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We study voter models defined on large sets. Through a perspective emphasizing the martingale property of voter density processes, we prove that in general, their convergence to the Wright-Fisher diffusion only involves certain averages of…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-11-25 Yu-Ting Chen , Jihyeok Choi , J. Theodore Cox

To infer a function value on a specific point $x$, it is essential to assign higher weights to the points closer to $x$, which is called local polynomial / multivariable regression. In many practical cases, a limited sample size may ruin…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-09-30 Yanwu Gu , Dong Xia

This work is devoted to P\'olya-Young urns, a class of periodic P\'olya urns of importance in the analysis of Young tableaux. We provide several extension of the previous results of Banderier, Marchal and Wallner [Ann. Prob. (2020)] on…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-06-28 Markus Kuba

The analysis of rank ordered data has a long history in the statistical literature across a diverse range of applications. In this paper we consider the Extended Plackett-Luce model that induces a flexible (discrete) distribution over…

Applications · Statistics 2020-02-17 Stephen R. Johnson , Daniel A. Henderson , Richard J. Boys

The eigenfunction expansion by Gegenbauer polynomials for the diffusion on a hypersphere is transformed into the diffusion for the Wright-Fisher model with a particular mutation rate. We use the Ito calculus considering stochastic…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-12-29 Kishiko Maruyama , Yoshiaki Itoh

Diffusion models have demonstrated remarkable empirical success in the recent years and are considered one of the state-of-the-art generative models in modern AI. These models consist of a forward process, which gradually diffuses the data…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-07 Xingyu Xu , Ziyi Zhang , Yorie Nakahira , Guannan Qu , Yuejie Chi

An evolving Riemannian manifold $(M,g_t)_{t\in I}$ consists of a smooth $d$-dimensional manifold $M$, equipped with a geometric flow $g_t$ of complete Riemannian metrics, parametrized by $I=(-\infty,T)$. Given an additional $C^{1,1}$ family…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-08-22 Li-Juan Cheng , Anton Thalmaier

In this paper we present a surprisingly general extension of the main result of a paper that appeared in this journal: I. Montes et al., Sklar's theorem in an imprecise setting, Fuzzy Sets and Systems, 278 (2015), 48--66. The main tools we…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-08-28 Matjaž Omladič , Nik Stopar

We study a system of interacting reinforced random walks defined on polygons. At each stage, each particle chooses an edge to traverse which is incident to its position. We allow the probability of choosing a given edge to depend on the sum…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-04-07 Jiro Akahori , Andrea Collevecchio , Timothy Garoni , Kais Hamza

We pursue the task of developing a finite population counterpart to Eigen's model. We consider the classical Wright-Fisher model describing the evolution of a population of size $m$ of chromosomes of length $\ell$ over an alphabet of…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-08-14 Raphaël Cerf

The Wright-Fisher family of diffusion processes is a widely used class of evolutionary models. However, simulation is difficult because there is no known closed-form formula for its transition function. In this article we demonstrate that…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-10-02 Paul A. Jenkins , Dario Spano

We construct a new class of infinite-dimensional diffusions taking values in a generalized Kingman simplex. Our model describes the temporal evolution of the relative frequencies of infinitely-many types which are "labeled" by an arbitrary…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-02-25 Cristina Costantini , Matteo Ruggiero

The two-parameter Poisson-Dirichlet diffusion takes values in the infinite ordered simplex and extends the celebrated infinitely-many-neutral-alleles model, having a two-parameter Poisson-Dirichlet stationary distribution. Here we identify…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-10-16 Robert C. Griffiths , Matteo Ruggiero , Dario Spanò , Youzhou Zhou

We consider a system of urns of Polya-type, with balls of two colors; the reinforcement of each urn depends both on the content of the same urn and on the average content of all urns. We show that the urns synchronize almost surely, in the…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-03-08 Paolo Dai Pra , Pierre-Yves Louis , Ida G. Minelli

We consider the spatial Lambda-Fleming-Viot process model for frequencies of genetic types in a population living in R^d, with two types of individuals (0 and 1) and natural selection favouring individuals of type 1. We first prove that the…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-10-01 Alison Etheridge , Amandine Veber , Feng Yu

We provide a clarification of the description of Langevin diffusions on Riemannian manifolds and of the measure underlying the invariant density. As a result we propose a new position-dependent Metropolis-adjusted Langevin algorithm (MALA)…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-08-15 Tatiana Xifara , Chris Sherlock , Samuel Livingstone , Simon Byrne , Mark Girolami

We study the problem of robustly estimating the posterior distribution for the setting where observed data can be contaminated with potentially adversarial outliers. We propose Rob-ULA, a robust variant of the Unadjusted Langevin Algorithm…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-07-30 Kush Bhatia , Yi-An Ma , Anca D. Dragan , Peter L. Bartlett , Michael I. Jordan

This article is concerned with the mathematical analysis of a family of adaptive importance sampling algorithms applied to diffusion processes. These methods, referred to as Adaptive Biasing Potential methods, are designed to efficiently…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-05-10 Michel Benaïm , Charles-Edouard Bréhier

Recent progress has been made in establishing normal approximation bounds in terms of the Wasserstein-$p$ distance for i.i.d. and locally dependent random variables. However, for $p > 1$, no such results have been demonstrated for dependent…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-02-25 Tianle Liu , Morgane Austern

The formula for the probability of fixation of a new mutation is widely used in theoretical population genetics and molecular evolution. Here we derive a series of identities, inequalities and approximations for the exact probability of…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2015-03-10 David M. McCandlish , Charles L. Epstein , Joshua B. Plotkin
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