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A general methodology is introduced for the construction and effective application of control variates to estimation problems involving data from reversible MCMC samplers. We propose the use of a specific class of functions as control…

Computation · Statistics 2010-08-10 Petros Dellaportas , Ioannis Kontoyiannis

Estimation of parameter sensitivities for stochastic chemical reaction networks is an important and challenging problem. Sensitivity values are important in the analysis, modeling and design of chemical networks. They help in understanding…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-12-21 Ankit Gupta , Mustafa Khammash

We show that the variance of the Monte Carlo estimator that is importance sampled from an exponential family is a convex function of the natural parameter of the distribution. With this insight, we propose an adaptive importance sampling…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-01-12 Ernest K. Ryu , Stephen P. Boyd

Monte Carlo simulations are widely used in many areas including particle accelerators. In this lecture, after a short introduction and reviewing of some statistical backgrounds, we will discuss methods such as direct inversion, rejection…

Computational Physics · Physics 2020-06-19 Ji Qiang

Bayesian inference for inverse problems involves computing expectations under posterior distributions -- e.g., posterior means, variances, or predictive quantities -- typically via Monte Carlo (MC) estimation. When the quantity of interest…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-02-26 Ali Siahkoohi , Hyunwoo Oh

Hamiltonian Monte Carlo is a widely used algorithm for sampling from posterior distributions of complex Bayesian models. It can efficiently explore high-dimensional parameter spaces guided by simulated Hamiltonian flows. However, the…

Computation · Statistics 2019-04-29 Lingge Li , Andrew Holbrook , Babak Shahbaba , Pierre Baldi

In this article, we present a review of the recent developments on the topic of Multilevel Monte Carlo (MLMC) algorithm, in the paradigm of applications in financial engineering. We specifically focus on the recent studies conducted in two…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-09-30 Devang Sinha , Siddhartha P. Chakrabarty

Many real world stochastic control problems suffer from the "curse of dimensionality". To overcome this difficulty, we develop a deep learning approach that directly solves high-dimensional stochastic control problems based on Monte-Carlo…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-11-23 Jiequn Han , Weinan E

We address the problem of estimating steady-state quantities associated to systems of stochastic chemical kinetics. In most cases of interest these systems are analytically intractable, and one has to resort to computational methods to…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2014-01-21 Andreas Milias-Argeitis , John Lygeros , Mustafa Khammash

We study control variate methods for Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) in the setting of deterministic sweep sampling using $K\geq 2$ transition kernels. New variance reduction results are provided for MCMC averages based on sweeps over…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-12-17 Stephen Berg , Jun Zhu , Murray K. Clayton

We introduce a class of Monte Carlo estimators that aim to overcome the rapid growth of variance with dimension often observed for standard estimators by exploiting the target's independence structure. We identify the most basic…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-11-02 Juan Kuntz , Francesca R. Crucinio , Adam M. Johansen

Various kinetic Monte Carlo algorithms become inefficient when some of the population sizes in a system are large, which gives rise to a large number of reaction events per unit time. Here, we present a new acceleration algorithm based on…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2019-07-24 Yen Ting Lin , Song Feng , William S. Hlavacek

Sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) methods represent a classical set of techniques to simulate a sequence of probability measures through a simple selection/mutation mechanism. However, the associated selection functions and mutation kernels…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-02-16 Qiming Du , Arnaud Guyader

This paper describes a new Monte Carlo method based on a novel stochastic potential switching algorithm. This algorithm enables the equilibrium properties of a system with potential $V$ to be computed using a Monte Carlo simulation for a…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 C. H. Mak

Monte Carlo methods are widely used for neutron transport simulations at least partly because of the accuracy they bring to the modeling of these problems. However, the computational burden associated with the slow convergence rate of Monte…

Computational Physics · Physics 2025-09-30 Jordan Northrop , Ilham Variansyah , Todd Palmer , Camille Palmer

We propose neural control variates (NCV) for unbiased variance reduction in parametric Monte Carlo integration. So far, the core challenge of applying the method of control variates has been finding a good approximation of the integrand…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-09-07 Thomas Müller , Fabrice Rousselle , Jan Novák , Alexander Keller

Monte Carlo (MC) sampling is a popular method for estimating the statistics (e.g. expectation and variance) of a random variable. Its slow convergence has led to the emergence of advanced techniques to reduce the variance of the MC…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-06-21 Mohamed Reda El Amri , Paul Mycek , Sophie Ricci , Matthias De Lozzo

In the presence of multiscale dynamics in a reaction network, direct simulation methods become inefficient as they can only advance the system on the smallest scale. This work presents stochastic averaging techniques to accelerate…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-03-23 Araz Hashemi , Marcel Nunez , Petr Plechac , Dionisios G. Vlachos

We present a sequential Monte Carlo sampler variant of the partial rejection control algorithm, and show that this variant can be considered as a sequential Monte Carlo sampler with a modified mutation kernel. We prove that the new sampler…

Computation · Statistics 2009-11-11 G. W. Peters , Y. Fan , S. A. Sisson

This paper presents a method to leverage arbitrary neural network architecture for control variates. Control variates are crucial in reducing the variance of Monte Carlo integration, but they hinge on finding a function that both correlates…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-25 Zilu Li , Guandao Yang , Qingqing Zhao , Xi Deng , Leonidas Guibas , Bharath Hariharan , Gordon Wetzstein