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A simple, but ``classical``, stochastic model for epidemic spread in a finite, but large, population is studied. The progress of the epidemic can be divided into three different phases that requires different tools to analyse. Initially the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2018-05-29 Åke Svensson

We consider a multitype branching process with immigration in a random environment introduced by Key in [Ann. Probab. 15 (1987) 344--353]. It was shown by Key that, under the assumptions made in [Ann. Probab. 15 (1987) 344--353], the…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-09-29 Alexander Roitershtein

The iterative development process is a framework used to design products and applications across a wide range of domains. It centers around building prototypes, testing them, and updating based on the test results. We discuss how we applied…

Other Computer Science · Computer Science 2024-05-09 Christopher R. H. Hanusa , Eric Vergo

The decomposable branching processes are relatively less studied objects, particularly in the continuous time framework. In this paper, we consider various variants of decomposable continuous time branching processes. As usual practice in…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-08-21 Ranbir Dhounchak , Veeraruna Kavitha

The path toward the emergence of life in our biosphere involved several key events allowing for the persistence, reproduction and evolution of molecular systems. All these processes took place in a given environmental context and required…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2025-04-14 Ricard Solé , Manlio De Domenico

In this paper we consider a diffusion process obtained as a small random perturbation of a dynamical system attracted to a stable equilibrium point. The drift and the diffusive perturbation are assumed to evolve slowly in time. We describe…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-10-23 Mark Freidlin , Leonid Koralov

We consider a binary branching process structured by a stochastic trait that evolves according to a diffusion process that triggers the branching events, in the spirit of Kimmel's model of cell division with parasite infection. Based on the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-02-27 Marc Hoffmann , Aline Marguet

Branching Processes in Random Environment (BPREs) $(Z\_n:n\geq0)$ are the generalization of Galton-Watson processes where in each generation the reproduction law is picked randomly in an i.i.d. manner. In the supercritical regime, the…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-01-06 Vincent Bansaye , Christian Boeinghoff

We briefly discuss the problem of specifying initial conditions for evolution of off-diagonal (skewed) parton distributions. We present numerical results to show that evolution rapidly washes out differences of input.

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2008-11-26 K. Golec-Biernat , A. D. Martin , M. G. Ryskin

In this paper, a special sequence of controlled branching processes is considered. We provide a simple set of sufficient conditions for the weak convergence of such processes to a weak solution to a kind of continuous branching processes…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-04-15 Jiawei Liu

Consider a supercritical branching random walk in a time-inhomogeneous random environment. We impose a selection (called barrier) on survival in the following way. The position of the barrier may depend on the generation and the…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-07-02 You Lv

It is well-known that conditioning a supercritical (multi-type) branching process on the event that it eventually becomes extinct yields a subcritical branching process. We study the corresponding inverse problem: given a subcritical…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-11-12 Ewain Gwynne , Jiaqi Liu

A Galton-Watson branching process with immigration evolving in a random environment is considered. Its associated random walk is assumed to be oscillating. We prove a functional limit theorem in which the process under consideration is…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-03-17 V. I. Afanasyev

We study the dynamics of secondary infections on networks, in which only the individuals currently carrying a certain primary infection are susceptible to the secondary infection. In the limit of large sparse networks, the model is mapped…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-05-23 Sam Moore , Peter Mörters , Tim Rogers

In many physical situations involving diverse length scales, waves or rays representing them travel through media characterized by spatially smooth, random, modest refactive index variations. "Primary" diffraction (by individual…

Classical Physics · Physics 2021-12-14 Eric J Heller , Ragnar Fleischmann , Tobias Kramer

The long-term behaviors of flows of continuous-state branching processes are characterized through subordinators and extremal processes. The extremal processes arise in the case of supercritical processes with infinite mean and of…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-06-21 Clément Foucart , Chunhua Ma

The impact of environmental fluctuation on species diversity is studied with a model of the evolutionary ecology of microorganisms. We show that environmental fluctuation induces evolutionary branching and assures the consequential…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2015-05-13 Masashi Tachikawa

Spatial branching processes became increasingly popular in the past decades, not only because of their obvious connection to biology, but also because superprocesses are intimately related to nonlinear partial differential equations.…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-09-29 János Engländer

This text surveys different probabilistic aspects of a model which is used to describe the evolution of an object that falls apart randomly as time passes. Each point of view yields useful techniques to establish properties of such random…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Jean Bertoin

The ordinary contact process is used to model the spread of a disease in a population. In this model, each infected individual waits an exponentially distributed time with parameter 1 before becoming healthy. In this paper, we introduce and…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-11-10 Erik I. Broman
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