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In this work, we compare three different modeling approaches for the scores of soccer matches with regard to their predictive performances based on all matches from the four previous FIFA World Cups 2002 - 2014: Poisson regression models,…

Applications · Statistics 2018-06-14 Andreas Groll , Christophe Ley , Gunther Schauberger , Hans Van Eetvelde

Forecasting sporting events encapsulate a compelling intellectual endeavor, underscored by the substantial financial activity of an estimated $80 billion wagered in global sports betting during 2022, a trend that grows yearly. Motivated by…

This paper presents a groundbreaking model for forecasting English Premier League (EPL) player performance using convolutional neural networks (CNNs). We evaluate Ridge regression, LightGBM and CNNs on the task of predicting upcoming player…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-07 Daniel Frees , Pranav Ravella , Charlie Zhang

Agriculture constitutes a primary source of food production, economic growth and employment in India, but the sector is confronted with low farm productivity and yields aggravated by increased pressure on natural resources and adverse…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-28 Steven Sam , Silima Marshal DAbreo

In this paper, we examine team ball sports to investigate how the likelihood of weaker teams winning against stronger ones, referred to as underdog achievement, is influenced by inherent randomness factors that affect match outcomes in such…

Applications · Statistics 2024-04-11 Luis Nunes Vicente , Thaksheel Alleck , Tommaso Giovannelli , Roman Mitchell , Ori Remen

We show that the Brier game of prediction is mixable and find the optimal learning rate and substitution function for it. The resulting prediction algorithm is applied to predict results of football and tennis matches. The theoretical…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2009-11-02 Vladimir Vovk , Fedor Zhdanov

Integer linear programming (ILP) is an elegant approach to solve linear optimization problems, naturally described using integer decision variables. Within the context of physics-inspired machine learning applied to chemistry, we…

In a competitive sport, every little thing matters. Yet, many sports leave some large levers out of the reach of the teams, and in the hands of fate. In cricket, world's second most popular sport by some measures, one such lever---the…

Applications · Statistics 2016-05-30 Gaurav Sood , Derek Willis

With consistent growth in Indian Economy, Initial Public Offerings (IPOs) have become a popular avenue for investment. With the modern technology simplifying investments, more investors are interested in making data driven decisions while…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2024-12-24 Sohom Ghosh , Arnab Maji , N Harsha Vardhan , Sudip Kumar Naskar

The performance of football players in English Premier League varies largely from season to season and for different teams. It is evident that a method capable of forecasting and analyzing the future of these players on-field antics shall…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2019-10-01 Akhil Gupta

There seems to be an upper limit to predicting the outcome of matches in (semi-)professional sports. Recent work has proposed that this is due to chance and attempts have been made to simulate the distribution of win percentages to identify…

Applications · Statistics 2015-08-21 Albrecht Zimmermann

Predicting the outcome of sports events is a hard task. We quantify this difficulty with a coefficient that measures the distance between the observed final results of sports leagues and idealized perfectly balanced competitions in terms of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-11-27 Raquel YS Aoki , Renato M Assuncao , Pedro OS Vaz de Melo

Three state-of-the-art statistical ranking methods for forecasting football matches are combined with several other predictors in a hybrid machine learning model. Namely an ability estimate for every team based on historic matches; an…

The growing adoption of IoT devices for healthcare has enabled researchers to build intelligence using all the data produced by these devices. Monitoring and diagnosing health have been the two most common scenarios where such devices have…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-07-15 Rohit Shaw

We study the relationship between social media output and National Football League (NFL) games, using a dataset containing messages from Twitter and NFL game statistics. Specifically, we consider tweets pertaining to specific teams and…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2013-10-28 Shiladitya Sinha , Chris Dyer , Kevin Gimpel , Noah A. Smith

Farmers in developing regions like Karnataka, India, face a dual challenge: navigating extreme market and climate volatility while being excluded from the digital revolution due to literacy barriers. This paper presents a novel decision…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-15 Niranjan Mallikarjun Sindhur , Pavithra C , Nivya Muchikel

Esports has emerged as a popular genre for players as well as spectators, supporting a global entertainment industry. Esports analytics has evolved to address the requirement for data-driven feedback, and is focused on cyber-athlete…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2017-11-20 Victoria Hodge , Sam Devlin , Nick Sephton , Florian Block , Anders Drachen , Peter Cowling

Consider a collection of m competing machine learning algorithms. Given their performance on a benchmark of datasets, we would like to identify the best performing algorithm. Specifically, which algorithm is most likely to ``win'' (rank…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-06 Amichai Painsky

Given a set of sequences comprised of time-ordered events, sequential pattern mining is useful to identify frequent subsequences from different sequences or within the same sequence. However, in sport, these techniques cannot determine the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-09-01 Rory Bunker , Keisuke Fujii , Hiroyuki Hanada , Ichiro Takeuchi

This paper explores the significant history of professional football and the betting industry, tracing its evolution from clandestine beginnings to a lucrative multi-million-pound enterprise. Initiated by the legalization of gambling in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-26 Purnachandra Mandadapu