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This research presents an advanced fractional-order compartmental model designed to delve into the complexities of COVID-19 transmission dynamics, specifically accounting for the influence of environmental pathogens on disease spread. By…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2024-07-09 Moein Khalighi , Faïçal Ndaïrou , Leo Lahti

Amid the ongoing COVID-19 pandemic, whether COVID-19 patients with high risks can be recovered or not depends, to a large extent, on how early they will be treated appropriately before irreversible consequences are caused to the patients by…

Applications · Statistics 2020-07-01 Feng Zhou , Tao Chen , Baiying Lei

Detecting changes in COVID-19 disease transmission over time is a key indicator of epidemic growth.Near real-time monitoring of the pandemic growth is crucial for policy makers and public health officials who need to make informed decisions…

Applications · Statistics 2021-11-30 Luca Scrucca

Quantile regression (QR) is a statistical tool for distribution-free estimation of conditional quantiles of a target variable given explanatory features. QR is limited by the assumption that the target distribution is univariate and defined…

The severe acute respiratory syndrome COVID-19 has been in the center of the ongoing global health crisis in 2020. The high prevalence of mild cases facilitates sub-notification outside hospital environments and the number of those who are…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-05-26 Gilberto Nakamura , Basil Grammaticos , Christophe Deroulers , Mathilde Badoual

Studies have shown that some people with underlying conditions such as cancer, heart failure, diabetes and hypertension are more likely to get COVID-19 and have worse outcomes. In this paper, a fractional-order derivative is proposed to…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-03-29 Samuel Okyere , Joseph Ackora-Prah , Ebenezer Bonyah , Mary Osei Fokuo

A semiparametric copula-based two-part quantile regression framework is developed for the analysis of semicontinuous outcomes characterized by a point mass at zero and a continuous positive component. The proposed approach models the…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-17 Guanjie Lyu , Mohamed Belalia , Abdulkadir Hussein

The goal of this article is to analyze some compartmental models specially designed to model the spread of a disease whose transmission has the same features as COVID-19. The major contributions of this article are: (1) Rigorously find…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-05-01 Gonçalo Oliveira

The evolution of the COVID-19 epidemic has been accompanied by accumulating evidence on the underlying epidemiological parameters. Hence there is potential for models providing mid-term forecasts of the epidemic trajectory using such…

Applications · Statistics 2020-11-10 Peter Congdon

In this paper we consider a semiparametric regression model involving a $d$-dimensional quantitative explanatory variable $X$ and including a dimension reduction of $X$ via an index $\beta'X$. In this model, the main goal is to estimate the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-01-13 Azaïs Romain , Gégout-Petit Anne , Saracco Jérôme

The paper deals with generalized functional regression. The aim is to estimate the influence of covariates on observations, drawn from an exponential distribution. The link considered has a semiparametric expression: if we are interested in…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-09-20 Irène Gannaz

Background: Recent work showed that the temporal growth of the novel coronavirus disease (COVID-19) follows a sub-exponential power-law scaling whenever effective control interventions are in place. Taking this into consideration, we…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-11-24 S. Triambak , D. P. Mahapatra , N. Mallick , R. Sahoo

We demonstrate an approach to replicate and forecast the spread of the SARS-CoV-2 (COVID-19) pandemic using the toolkit of probabilistic programming languages (PPLs). Our goal is to study the impact of various modeling assumptions and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-03-08 Swapneel Mehta , Noah Kasmanoff

In this article, we develop a semiparametric Bayesian estimation and model selection approach for partially linear additive models in conditional quantile regression. The asymmetric Laplace distribution provides a mechanism for Bayesian…

Computation · Statistics 2013-07-11 Yuao Hu , Kaifeng Zhao , Heng Lian

We propose a new semi-parametric distributional regression smoother that is based on a copula decomposition of the joint distribution of the vector of response values. The copula is high-dimensional and constructed by inversion of a pseudo…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-06-30 Michael Stanley Smith , Nadja Klein

The paper introduces a new regression model designed for situations where both the response and covariates are non-stationary extremes. This method is specifically designed for situations where both the response variable and covariates are…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-06-26 Amina El Bernoussi , Mohamed El Arrouchi

We introduce a Bayesian sequential data assimilation method for COVID-19 forecasting. It is assumed that suitable transmission, epidemic and observation models are available and previously validated and the transmission and epidemic models…

In the recent COVID-19 pandemic, a wide range of epidemiological modelling approaches have been used to predict the effective reproduction number, R(t), and other COVID-19 related measures such as the daily rate of exponential growth, r(t).…

Applications · Statistics 2021-08-13 T. Maishman , S. Schaap , D. S. Silk , S. J. Nevitt , D. C. Woods , V. E. Bowman

We study linear quantile regression models when regressors and/or dependent variable are not directly observed but estimated in an initial first step and used in the second step quantile regression for estimating the quantile parameters.…

Econometrics · Economics 2020-12-29 Jayeeta Bhattacharya

This paper introduces a cure rate survival model by assuming that the time to the event of interest follows a beta prime distribution and that the number of competing causes of the event of interest follows a negative binomial distribution.…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-12-20 Jeremias Leão , Marcelo Bourguignon , Manoel Santos-Neto , Helton Saulo
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