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Credit scoring is an essential tool used by global financial institutions and credit lenders for financial decision making. In this paper, we introduce a new method based on Gaussian Mixture Model (GMM) to forecast the probability of…

General Economics · Economics 2020-11-17 Hamidreza Arian , Seyed Mohammad Sina Seyfi , Azin Sharifi

Academic research and the financial industry have recently paid great attention to Machine Learning algorithms due to their power to solve complex learning tasks. In the field of firms' default prediction, however, the lack of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-09-02 Lisa Crosato , Caterina Liberati , Marco Repetto

Effective control of credit risk is a key link in the steady operation of commercial banks. This paper is mainly based on the customer information dataset of a foreign commercial bank in Kaggle, and we use LightGBM algorithm to build a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-08-21 Yanjie Sun , Zhike Gong , Quan Shi , Lin Chen

The forecasting of the credit default risk has been an important research field for several decades. Traditionally, logistic regression has been widely recognized as a solution due to its accuracy and interpretability. As a recent trend,…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-09-22 Dangxing Chen , Weicheng Ye , Jiahui Ye

Banks utilize credit scoring as an important indicator of financial strength and eligibility for credit. Scoring models aim to assign statistical odds or probabilities for predicting if there is a risk of nonpayment in relation to many…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2023-03-10 Oguz Koc , Omur Ugur , A. Sevtap Kestel

Mortgage default prediction is a core task in financial risk management, and machine learning models are increasingly used to estimate default probabilities and provide interpretable signals for downstream decisions. In real-world mortgage…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-03 Xianghong Hu , Tianning Xu , Ying Chen , Shuai Wang

Prediction of post-loan default is an important task in credit risk management, and can be addressed by detection of financial anomalies using machine learning. This study introduces a ResE-BiLSTM model, using a sliding window technique,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-04 Yue Yang , Yuxiang Lin , Ying Zhang , Zihan Su , Chang Chuan Goh , Tangtangfang Fang , Anthony Graham Bellotti , Boon Giin Lee

With growing credit card transaction volumes, the fraud percentages are also rising, including overhead costs for institutions to combat and compensate victims. The use of machine learning into the financial sector permits more effective…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-08-26 Gayan K. Kulatilleke , Sugandika Samarakoon

The forecasting of credit default risk has been an active research field for several decades. Historically, logistic regression has been used as a major tool due to its compliance with regulatory requirements: transparency, explainability,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-09-22 Dangxing Chen , Weicheng Ye

Bank credit risk is a significant challenge in modern financial transactions, and the ability to identify qualified credit card holders among a large number of applicants is crucial for the profitability of a bank'sbank's credit card…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-14 Chang Yu , Yixin Jin , Qianwen Xing , Ye Zhang , Shaobo Guo , Shuchen Meng

We develop a model to predict consumer default based on deep learning. We show that the model consistently outperforms standard credit scoring models, even though it uses the same data. Our model is interpretable and is able to provide a…

General Economics · Economics 2019-10-07 Stefania Albanesi , Domonkos F. Vamossy

This research introduces an innovative method for identifying credit card fraud by combining the SMOTE-KMEANS technique with an ensemble machine learning model. The proposed model was benchmarked against traditional models such as logistic…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-28 Yuhan Wang

In the financial risk domain, particularly in credit default prediction and fraud detection, accurate identification of high-risk class instances is paramount, as their occurrence can have significant economic implications. Although machine…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-17 Xu Sun , Zixuan Qin , Shun Zhang , Yuexian Wang , Li Huang

Artificial intelligence (AI) and machine learning (ML) have become vital to remain competitive for financial services companies around the globe. The two models currently competing for the pole position in credit risk management are deep…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-24 Marc Schmitt

In the financial industry, credit scoring is a fundamental element, shaping access to credit and determining the terms of loans for individuals and businesses alike. Traditional credit scoring methods, however, often grapple with challenges…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-20 Duanyu Feng , Yongfu Dai , Jimin Huang , Yifang Zhang , Qianqian Xie , Weiguang Han , Zhengyu Chen , Alejandro Lopez-Lira , Hao Wang

Credit card fraud detection is a critical challenge in the financial sector, demanding sophisticated approaches to accurately identify fraudulent transactions. This research proposes an innovative methodology combining Neural Networks (NN)…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2024-05-02 Mengran Zhu , Ye Zhang , Yulu Gong , Changxin Xu , Yafei Xiang

Machine learning classifiers often stumble over imbalanced datasets where classes are not equally represented. This inherent bias towards the majority class may result in low accuracy in labeling minority class. Imbalanced learning is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-11-14 Wenhao Zhang , Ramin Ramezani , Arash Naeim

Credit card has become popular mode of payment for both online and offline purchase, which leads to increasing daily fraud transactions. An Efficient fraud detection methodology is therefore essential to maintain the reliability of the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-04-25 Xuetong Niu , Li Wang , Xulei Yang

Credit card fraud remains a significant challenge due to class imbalance and fraudsters mimicking legitimate behavior. This study evaluates five machine learning models - Logistic Regression, Random Forest, XGBoost, K-Nearest Neighbors…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-19 Iva Popova , Hamza A. A. Gardi

Peer-to-peer (P2P) lending platforms have grown rapidly over the past decade as the network infrastructure has improved and the demand for personal lending has grown. Such platforms allow users to create peer-to-peer lending relationships…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-12-28 Hongyi Qian , Shen Zhang , Baohui Wang , Lei Peng , Songfeng Gao , You Song