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With the widespread accumulation of observational data, researchers obtain a new direction to learn counterfactual effects in many domains (e.g., health care and computational advertising) without Randomized Controlled Trials(RCTs).…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-01 Guanglin Zhou , Lina Yao , Xiwei Xu , Chen Wang , Liming Zhu

Multi-state models provide an extension of the usual survival/event-history analysis setting. In the medical domain, multi-state models give the possibility of further investigating intermediate events such as relapse and remission. In this…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-06-24 D. Manevski , H. Putter , M. Pohar Perme , E. F. Bonneville , J. Schetelig , L. C. de Wreede

Traffic forecasting is a challenging task due to the complex spatio-temporal correlations among traffic series. In this paper, we identify an underexplored problem in multivariate traffic series prediction: extreme events. Road congestion…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-09-19 Zhiwei Zhang , Weizhong Zhang , Yaowei Huang , Kani Chen

Survival analysis of right censored data arises often in many areas of research including medical research. Effect of covariates (and their interactions) on survival distribution can be studied through existing methods which requires to…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-08-11 Madan Gopal Kundu , Samiran Ghosh

Detailed mobile sensing data from phones, watches, and fitness trackers offer an unparalleled opportunity to quantify and act upon previously unmeasurable behavioral changes in order to improve individual health and accelerate responses to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-06 Mike A. Merrill , Tim Althoff

Predicting the incidence of complex chronic conditions such as heart failure is challenging. Deep learning models applied to rich electronic health records may improve prediction but remain unexplainable hampering their wider use in medical…

A new model for generating survival trajectories and data based on applying an autoencoder of a specific structure is proposed. It solves three tasks. First, it provides predictions in the form of the expected event time and the survival…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-20 Andrei V. Konstantinov , Stanislav R. Kirpichenko , Lev V. Utkin

Effective learning from electronic health records (EHR) data for prediction of clinical outcomes is often challenging because of features recorded at irregular timesteps and loss to follow-up as well as competing events such as death or…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-08-11 Intae Moon , Stefan Groha , Alexander Gusev

Many researchers have investigated first hitting times as models for survival data. First hitting times arise naturally in many types of stochastic processes, ranging from Wiener processes to Markov chains. In a survival context, the state…

Methodology · Statistics 2009-09-29 Mei-Ling Ting Lee , G. A. Whitmore

The modeling of time-to-event data, also known as survival analysis, requires specialized methods that can deal with censoring and truncation, time-varying features and effects, and that extend to settings with multiple competing events.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-04-20 Andreas Bender , David Rügamer , Fabian Scheipl , Bernd Bischl

In many real-world scenarios, data to train machine learning models becomes available over time. Unfortunately, these models struggle to continually learn new concepts without forgetting what has been learnt in the past. This phenomenon is…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2023-01-16 Beyza Ermis , Giovanni Zappella , Martin Wistuba , Aditya Rawal , Cedric Archambeau

While tabular foundation models have achieved remarkable success in classification and regression, adapting them to model time-to-event outcomes for survival analysis is non-trivial due to right-censoring, where data observations may end…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-02 Da In Kim , Wei Siang Lai , Kelly W. Zhang

Survival analysis (SA) models have been widely studied in mining electronic health records (EHRs), particularly in forecasting the risk of critical conditions for prioritizing high-risk patients. However, their vulnerability to adversarial…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-30 Mohsen Nayebi Kerdabadi , Arya Hadizadeh Moghaddam , Bin Liu , Mei Liu , Zijun Yao

Methods for estimating heterogeneous treatment effects (HTE) from observational data have largely focused on continuous or binary outcomes, with less attention paid to survival outcomes and almost none to settings with competing risks. In…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-09-30 Shenbo Xu , Raluca Cobzaru , Stan N. Finkelstein , Roy E. Welsch , Kenney Ng , Zach Shahn

For users navigating travel e-commerce websites, the process of researching products and making a purchase often results in intricate browsing patterns that span numerous sessions over an extended period of time. The resulting clickstream…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2024-09-23 William Black , Alexander Manlove , Jack Pennington , Andrea Marchini , Ercument Ilhan , Vilda Markeviciute

In this paper, we develop a family of bivariate beta distributions that encapsulate both positive and negative correlations, and which can be of general interest for Bayesian inference. We then invoke a use of these bivariate distributions…

We introduce a foundation model for event classification in high-energy physics, built on a Graph Neural Network architecture and trained on 120 million simulated proton-proton collision events spanning 12 distinct physics processes. The…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2026-05-08 Joshua Ho , Benjamin Ryan Roberts , Shuo Han , Haichen Wang

This paper addresses the problem of identifying and estimating the causal effect of a treatment in the presence of unmeasured confounding and various types of right-censoring. Examples of these censoring mechanisms are administrative…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-03-19 Ilias Willems , Sara Rutten , Gilles Crommen , Ingrid Van Keilegom

Estimating heterogeneous treatment effects (HTEs) is crucial for personalized decision-making. However, this task is challenging in survival analysis, which includes time-to-event data with censored outcomes (e.g., due to study dropout). In…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-20 Dennis Frauen , Maresa Schröder , Konstantin Hess , Stefan Feuerriegel

In many clinical contexts, estimating effects of treatment in time-to-event data is complicated not only by confounding, censoring, and heterogeneity, but also by the presence of a cured subpopulation in which the event of interest never…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-06 Yuqi Li , Quinn Lanners , Matthew M. Engelhard