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Motivated by diagnosing the COVID-19 disease using 2D image biomarkers from computed tomography (CT) scans, we propose a novel latent matrix-factor regression model to predict responses that may come from an exponential distribution family,…

Applications · Statistics 2022-10-04 Yuzhe Zhang , Xu Zhang , Hong Zhang , Aiyi Liu , Catherine Liu

The parameter estimation of epidemic data-driven models is a crucial task. In some cases, we can formulate a better model by describing uncertainty with appropriate noise terms. However, because of the limited extent and partial…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-11-30 Fernando Baltazar-Larios , Francisco Delgado-Vences , Saul Diaz-Infante

Estimating conditional quantiles of financial time series is essential for risk management and many other applications in finance. It is well-known that financial time series display conditional heteroscedasticity. Among the large number of…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-10-25 Yao Zheng , Qianqian Zhu , Guodong Li , Zhijie Xiao

We propose a new lack-of-fit test for quantile regression models that is suitable even with high-dimensional covariates. The test is based on the cumulative sum of residuals with respect to unidimensional linear projections of the…

Building on key papers that were published in special issues of Biometrics in 1957 and 1982 we propose and develop a three-aspect system for evaluating the effect of fitting covariates in the analysis of designed experiments, in particular…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-08 Stephen Senn , Franz König , Martin Posch

Quantile Factor Models (QFM) represent a new class of factor models for high-dimensional panel data. Unlike Approximate Factor Models (AFM), where only location-shifting factors can be extracted, QFM also allow to recover unobserved factors…

Econometrics · Economics 2020-09-24 Liang Chen , Juan Jose Dolado , Jesus Gonzalo

Semi-parametric quantile regression (SPQR) is a flexible approach to density regression that learns a spline-based representation of conditional density functions using neural networks. As it makes no parametric assumptions about the…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-26 Reetam Majumder , Jordan Richards

We introduce a class of semiparametric time series models by assuming a quasi-likelihood approach driven by a latent factor process. More specifically, given the latent process, we only specify the conditional mean and variance of the time…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-04-02 Gisele O. Maia , Wagner Barreto-Souza , Fernando S. Bastos , Hernando Ombao

The current outbreak of COVID-19 has called renewed attention to the need for sound statistical analysis for monitoring mortality patterns and trends over time. Excess mortality has been suggested as the most appropriate indicator to…

Applications · Statistics 2020-10-13 Patrizio Vanella , Ugofilippo Basellini , Berit Lange

Regression models describing the joint distribution of multivariate response variables conditional on covariate information have become an important aspect of contemporary regression analysis. However, a limitation of such models is that…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-06-27 Nadja Klein , Torsten Hothorn , Luisa Barbanti , Thomas Kneib

The effect of public health interventions on an epidemic are often estimated by adding the intervention to epidemic models. During the Covid-19 epidemic, numerous papers used such methods for making scenario predictions. The majority of…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-10-16 Heejong Bong , Valérie Ventura , Larry Wasserman

We introduce a deterministic model that partitions the total population into the susceptible, infected, quarantined, and those traced after exposure, the recovered and the deceased. We hypothesize 'accessible population for transmission of…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-06-09 G. Ananthakrishna , Jagadish Kumar

We propose a qualitative analysis of a recent fractional-order COVID-19 model. We start by showing that the model is mathematically and biologically well posed. Then, we give a proof on the global stability of the disease free equilibrium…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2021-06-30 Faical Ndairou , Delfim F. M. Torres

The COVID-19 pandemic has been characterised by multiple waves of transmission driven by interventions and emerging variants, challenging epidemic models that assume gradually evolving transmission dynamics. We propose a class of…

Applications · Statistics 2026-05-05 Patrick Aschermayr , Konstantinos Kalogeropoulos , Nikolaos Demiris

Early evaluation of patients who require special care and who have high death-expectancy in COVID-19, and the effective determination of relevant biomarkers on large sample-groups are important to reduce mortality. This study aimed to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-11-30 Mehmet Tahir Huyut , Andrei Velichko , Maksim Belyaev

Spatiotemporal modelling of infectious diseases such as COVID-19 involves using a variety of epidemiological metrics such as regional proportion of cases or regional positivity rates. Although observing their changes over time is critical…

The paper studies different regression approaches for modeling COVID-19 spread and its impact on the stock market. The logistic curve model was used with Bayesian regression for predictive analytics of the coronavirus spread. The impact of…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-04-06 Bohdan M. Pavlyshenko

We present a simple analytical model to describe the fast increase of deaths produced by the corona virus (COVID-19) infections. The 'D' (deaths) model comes from a simplified version of the SIR (susceptible-infected-recovered) model known…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-04-01 J. E. Amaro

We demonstrate the ability of statistical data assimilation to identify the measurements required for accurate state and parameter estimation in an epidemiological model for the novel coronavirus disease COVID-19. Our context is an effort…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-08-04 Eve Armstrong , Manuela Runge , Jaline Gerardin

An important task in survival analysis is choosing a structure for the relationship between covariates of interest and the time-to-event outcome. For example, the accelerated failure time (AFT) model structures each covariate effect as a…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-08 Harrison T. Reeder , Kyu Ha Lee , Sebastien Haneuse
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