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We investigate a class of stochastic fragmentation processes involving stable and unstable fragments. We solve analytically for the fragment length density and find that a generic algebraic divergence characterizes its small-size tail.…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 P. L. Krapivsky , E. Ben-Naim , I. Grosse

We study the empirical version of halfspace depths with the objective of establishing a connection between the rates of convergence and the tail behaviour of the corresponding underlying distributions. The intricate interplay between the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-06-03 Sibsankar Singha , Marie Kratz , Sreekar Vadlamani

In plasmas, distribution functions often demonstrate long anisotropic tails or otherwise significant deviations from local Maxwellians. The tails, especially if they are pulled out from the bulk, pose a serious challenge for numerical…

Plasma Physics · Physics 2018-04-17 Eero Hirvijoki

Modern risk modelling approaches deal with vectors of multiple components. The components could be, for example, returns of financial instruments or losses within an insurance portfolio concerning different lines of business. One of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-05-12 Miriam Hägele , Jaakko Lehtomaa

We propose new analytical tools for describing growth-rate distributions generated by stationary time-series. Our analysis shows how deviations from normality are not pathological behaviour, as suggested by some traditional views, but…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2026-04-01 Edgardo Brigatti

We develop a novel characterization of extremal dependence between two cortical regions of the brain when its signals display extremely large amplitudes. We show that connectivity in the tails of the distribution reveals unique features of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-12-09 Mara Sherlin Talento , Jordan Richards , Raphael Huser , Hernando Ombao

This study aims to develop the limit theorems on the sample autocovariances and sample autocorrelations for certain stationary infinitely divisible processes. We consider the case where the infinitely divisible process has heavy tail…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-06-17 Takashi Owada

Inference over tails is usually performed by fitting an appropriate limiting distribution over observations that exceed a fixed threshold. However, the choice of such threshold is critical and can affect the inferential results. Extreme…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-02-26 Chiara Lattanzi , Manuele Leonelli

We consider a system consisting of a sequential composition of Mealy machines, called head and tail. We study two problems related to these systems. In the first problem, models of both head and tail components are available, and the aim is…

Formal Languages and Automata Theory · Computer Science 2021-10-08 Alberto Larrauri , Roderick Bloem

The classical modeling of spatial extremes relies on asymptotic models (i.e., max-stable processes or $r$-Pareto processes) for block maxima or peaks over high thresholds, respectively. However, at finite levels, empirical evidence often…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-09-15 Raphaël Huser , Jennifer L. Wadsworth

We propose a transformation capable of altering the tail properties of a distribution, motivated by extreme value theory, which can be used as a layer in a normalizing flow to approximate multivariate heavy tailed distributions. We apply…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-11-02 Tennessee Hickling , Dennis Prangle

Extreme events are often multivariate in nature. A compound extreme occurs when a combination of variables jointly produces a significant impact, even if individual components are not necessarily marginally extreme. Compound extremes have…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-24 Cathy Yin , Adam M. Sykulski , Almut E. D. Veraart

The linear switching system is a system of ODE with the time-dependent matrix taking values from a given control matrix set. The system is (asymptotically) stable if all its trajectories tend to zero for every control function. We consider…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-09-27 Rinat Kamalov , Vladimir Yu. Protasov

To consider a high-dimensional random process, we propose a notion about stochastic tensor-valued random process (TRP). In this work, we first attempt to apply a generic chaining method to derive tail bounds for all p-th moments of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-02-02 Shih-Yu Chang

We study a class of singularly perturbed impulsive linear switched systems exhibiting switching between slow and fast dynamics. To analyze their behavior, we construct auxiliary switched systems evolving in a single time scale. We prove…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-02-09 Ihab Haidar , Yacine Chitour , Jamal Daafouz , Paolo Mason , Mario Sigalotti

In risk management, tail risks are of crucial importance. The quality of a tail model, which is determined by data from an unknown distribution, depends critically on the subset of data used to model the tail. Based on a suitably weighted…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-01-19 Ingo Hoffmann , Christoph J. Börner

We consider a stationary regularly varying time series which can be expressedas a function of a geometrically ergodic Markov chain. We obtain practical conditionsfor the weak convergence of the tail array sums and feasible estimators…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-09-25 Rafal Kulik , Philippe Soulier , Olivier Wintenberger , Rafa Kulik

The multivariate version of the Mixed Tempered Stable is proposed. It is a generalization of the Normal Variance Mean Mixtures. Characteristics of this new distribution and its capacity in fitting tails and capturing dependence structure…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-10-04 Asmerilda Hitaj , Friedrich Hubalek , Lorenzo Mercuri , Edit Rroji

Diffusion models have emerged as powerful generative frameworks with widespread applications across machine learning and artificial intelligence systems. While current research has predominantly focused on linear diffusions, these…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-10-06 Kulunu Dharmakeerthi , Yousef El-Laham , Henry H. Wong , Vamsi K. Potluru , Changhong He , Taosong He

We study the formation of high energy tails in a one-dimensional kinetic model for granular gases, the so-called Inelastic Maxwell Model. We introduce a time- discretized version of the stochastic process, and show that continuous time…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-06-13 R. Lambiotte , L. Brenig , J. M. Salazar
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