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Phylogenetics uses alignments of molecular sequence data to learn about evolutionary trees relating species. Along branches, sequence evolution is modelled using a continuous-time Markov process characterised by an instantaneous rate…

Particle filters are a powerful and flexible tool for performing inference on state-space models. They involve a collection of samples evolving over time through a combination of sampling and re-sampling steps. The re-sampling step is…

Computation · Statistics 2017-03-17 Deborshee Sen , Alexandre Thiery , Ajay Jasra

We study an approximation by time-discretized geodesic random walks of a diffusion process associated with a family of time-dependent metrics on manifolds. The condition we assume on the metrics is a natural time-inhomogeneous extension of…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-10-12 Kazumasa Kuwada

Robust estimates for the performance of complicated queueing networks can be obtained by showing that the number of jobs in the network is stochastically comparable to a simpler, analytically tractable reference network. Classical coupling…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-12-09 Lasse Leskelä

We provide a hybrid method that captures the polynomial speed of convergence and polynomial speed of mixing for Markov processes. The hybrid method that we introduce is based on the coupling technique and renewal theory. We propose to…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2017-11-07 Yao Li , Hui Xu

Predicting the time series of future evolutions of renewable injections and demands is of utmost importance for the operation of power systems. However, the current state of the art is mostly focused on mean-value time series predictions…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-05-01 Marco Jeschke , Timm Faulwasser , Roland Fried

During infectious disease outbreaks, estimates of time-varying pathogen transmissibility, such as the instantaneous reproduction number R(t) or epidemic growth rate r(t), are used to inform decision-making by public health authorities. For…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2024-09-30 Cathal Mills , Tarek Alrefae , William S. Hart , Moritz U. G. Kraemer , Kris V. Parag , Robin N. Thompson , Christl A. Donnelly , Ben Lambert

In finite-size scaling analyses of Monte Carlo simulations of second-order phase transitions one often needs an extended temperature/energy range around the critical point. By combining the replica-exchange algorithm with cluster updates…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2011-08-20 Wolfhard Janke , Elmar Bittner

The growing share of intermittent renewable energy sources, storage technologies, and the increasing degree of so-called sector coupling necessitates optimization-based energy system models with high temporal and spatial resolutions, which…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-11-24 Maximilian Hoffmann , Leander Kotzur , Detlef Stolten

Accurate and reliable forecasting of renewable energy generation is crucial for the efficient integration of renewable sources into the power grid. In particular, probabilistic forecasts are becoming essential for managing the intrinsic…

Applications · Statistics 2025-02-12 Alireza Moradi , Mathieu Tanneau , Reza Zandehshahvar , Pascal Van Hentenryck

We claim that looking at probability distributions of \emph{finite time} largest Lyapunov exponents, and more precisely studying their large deviation properties, yields an extremely powerful technique to get quantitative estimates of…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2009-10-20 Roberto Artuso , Cesar Manchein

Suppose an initial state is coupled to a continuum of energy states. The population of the initial state is expected to decrease with time, but is the decrease monotonic? The occupation probability of the initial state is the survival…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2024-02-02 James P. Lavine

The relative ageing is an important notion which is useful to measure how a system ages relative to another one. Among all existing stochastic orders, there are two important orders describing the relative ageing of two systems, namely,…

Applications · Statistics 2019-06-25 Nil Kamal Hazra , Neeraj Misra

This paper considers an opportunistic scheduling problem over a renewal system. A controller observes a random event at the beginning of each renewal frame and then chooses an action in response to the event, which affects the duration of…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-06-10 Xiaohan Wei , Michael J. Neely

In this article we extend the coupling method from classical probability theory to quantum Markov chains on atomic von Neumann algebras. In particular, we establish a coupling inequality, which allow us to estimate convergence rates by…

Operator Algebras · Mathematics 2014-02-12 Burkhard Kümmerer , Kay Schwieger

The dynamics of the entanglement rate are investigated in this paper for pairwise interaction and two special sets of initial states. The results show that for the given interaction and the decoherence scheme, the competitions between…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2009-11-10 X. X. Yi , H. T. Cui , X. G. Wang

Recent advances in steady-state analysis of power systems have introduced the equivalent split-circuit approach and corresponding continuation methods that can reliably find the correct physical solution of large-scale power system…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2018-04-24 Martin R. Wagner , Amritanshu Pandey , Marko Jereminov , Larry Pileggi

A foremost challenge in modern network science is the inverse problem of reconstruction (inference) of coupling equations and network topology from the measurements of the network dynamics. Of particular interest are the methods that can…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2019-10-31 Isao T. Tokuda , Zoran Levnajic , Kazuyoshi Ishimura

Synchronization is a crucial phenomenon in many natural and artificial complex network systems. Applications include neuronal networks, formation control and coordination in robotics, and frequency synchronization in electrical power grids.…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-03-24 Marco Coraggio , Pietro DeLellis , Mario di Bernardo

An extension of coupled maps is given which allows for the growth of the number of elements, and is inspired by the cell differentiation problem. The growth of elements is made possible first by clustering the phases, and then by…

adap-org · Physics 2009-10-28 Kunihiko Kaneko