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One of the most pressing challenges facing the fusion community is adequately mitigating or, even better, avoiding disruptions of tokamak plasmas. However, before this can be done, disruptions must first be predicted with sufficient warning…

Plasma Physics · Physics 2019-09-04 R. A. Tinguely , K. J. Montes , C. Rea , R. Sweeney , R. S. Granetz

Mathematical modelling of unemployment dynamics attempts to predict the probability of a job seeker finding a job as a function of time. This is typically achieved by using information in unemployment records. These records are right…

Applications · Statistics 2021-07-27 Pavle Boškoski , Matija Perne , Martina Rameša , Biljana Mileva Boshkoska

While tabular foundation models have achieved remarkable success in classification and regression, adapting them to model time-to-event outcomes for survival analysis is non-trivial due to right-censoring, where data observations may end…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-02 Da In Kim , Wei Siang Lai , Kelly W. Zhang

Many computer vision applications involve modeling complex spatio-temporal patterns in high-dimensional motion data. Recently, restricted Boltzmann machines (RBMs) have been widely used to capture and represent spatial patterns in a single…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2017-10-24 Siqi Nie , Ziheng Wang , Qiang Ji

We devise a generalisation of the energy momentum-method for studying the stability of non-autonomous Hamiltonian systems with a Lie group of Hamiltonian symmetries. A generalisation of the relative equilibrium point notion to a…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2021-10-04 J. de Lucas , B. M. Zawora

Understanding the dynamics of a system is important in many scientific and engineering domains. This problem can be approached by learning state transition rules from observations using machine learning techniques. Such observed time-series…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-12-08 Koji Watanabe , Katsumi Inoue

We revisit a model for time-varying linear regression that assumes the unknown parameters evolve according to a linear dynamical system. Counterintuitively, we show that when the underlying dynamics are stable the parameters of this model…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-01-03 Ali Jadbabaie , Horia Mania , Devavrat Shah , Suvrit Sra

Survival analysis provides a powerful statistical framework for modeling time-to-event outcomes in the presence of censoring. However, selecting an appropriate estimator from the many specialized survival approaches often requires…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-18 Shi-ang Qi , Vahid Balazadeh , Michael Cooper , Russell Greiner , Rahul G. Krishnan

The use of instrumental variables for estimating the effect of an exposure on an outcome is popular in econometrics, and increasingly so in epidemiology. This increasing popularity may be attributed to the natural occurrence of instrumental…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-08-03 T. Martinussen , S. Vansteelandt , E. J. Tchetgen Tchetgen , D. M. Zucker

There is increasing interest in flexible parametric models for the analysis of time-to-event data, yet Bayesian approaches that offer incorporation of prior knowledge remain underused. A flexible Bayesian parametric model has recently been…

Organizations interact with the environment and with other organizations, and these interactions constitute an important way of learning and evolution. To overcome the problems that they face during their existence, organizations must…

Applications · Statistics 2020-05-05 Paula Lopes , Pedro Campos , Luis Meira-Machado

We present a conformal inference method for constructing lower prediction bounds for survival times from right-censored data, extending recent approaches designed for more restrictive type-I censoring scenarios. The proposed method imputes…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-26 Matteo Sesia , Vladimir Svetnik

A class of multivariate mixed survival models for continuous and discrete time with a complex covariance structure is introduced in a context of quantitative genetic applications. The methods introduced can be used in many applications in…

Applications · Statistics 2014-05-06 Rafael Pimentel Maia , Per Madsen , Rodrigo Labouriau

Continuous-time multi-state survival models can be used to describe health-related processes over time. In the presence of interval-censored times for transitions between the living states, the likelihood is constructed using transition…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-03-24 Robson J. M. Machado , Ardo van den Hout

Most existing time-to-event methods focus on either single-event or competing-risks settings, leaving multi-event scenarios relatively underexplored. In many healthcare applications, for example, a patient may experience multiple clinical…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-20 Christian Marius Lillelund , Ali Hossein Gharari Foomani , Weijie Sun , Shi-ang Qi , Russell Greiner

The integration of longitudinal measurements and survival time in statistical modeling offers a powerful framework for capturing the interplay between these two essential outcomes, particularly when they exhibit associations. However, in…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-11 Taban Baghfalaki , Mojtaba Ganjali , Rui Martins

Survival data with time-varying covariates are common in practice. If relevant, they can improve on the estimation of survival function. However, the traditional survival forests - conditional inference forest, relative risk forest and…

Applications · Statistics 2022-06-06 Weichi Yao , Halina Frydman , Denis Larocque , Jeffrey S. Simonoff

Survival models are used to analyze time-to-event data in a variety of disciplines. Proportional hazard models provide interpretable parameter estimates, but proportional hazards assumptions are not always appropriate. Non-parametric models…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-07-08 Richard D. Payne , Nilabja Guha , Bani K. Mallick

We propose a novel approach in the study of transport phenomena in dense systems or systems with long range interactions where multiple particle interactions must be taken into consideration. Within Boltzmann's kinetic formalism, we study…

Classical Physics · Physics 2015-06-26 Travis J. Sherman , Johann Rafelski

Complex data features, such as unmodelled censored event times and variables with time-dependent effects, are common in cancer recurrence studies and pose challenges for Bayesian survival modelling. Current methodologies for predictive…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-12 Saku Suorsa , Aki Vehtari