (TKGR) is increasingly gaining attention for its ability to extrapolate new events from historical data, thereby enriching the inherently incomplete temporal knowledge graphs. Existing graph-based…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-27 Jinze Sun , Yongpan Sheng , Lirong He , Yongbin Qin , Ming Liu , Tao Jia

A major challenge for causal inference from time-series data is the trade-off between computational feasibility and accuracy. Motivated by process motifs for lagged covariance in an autoregressive model with slow mean-reversion, we propose…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-09-30 Alice C. Schwarze , Sara M. Ichinaga , Bingni W. Brunton

We propose a graphical model for representing networks of stochastic processes, the minimal generative model graph. It is based on reduced factorizations of the joint distribution over time. We show that under appropriate conditions, it is…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2015-03-13 Christopher J. Quinn , Negar Kiyavash , Todd P. Coleman

The description of the dynamics of complex systems, in particular the capture of the interaction structure and causal relationships between elements of the system, is one of the central questions of interdisciplinary research. While the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-04-30 Jakub Kořenek , Pavel Sanda , Jaroslav Hlinka

Graph processes that unfold in continuous time are of obvious theoretical and practical interest. Particularly useful are those whose long-term behavior converges to a graph distribution of known form. Here, we review some of the conditions…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-02-24 Carter T. Butts

Point process data are becoming ubiquitous in modern applications, such as social networks, health care, and finance. Despite the powerful expressiveness of the popular recurrent neural network (RNN) models for point process data, they may…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-11-22 Zheng Dong , Xiuyuan Cheng , Yao Xie

There has been an increasing interest in modeling continuous-time dynamics of temporal graph data. Previous methods encode time-evolving relational information into a low-dimensional representation by specifying discrete layers of neural…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-01 Jin Guo , Zhen Han , Zhou Su , Jiliang Li , Volker Tresp , Yuyi Wang

Granger causality and variants of this concept allow the study of complex dynamical systems as networks constructed from multivariate time series. In this work, a large number of Granger causality measures used to form causality networks…

Computation · Statistics 2020-01-08 Elsa Siggiridou , Christos Koutlis , Alkiviadis Tsimpiris , Dimitris Kugiumtzis

Discovering temporal lagged and inter-dependencies in multivariate time series data is an important task. However, in many real-world applications, such as commercial cloud management, manufacturing predictive maintenance, and portfolios…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-12-12 Xuan-Hong Dang , Syed Yousaf Shah , Petros Zerfos

Over the past two decades, there has been a tremendous increase in the growth of representation learning methods for graphs, with numerous applications across various fields, including bioinformatics, chemistry, and the social sciences.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-21 Abdulkadir Celikkanat , Nikolaos Nakis , Morten Mørup

Graph deep learning methods have become popular tools to process collections of correlated time series. Unlike traditional multivariate forecasting methods, graph-based predictors leverage pairwise relationships by conditioning forecasts on…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-09 Andrea Cini , Ivan Marisca , Daniele Zambon , Cesare Alippi

Understanding the functioning of a neural system in terms of its underlying circuitry is an important problem in neuroscience. Recent developments in electrophysiology and imaging allow one to simultaneously record activities of hundreds of…

Databases · Computer Science 2008-03-11 Debprakash Patnaik , P. S. Sastry , K. P. Unnikrishnan

Time series forecasting lies at the core of important real-world applications in many fields of science and engineering. The abundance of large time series datasets that consist of complex patterns and long-term dependencies has led to the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-01 Nancy Xu , Chrysoula Kosma , Michalis Vazirgiannis

Quantifying predictive uncertainty of deep semantic segmentation networks is essential in safety-critical tasks. In applications like autonomous driving, where video data is available, convolutional long short-term memory networks are…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-11-14 Laura Fieback , Bidya Dash , Jakob Spiegelberg , Hanno Gottschalk

Hawkes processes are a special class of temporal point processes which exhibit a natural notion of causality, as occurrence of events in the past may increase the probability of events in the future. Discovery of the underlying influence…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-14 Amirkasra Jalaldoust , Katerina Hlavackova-Schindler , Claudia Plant

A Marked Temporal Point Process (MTPP) is a stochastic process whose realization is a set of event-time data. MTPP is often used to understand complex dynamics of asynchronous temporal events such as money transaction, social media,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-11 Yujee Song , Donghyun Lee , Rui Meng , Won Hwa Kim
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