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Related papers: Energy-based survival modelling using harmoniums

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Probabilistic models can be defined by an energy function, where the probability of each state is proportional to the exponential of the state's negative energy. This paper considers a generalization of energy-based models in which the…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2016-05-25 Jan Humplik , Gašper Tkačik

This paper is a continuation of a previous work about the study of the survival probability modelizing the molecular predissociation in the Born-Oppenheimer framework. Here we consider the critical case where the reference energy…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2018-12-21 Philippe Briet , André Martinez

Learning latent representations from complex data is central to modern machine learning, spanning temporal, multimodal, and partially observed systems. In such settings, representations are better understood as latent states capturing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-18 Gwenolé Quellec

We introduce a method for elucidating and modifying the functionality of systems dominated by rare events that relies on the automated tuning of their underlying free energy surface. The proposed approach seeks to construct collective…

Computational Physics · Physics 2021-08-31 Dan Mendels , Juan J. de Pablo

The usual parametric models for survival data are of the following form. Some parametrically specified hazard rate $\alpha(s,\theta)$ is assumed for possibly censored random life times $X_1^0,\ldots,X_n^0$; one observes only…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-25 Nils Lid Hjort

Tree methods (recursive partitioning) are a popular class of nonparametric methods for analyzing data. One extension of the basic tree methodology is the survival tree, which applies recursive partitioning to censored survival data. There…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-03-01 Wei Fu , Jeffrey S. Simonoff

In this paper the regression discontinuity design is adapted to the survival analysis setting with right-censored data, studied in an intensity based counting process framework. In particular, a local polynomial regression version of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-10-07 Emil Aas Stoltenberg

Model-based reinforcement learning could enable sample-efficient learning by quickly acquiring rich knowledge about the world and using it to improve behaviour without additional data. Learned dynamics models can be directly used for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-10-15 Rinu Boney , Juho Kannala , Alexander Ilin

In recent years, there has been growing interest in causal machine learning estimators for quantifying subject-specific effects of a binary treatment on time-to-event outcomes. Estimation approaches have been proposed which attenuate the…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-30 Matthew Pryce , Karla Diaz-Ordaz , Ruth H. Keogh , Stijn Vansteelandt

Optimization problems with an auxiliary latent variable structure in addition to the main model parameters occur frequently in computer vision and machine learning. The additional latent variables make the underlying optimization task…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-03-13 Christopher Zach , Huu Le

This paper provides a comprehensive analysis of variational inference in latent variable models for survival analysis, emphasizing the distinctive challenges associated with applying variational methods to survival data. We identify a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-05 Chuanhui Liu , Xiao Wang

Probabilistic models help us encode latent structures that both model the data and are ideally also useful for specific downstream tasks. Among these, mixture models and their time-series counterparts, hidden Markov models, identify…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-29 Abhishek Sharma , Catherine Zeng , Sanjana Narayanan , Sonali Parbhoo , Finale Doshi-Velez

In this work, we introduce the Time-Aware World Model (TAWM), a model-based approach that explicitly incorporates temporal dynamics. By conditioning on the time-step size, {\Delta}t, and training over a diverse range of {\Delta}t values --…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-11 Anh N. Nhu , Sanghyun Son , Ming Lin

Survival analysis plays a crucial role in many healthcare decisions, where the risk prediction for the events of interest can support an informative outlook for a patient's medical journey. Given the existence of data censoring, an…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-09-29 Mohsen Nayebi Kerdabadi , Arya Hadizadeh Moghaddam , Bin Liu , Mei Liu , Zijun Yao

Time-to-event models are a popular tool to analyse data where the outcome variable is the time to the occurrence of a specific event of interest. Here we focus on the analysis of time-to-event outcomes that are either intrisically discrete…

Applications · Statistics 2017-04-14 Moritz Berger , Matthias Schmid

Accurate time-to-event prediction is integral to decision-making, informing medical guidelines, hiring decisions, and resource allocation. Survival analysis, the quantitative framework used to model time-to-event data, accounts for patients…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-08 Vincent Jeanselme , Brian Tom , Jessica Barrett

This paper proposes to build a bridge between microscopic descriptions of matter with internal energy, composed of many fast interacting particles inside an environment, and their port-Hamiltonian (PH) descriptions at macroscopic scale. The…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2023-01-16 Judy Najnudel , Thomas Hélie , David Roze , Rémy Muller

Application of discrete-time survival methods for continuous-time survival prediction is considered. For this purpose, a scheme for discretization of continuous-time data is proposed by considering the quantiles of the estimated event-time…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-10-16 Håvard Kvamme , Ørnulf Borgan

We introduce an energy-based model, which seems especially suited for constrained systems. The proposed model provides an alternative to the popular port-Hamiltonian framework and exhibits similar properties such as energy dissipation as…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-12-10 R. Altmann , P. Schulze

Molecular dynamics is a powerful tool for studying the thermodynamics and kinetics of complex molecular events. However, these simulations can rarely sample the required time scales in practice. Transition path sampling overcomes this…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2023-07-31 Gianmarco Lazzeri , Hendrik Jung , Peter G. Bolhuis , Roberto Covino