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We demonstrate that the method of interleaved resampling in the context of parton showers can tremendously improve the statistical convergence of weighted parton shower evolution algorithms. We illustrate this by several examples showing…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2020-10-28 Jimmy Olsson , Simon Plätzer , Malin Sjodahl

Characterizing time-evolution of allele frequencies in a population is a fundamental problem in population genetics. In the Wright-Fisher diffusion, such dynamics is captured by the transition density function, which satisfies well-known…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-08-06 Matthias Steinrücken , Y. X. Rachel Wang , Yun S. Song

Variational inference is a popular technique to approximate a possibly intractable Bayesian posterior with a more tractable one. Recently, boosting variational inference has been proposed as a new paradigm to approximate the posterior by a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-03-08 Francesco Locatello , Rajiv Khanna , Joydeep Ghosh , Gunnar Rätsch

The stationary distribution of allele frequencies under a variety of Wright--Fisher $k$-allele models with selection and parent independent mutation is well studied. However, the statistical properties of maximum likelihood estimates of…

Applications · Statistics 2009-10-12 Erkan Ozge Buzbas , Paul Joyce

The Wright-Fisher model, originating in Wright (1931) is one of the canonical probabilistic models used in mathematical population genetics to study how genetic type frequencies evolve in time. In this paper we bound the rate of convergence…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-12-19 Anton Braverman , Han L. Gan

We consider the approximation of a convolution of possibly different probability measures by (compound) Poisson distributions and also by related signed measures of higher order. We present new total variation bounds having a better…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-03-08 Bero Roos

Consider a haploid population of fixed finite size with a finite number of allele types and having Cannings exchangeable genealogy with neutral mutation. The stationary distribution of the Markov chain of allele counts in each generation is…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-12-09 H. L. Gan , Adrian Röllin , Nathan Ross

Recently, several authors have studied maps where a function, describing the local diffusion matrix of a diffusion process with a linear drift towards an attraction point, is mapped into the average of that function with respect to the…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 K. Fleischmann , J. M. Swart

The Wright--Fisher diffusion is important in population genetics in modelling the evolution of allele frequencies over time subject to the influence of biological phenomena such as selection, mutation, and genetic drift. Simulating paths of…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2023-01-16 Jaromir Sant , Paul A. Jenkins , Jere Koskela , Dario Spanò

The random self-reinforcement mechanism, characterized by the principle of ``the rich get richer'', has demonstrated significant utility across various domains. One prominent model embodying this mechanism is the random reinforcement urn…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-06-18 Li Yang , Jiang Hu , Jianghao Li , Zhidong Bai

The randomized play-the-winner (RPW) model is a generalized P\'olya Urn process with broad applications ranging from clinical trials to molecular evolution. We derive an exact expression for the variance of the RPW model by transforming the…

Applications · Statistics 2024-01-02 Ivan Specht , Michael Mitzenmacher

Discretization of continuous-time diffusion processes is a widely recognized method for sampling. However, the canonical Euler Maruyama discretization of the Langevin diffusion process, referred as Unadjusted Langevin Algorithm (ULA),…

Computation · Statistics 2021-07-28 Dao Nguyen , Xin Dang , Yixin Chen

Generalized Polya urn models can describe the dynamics of finite populations of interacting genotypes. Three basic questions these models can address are: Under what conditions does a population exhibit growth? On the event of growth, at…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Michel Benaim , Sebastian J. Schreiber , Pierre Tarres

Interacting urns with exponential reinforcement were introduced and studied in Launay (2011). As its parameter $\rho$ tends to $\iy$, this reinforcement mechanism converges to the "generalized" reinforcement, in which the probability of…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-07-25 Mickaël Launay , Vlada Limic

We consider a multi-colony version of the Wright-Fisher model with seed-bank that was recently introduced by Blath et al. Individuals live in colonies and change type via resampling and mutation. Each colony contains a seed-bank that acts…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-10-07 Giulia Pederzani , Frank den Hollander

We consider predictive inference using a class of temporally dependent Dirichlet processes driven by Fleming--Viot diffusions, which have a natural bearing in Bayesian nonparametrics and lend the resulting family of random probability…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-01-28 Filippo Ascolani , Antonio Lijoi , Matteo Ruggiero

We investigate a weighted Multilevel Richardson-Romberg extrapolation for the ergodic approximation of invariant distributions of diffusions adapted from the one introduced in~[Lemaire-Pag\`es, 2013] for regular Monte Carlo simulation. In a…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-07-05 Gilles Pagès , Fabien Panloup

We provide a general theorem bounding the error in the approximation of a random measure of interest--for example, the empirical population measure of types in a Wright-Fisher model--and a Dirichlet process, which is a measure having…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-07-07 Han L. Gan , Nathan Ross

Recently, it has been shown that stochastic spatial Lotka-Volterra models when suitably rescaled can converge to a super Brownian motion. We show that the limit process could be a super stable process if the kernel of the underlying motion…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-02-05 Hui He

Duality plays an important role in population genetics. It can relate results from forwards-in-time models of allele frequency evolution with those of backwards-in-time genealogical models; a well known example is the duality between the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2019-08-09 Robert C. Griffiths , Paul A. Jenkins , Sabin Lessard