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Maximizing product use is a central goal of many businesses, which makes retention and monetization two central analytics metrics in games. Player retention may refer to various duration variables quantifying product use: total playtime or…

Applications · Statistics 2017-01-11 Markus Viljanen , Antti Airola , Jukka Heikkonen , Tapio Pahikkala

In a clinical trial of a treatment for alcoholism, a common response variable of interest is the number of alcoholic drinks consumed by each subject each day, or an ordinal version of this response, with levels corresponding to abstinence,…

Applications · Statistics 2010-10-08 Kenneth E. Shirley , Dylan S. Small , Kevin G. Lynch , Stephen A. Maisto , David W. Oslin

We describe a unified framework within which we can build survival models. The motivation for this work comes from a study on the prediction of relapse among breast cancer patients treated at the Curie Institute in Paris, France. Our focus…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-05-28 Cécile Chauvel , John O'Quigley

We describe a method to extract from experimental data the important dynamical modes in spatio-temporal patterns in a system driven out of thermodynamic equilibrium. Using a novel optical technique for controlling fluid flow, we create an…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2011-05-03 Adam C. Perkins , Roman O. Grigoriev , Michael F. Schatz

Classification of sequence data is the topic of interest for dynamic Bayesian models and Recurrent Neural Networks (RNNs). While the former can explicitly model the temporal dependencies between class variables, the latter have a capability…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-03-12 Son N. Tran , Srikanth Cherla , Artur Garcez , Tillman Weyde

Survival analysis is a crucial semi-supervised task in machine learning with numerous real-world applications, particularly in healthcare. Currently, the most common approach to survival analysis is based on Cox's partial likelihood, which…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-04-27 Andre Vauvelle , Benjamin Wild , Aylin Cakiroglu , Roland Eils , Spiros Denaxas

We conducted a systematic comparison of statistical methods used for the analysis of time-to-event outcomes under various proportional and nonproportional hazard (NPH) scenarios. Our study used data from recently published oncology trials…

Applications · Statistics 2025-02-12 Xinyu Zhang , Erich J. Greene , Ondrej Blaha , Wei Wei

Machine learning applications for longitudinal electronic health records often forecast the risk of events at fixed time points, whereas survival analysis achieves dynamic risk prediction by estimating time-to-event distributions. Here, we…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-26 Munib Mesinovic , Peter Watkinson , Tingting Zhu

The forecasting and computation of the stability of chaotic systems from partial observations are tasks for which traditional equation-based methods may not be suitable. In this computational paper, we propose data-driven methods to (i)…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2023-09-26 Elise Özalp , Georgios Margazoglou , Luca Magri

Extreme events occur across the natural, engineering, and socioeconomic sciences, where rare but high-impact episodes can lead to disproportionate consequences that pose major challenges for prediction and risk management. Existing studies…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2026-05-22 Charlotte Moser , Nan Chen , Marios Andreou

We propose a novel targeted exploration strategy designed specifically for uncertain linear time-invariant systems with energy-bounded disturbances, i.e., without any assumptions on the distribution of the disturbances. We use classical…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-03-12 Janani Venkatasubramanian , Johannes Köhler , Mark Cannon , Frank Allgöwer

When planning a clinical trial for a time-to-event endpoint, we require an estimated effect size and need to consider the type of effect. Usually, an effect of proportional hazards is assumed with the hazard ratio as the corresponding…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-02 Moritz Fabian Danzer , Ina Dormuth

Bayes linear kinematics and Bayes linear Bayes graphical models provide an extension of Bayes linear methods so that full conditional updates may be combined with Bayes linear belief adjustment. In this paper we investigate the application…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-11-16 Kevin J. Wilson , Malcolm Farrow

Survival analysis aims to model how covariates and time jointly shape the time-to-event distribution under right censoring. Classical methods such as the Cox model and generalised additive models (GAMs) require interactions and time-varying…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-26 Stelios Boulitsakis Logothetis , Angela Wood , Pietro Liò

In this paper we are concerned with the learnability of energies from data obtained by observing time evolutions of their critical points starting at random initial equilibria. As a byproduct of our theoretical framework we introduce the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-11-04 Stefano Almi , Massimo Fornasier , Richard Huber

Adaptive chaos control has been studied extensively for autonomous systems. For real world, non-autonomous systems, such as the planetary weather, observations of the system state in response to seasonally and diurnally varying forcing are…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2025-12-15 Moyan Liu , Qin Huang , Upmanu Lall

Medical investigations focusing on patient survival often generate not only a failure time for each patient but also a sequence of measurements on patient health at annual or semi-annual check-ups while the patient remains alive. Such a…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-01-18 Peter McCullagh , Walter Dempsey

Organisms adapt to volatile environments by integrating sensory information with internal memory, yet their information processing is constrained by resource limitations. Such limitations can fundamentally alter optimal estimation…

Biological Physics · Physics 2025-11-14 Takehiro Tottori , Tetsuya J. Kobayashi

Predictive models are highly advanced in understanding the mechanisms of brain function. Recent advances in machine learning further underscore the power of prediction for optimal representation in learning. However, there remains a gap in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-22 Xingsi Dong , Xiangyuan Peng , Si Wu

We review Boltzmann machines and energy-based models. A Boltzmann machine defines a probability distribution over binary-valued patterns. One can learn parameters of a Boltzmann machine via gradient based approaches in a way that log…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2019-01-21 Takayuki Osogami
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