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Related papers: The winter dilemma

200 papers

The pandemic caused by the SARS-CoV-2 virus has exposed many flaws in the decision-making strategies used to distribute resources to combat global health crises. In this paper, we leverage reinforcement learning and optimization to improve…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2021-01-06 Lawrence Thul , Warren Powell

In temperate climates, mortality is seasonal with a winter-dominant pattern, due in part to pneumonia and influenza. Cardiac causes, which are the leading cause of death in the United States, are also winter-seasonal although it is not…

Applications · Statistics 2017-11-17 Tina Ho , Andrew Noymer

We develop a mechanistic model that classifies individuals both in terms of epidemiological status (SIR) and vaccination attitude (willing or unwilling), with the goal of discovering how disease spread is influenced by changing opinions…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2024-08-16 Yi Jiang , Kristin M. Kurianski , Jane HyoJin Lee , Yanping Ma , Daniel Cicala , Glenn Ledder

Given multiple new COVID-19 variants are continuously emerging, non-pharmaceutical interventions are still primary control strategies to curb the further spread of coronavirus. However, implementing strict interventions over extended…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-03-01 Xiao Zhou , Xiaohu Zhang , Paolo Santi , Carlo Ratti

Vaccination against the SARS-CoV-2 disease has significantly reduced its mortality rate and spread. However, despite its availability, a considerable proportion of the public has either refused or delayed getting vaccinated. This reluctance…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-09-10 Wajid Ali , Javad Mohamadichamgavi , Juan Ramirez , Jose Aguilar , Antonio Fernández Anta , Kieran J. Sharkey

In order to slow the spread of the CoViD-19 pandemic, governments around the world have enacted a wide set of policies limiting the transmission of the disease. Initially, these focused on non-pharmaceutical interventions; more recently,…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-06-24 Janoś Gabler , Tobias Raabe , Klara Röhrl , Hans-Martin von Gaudecker

Adjustments to public health policy are common. This paper investigates the impact of COVID-19 policy ambiguity on specific groups' insurance consumption. The results show that sensitive groups' willingness to pay (WTP) for insurance is…

General Economics · Economics 2023-06-16 Qiang Li

The non-pharmaceutical interventions (NPIs), aimed at reducing the diffusion of the COVID-19 pandemic, has dramatically influenced our behaviour in everyday life. In this work, we study how individuals adapted their daily movements and…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2021-08-18 Lorenzo Lucchini , Simone Centellegher , Luca Pappalardo , Riccardo Gallotti , Filippo Privitera , Bruno Lepri , Marco De Nadai

Non-pharmacologic interventions (NPIs) are one method to mitigate the spread and effects of the COVID-19 pandemic in the United States. NPIs promote protective actions to reduce exposure risk and can reduce mobility patterns within…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-07-16 Natalie Coleman , Xinyu Gao , Jared DeLeon , Ali Mostafavi

Since the recent introduction of several viable vaccines for SARS-CoV-2, vaccination uptake has become the key factor that will determine our success in containing the COVID-19 pandemic. We argue that game theory and social network models…

The current development of vaccines for SARS-CoV-2 is unprecedented. Little is known, however, about the nuanced public opinions on the vaccines on social media. We adopt a human-guided machine learning framework using more than six million…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2021-08-10 Hanjia Lyu , Junda Wang , Wei Wu , Viet Duong , Xiyang Zhang , Timothy D. Dye , Jiebo Luo

The SARS-CoV-2 pandemic has caused significant mortality and morbidity worldwide, sparing almost no community. As the disease will likely remain a threat for years to come, an understanding of the precise influences of human demographics…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-07-02 Niayesh Afshordi , Benjamin Holder , Mohammad Bahrami , Daniel Lichtblau

In light of the continuing emergence of new SARS-CoV-2 variants and vaccines, we create a simulation framework for exploring possible infection trajectories under various scenarios. The situations of primary interest involve the interaction…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-01-10 Kory D. Johnson , Annemarie Grass , Daniel Toneian , Mathias Beiglböck , Jitka Polechová

The unfolding of pandemic influenza A(H1N1) for Fall 2009 in the Northern Hemisphere is still uncertain. Plans for vaccination campaigns and vaccine trials are underway, with the first batches expected to be available early October. Several…

The decision of whether or not to vaccinate is a complex one. It involves the contribution both to a social good -- herd immunity -- and to one's own well being. It is informed by social influence, personal experience, education, and mass…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-02-15 Soya Miyoshi , Marko Jusup , Petter Holme

Non-pharmaceutical interventions have been critical in the fight against the COVID-19 pandemic. However, these sanitary measures have been partially lifted due to socioeconomic factors causing a worrisome rebound of the epidemic in several…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-02-23 Hugo Flores-Arguedas , José Ariel Camacho-Gutiérrez , Fernando Saldaña

Human behavior, and in particular vaccine hesitancy, is a critical factor for the control of childhood infectious disease. Here we propose a spatio-temporal behavioral epidemiology model where the vaccine propensity depends on information…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-05-04 Malay Banerjee , Samiran Ghosh , Piero Manfredi , Alberto d'Onofrio

The crisis caused by the COVID-19 outbreak around the globe raised an increasing concern about the ongoing emergence of variants of SARS-CoV-2 that may evade the immune response provided by vaccines. New variants appear due to mutation, and…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-12-14 M. Ahumada , A. Ledesma-Araujo , Leonardo Gordillo , Juan F. Marín

Severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) has a variable clinical presentation that ranges from asymptomatic, to severe disease with cytokine storm. The mortality rates also differ across the globe, ranging from 0.5-13%.…

To support the ongoing management of viral respiratory diseases, many countries are moving towards an integrated model of surveillance for SARS-CoV-2, influenza, and other respiratory pathogens. While many surveillance approaches catalysed…