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Conditional independence testing is a fundamental problem underlying causal discovery and a particularly challenging task in the presence of nonlinear and high-dimensional dependencies. Here a fully non-parametric test for continuous data…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-09-06 Jakob Runge

Identifying relationships among stochastic processes is a core objective in many fields, such as economics. While the standard toolkit for multivariate time series analysis has many advantages, it can be difficult to capture nonlinear…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-06 Michael Wieck-Sosa , Michel F. C. Haddad , Aaditya Ramdas

We formulate nonparametric and semiparametric hypothesis testing of multivariate stationary linear time series in a unified fashion and propose new test statistics based on estimators of the spectral density matrix. The limiting…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-09-03 Yoshihiro Yajima , Yasumasa Matsuda

Using cumulative residual processes, we propose joint goodness-of-fit tests for conditional means and variances functions in the context of nonlinear time series with martingale difference innovations. The main challenge comes from the fact…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-07-02 Kilani Ghoudi , Naâmane Laïb , Mohamed Chaouch

Conditional local independence is an asymmetric independence relation among continuous time stochastic processes. It describes whether the evolution of one process is directly influenced by another process given the histories of additional…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-02-26 Alexander Mangulad Christgau , Lasse Petersen , Niels Richard Hansen

An important problem in time series analysis is the discrimination between non-stationarity and longrange dependence. Most of the literature considers the problem of testing specific parametric hypotheses of non-stationarity (such as a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-07-19 Philip Preuß , Kemal Sen , Holger Dette

In this paper, we propose a new test for checking the parametric form of the conditional variance based on distance covariance in nonlinear and nonparametric regression models. Inherit from the nice properties of distance covariance, our…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-05-19 Yue Hu , Haiqi Li , Falong Tan

Conditional independence testing (CIT) is a common task in machine learning, e.g., for variable selection, and a main component of constraint-based causal discovery. While most current CIT approaches assume that all variables are numerical…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-07 Oana-Iuliana Popescu , Andreas Gerhardus , Jakob Runge

Conditional independence is a fundamental concept in many areas of statistical research, including, for example, sufficient dimension reduction, causal inference, and statistical graphical models. In many modern applications, data arise in…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-17 Yin Tang , Bing Li

We apply the concept of distance covariance for testing independence of two long-range dependent time series. As test statistic we propose a linear combination of empirical distance cross-covariances. We derive the asymptotic distribution…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-01-28 Annika Betken , Herold Dehling

This paper is concerned with test of the conditional independence. We first establish an equivalence between the conditional independence and the mutual independence. Based on the equivalence, we propose an index to measure the conditional…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-05-18 Zhanrui Cai , Runze Li , Yaowu Zhang

We propose a new conditional dependence measure and a statistical test for conditional independence. The measure is based on the difference between analytic kernel embeddings of two well-suited distributions evaluated at a finite set of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-06-17 Meyer Scetbon , Laurent Meunier , Yaniv Romano

We propose a new nonparametric test for the supposition of independence between two continuous random variables. The test is based on the size of the longest increasing subsequence of a random permutation. We identified the independence…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-03-13 Jesus E. Garcia , Veronica A. Gonzalez-Lopez

We consider the problem of non-parametric Conditional Independence testing (CI testing) for continuous random variables. Given i.i.d samples from the joint distribution $f(x,y,z)$ of continuous random vectors $X,Y$ and $Z,$ we determine…

We consider a nonparametric heteroscedastic time series regression model and suggest testing procedures to detect changes in the conditional variance function. The tests are based on a sequential marked empirical process and thus combine…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-06-10 Maria Mohr , Natalie Neumeyer

We propose a nonparametric procedure to test for changes in correlation matrices at an unknown point in time. The new test requires only mild assumptions on the serial dependence structure and has considerable power in finite samples. We…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-10-29 Dominik Wied

In this paper we propose using a nonparametric model specification test for parametric time series with long-range dependence (LRD). To establish asymptotic distributions of the proposed test statistic, we develop new central limit theorems…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-12-11 Jiti Gao , Qiying Wang , Jiying Yin

Competing risks data with discrete lifetime comes up in practice. However, only limited literature exists for such data. In this paper, we propose a non-parametric test based on U-statistics for testing independence of time to failure and…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-05-27 Sreedevi E. P. , Sudheesh K. K. , Isha Dewan

Conditional independence (CI) testing is a fundamental task in modern statistics and machine learning. The conditional randomization test (CRT) was recently introduced to test whether two random variables, $X$ and $Y$, are conditionally…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-12-19 Yanfeng Yang , Shuai Li , Yingjie Zhang , Zhuoran Sun , Hai Shu , Ziqi Chen , Renming Zhang

We propose a novel method for testing serial independence of object-valued time series in metric spaces, which is more general than Euclidean or Hilbert spaces. The proposed method is fully nonparametric, free of tuning parameters, and can…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-07-31 Feiyu Jiang , Hanjia Gao , Xiaofeng Shao
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